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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Post All-Star Home System

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    Irish7878
    therealdutch
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    rustie
    haymo
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    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2019 - 7:03 PM ET #1176

    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    4 or 5 game chase?

     

    You decide what works for you and your bankroll.  Also how you increase your bets.  You need to run numbers and see what you can handle.

    I personally use a 2 or 3 game chase, based on the match-up and the numbers.   If you want guidance, read back through this thread for how they did it - I'm not posting my plays.  Just put a schedule out there.

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    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    4 or 5 game chase?

     

    You decide what works for you and your bankroll.  Also how you increase your bets.  You need to run numbers and see what you can handle.

    I personally use a 2 or 3 game chase, based on the match-up and the numbers.   If you want guidance, read back through this thread for how they did it - I'm not posting my plays.  Just put a schedule out there.

     
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2019 - 7:03 PM ET #1177

    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    4 or 5 game chase?

     

    You decide what works for you and your bankroll.  Also how you increase your bets.  You need to run numbers and see what you can handle.

    I personally use a 2 or 3 game chase, based on the match-up and the numbers.   If you want guidance, read back through this thread for how they did it - I'm not posting my plays.  Just put a schedule out there.

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    Quote Originally Posted by leo81:

    4 or 5 game chase?

     

    You decide what works for you and your bankroll.  Also how you increase your bets.  You need to run numbers and see what you can handle.

    I personally use a 2 or 3 game chase, based on the match-up and the numbers.   If you want guidance, read back through this thread for how they did it - I'm not posting my plays.  Just put a schedule out there.

     
    Irish7878
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2019 - 7:07 PM ET #1178

    And here's the schedule for Post-ASG Road Dogs, the oppo of Home Favs.  (Teams 10 games or more under .500 at ASG... with Roadies of 5 games or more in 2nd half)

     

    Tor – 7/12, 7/29, 8/20, 9/2, 9/17

    Balt – 7/22, 8/12, 8/27, 9/23

    Det – 7/12, 7/25, 8/16, 9/3

    KC – 7/19, 8/2, 8/19, 9/6, 9/16

    Sea – 7/12, 8/2, 8/13, 8/29, 9/22

    NYM – 7/12, 7/30, 8/13, 8/30, 9/16

    Mia – 7/19, 8/3, 8/16, 8/30, 9/13, 9/23

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    And here's the schedule for Post-ASG Road Dogs, the oppo of Home Favs.  (Teams 10 games or more under .500 at ASG... with Roadies of 5 games or more in 2nd half)

     

    Tor – 7/12, 7/29, 8/20, 9/2, 9/17

    Balt – 7/22, 8/12, 8/27, 9/23

    Det – 7/12, 7/25, 8/16, 9/3

    KC – 7/19, 8/2, 8/19, 9/6, 9/16

    Sea – 7/12, 8/2, 8/13, 8/29, 9/22

    NYM – 7/12, 7/30, 8/13, 8/30, 9/16

    Mia – 7/19, 8/3, 8/16, 8/30, 9/13, 9/23

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Jul. 17, 2022 - 9:44 AM ET #1179

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Quote Originally Posted by Kidmancer: Mine wasn't a parlay system it was a compliment to this system. In any case, I will not be posting the plays and the thread has been removed.   oh yes sorry. Do you have any new system for mlb this year? And why is the thread removed? Its succesful last year All of my baseball systems have been removed because I am joining the Covers Experts group along with some other notable posters and I will no longer be posting any baseball picks/systems. My NHL parlay system is still a go though!!

     

    Now that the "Experts" part of the site is going away, will you be joining us again for MLB?  Just in time for post ASB...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Quote Originally Posted by Kidmancer: Mine wasn't a parlay system it was a compliment to this system. In any case, I will not be posting the plays and the thread has been removed.   oh yes sorry. Do you have any new system for mlb this year? And why is the thread removed? Its succesful last year All of my baseball systems have been removed because I am joining the Covers Experts group along with some other notable posters and I will no longer be posting any baseball picks/systems. My NHL parlay system is still a go though!!

     

    Now that the "Experts" part of the site is going away, will you be joining us again for MLB?  Just in time for post ASB...

     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Jul. 22, 2022 - 10:19 AM ET #1180

    Thiught I would gibe this a try.  1 - 0 so far.  Thank You LAD.

    I see Sports Network is wearing a pair of handcuffs these days.  Considering he yelled at several people, including myself, from a keyboard, I believe the right thing happened.  

    Anyway, Thanks for this system.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thiught I would gibe this a try.  1 - 0 so far.  Thank You LAD.

    I see Sports Network is wearing a pair of handcuffs these days.  Considering he yelled at several people, including myself, from a keyboard, I believe the right thing happened.  

    Anyway, Thanks for this system.

     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Jul. 24, 2022 - 10:43 PM ET #1181

    I thought I would help out a little. I like systems that have never lost. 

    Teams 10 games over .500 as of the end of play on Sun 7/24 :

    SD, LAD, NYM, Atl, Mil, NYY, Tor, TB Hou.  Mil and Tor just joined the club this weekend and are exactly 10 games over .500.  This upcoming week, Mil has 3 home games followed by a road trip.  We will see if they remain 10 games over. Tor is at home for 6 so they are a go.

    Upcoming week :

    Tuesday  - Tor

    Thursday - NYY and Hou

    Friday - Atl and SD

    Stats so far :

    1 - 0

    A) 1 - 0

    I will try to be back next week around this time for an update.  Good Luck

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    I thought I would help out a little. I like systems that have never lost. 

    Teams 10 games over .500 as of the end of play on Sun 7/24 :

    SD, LAD, NYM, Atl, Mil, NYY, Tor, TB Hou.  Mil and Tor just joined the club this weekend and are exactly 10 games over .500.  This upcoming week, Mil has 3 home games followed by a road trip.  We will see if they remain 10 games over. Tor is at home for 6 so they are a go.

    Upcoming week :

    Tuesday  - Tor

    Thursday - NYY and Hou

    Friday - Atl and SD

    Stats so far :

    1 - 0

    A) 1 - 0

    I will try to be back next week around this time for an update.  Good Luck

     

     
    rustie
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    Posted: Jul. 26, 2022 - 8:52 AM ET #1182

    G'day Surfer , first off let me wish you good luck with the system peace_5

    I just have to ask how you are deciding who qualifies ? To my way of thinking (usually not very clearly) there are only 5 teams that meet the required 10 games "above" .500. Let me explain using NYY as an example: The Yankees as of the 24th were 66W and 31L for 97 games played. So 97 divided by 2 to get .500 gives us 48.5, so to get 10 games above .500 the Yanks need to have won 58.5 or more games , which we can see they have(66W). Now using this same reasoning for San Diego gives us 54W and 43L = 97 games divided by 2 to get .500 which gives us 48.5. So SD. would again need to have won 58.5 games to qualify and as we can see they have "only" won 54, so should not qualify.

    Using this reasoning, which could be wrong and if so please let me know, there are 5 teams that are eligible for the system NYY, LAD, NYM, ATL and HOU if using your July 24th cutoff date, and only 4 teams if using the All-Star break cutoff as ATL. would not have qualified. 

    Regardless, I wish you success no matter how you play it.

    Sincerely, Rustie peace

    Rust never sleeps
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    G'day Surfer , first off let me wish you good luck with the system peace_5

    I just have to ask how you are deciding who qualifies ? To my way of thinking (usually not very clearly) there are only 5 teams that meet the required 10 games "above" .500. Let me explain using NYY as an example: The Yankees as of the 24th were 66W and 31L for 97 games played. So 97 divided by 2 to get .500 gives us 48.5, so to get 10 games above .500 the Yanks need to have won 58.5 or more games , which we can see they have(66W). Now using this same reasoning for San Diego gives us 54W and 43L = 97 games divided by 2 to get .500 which gives us 48.5. So SD. would again need to have won 58.5 games to qualify and as we can see they have "only" won 54, so should not qualify.

    Using this reasoning, which could be wrong and if so please let me know, there are 5 teams that are eligible for the system NYY, LAD, NYM, ATL and HOU if using your July 24th cutoff date, and only 4 teams if using the All-Star break cutoff as ATL. would not have qualified. 

    Regardless, I wish you success no matter how you play it.

    Sincerely, Rustie peace

     
    haymo
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    Posted: Jul. 26, 2022 - 9:19 PM ET #1183

    Surfer2 I like the idea of systems for MLB since it’s a long grind but almost always betting heavy favorites is dicey and one would think you need a big bankroll! Opinion and alternatives!

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    Surfer2 I like the idea of systems for MLB since it’s a long grind but almost always betting heavy favorites is dicey and one would think you need a big bankroll! Opinion and alternatives!

     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2022 - 2:07 AM ET #1184

    Last week went well. All 5 teams won, and all 5 won the first game of their respective chases.  This week's teams are the same as last week, with one exception, TB has fallen off.  

    Teams :

    LAD, SD, NYM, Atl, Mil, NYY, Tor, Hou

    Upcoming Games :

    Thu

    NYM

    Stats :

    6 - 0

    A) 6 - 0

    @Rustie - A team is 10 games over .500 if it has won 10 or more than it has lost.  I was watching baseball this weekend and twice the announcers spoke of a team that was over .500.  On both occasions the announcers subtracted the losses from wins, and then stated the difference was how many games over .500 it was.  They did not add wins and losses together and divide by 2.  That is just how it is in baseball, that's how I determine if a team is 10 games over .500.

    @Haymo - You are right about the juice.  Twice last week, a team was at -220.  This can cause a slippery slope.  Tread with caution.  This thread has a few different suggestions on dancing around the extra juice, including making it a 2 game chase.  Maybe keep the faith knowing that the system is undefeated.

    Good Luck

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Last week went well. All 5 teams won, and all 5 won the first game of their respective chases.  This week's teams are the same as last week, with one exception, TB has fallen off.  

    Teams :

    LAD, SD, NYM, Atl, Mil, NYY, Tor, Hou

    Upcoming Games :

    Thu

    NYM

    Stats :

    6 - 0

    A) 6 - 0

    @Rustie - A team is 10 games over .500 if it has won 10 or more than it has lost.  I was watching baseball this weekend and twice the announcers spoke of a team that was over .500.  On both occasions the announcers subtracted the losses from wins, and then stated the difference was how many games over .500 it was.  They did not add wins and losses together and divide by 2.  That is just how it is in baseball, that's how I determine if a team is 10 games over .500.

    @Haymo - You are right about the juice.  Twice last week, a team was at -220.  This can cause a slippery slope.  Tread with caution.  This thread has a few different suggestions on dancing around the extra juice, including making it a 2 game chase.  Maybe keep the faith knowing that the system is undefeated.

    Good Luck

     
    nmgolf57
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    Posted: Aug. 1, 2022 - 7:34 PM ET #1185

    Hey guys, I haven't been paying much attention to this.  Just FYI, this system is also tracked in the MLB Sheets, and has been for years.  I'm not sure who had the original idea, but I assume it was DanRules24 since he also created the thread for the NHL post all-star system.

    Anyway, the MLB Sheets system is actually comprised of 2 systems:

    The Home Favs, in which teams that qualify are at least 10 games over .500 at the break

    The Road Fade (road dogs) System, whereby teams must by .435 or worse at the break

    So far the 2 systems combined are 21-0, with 4 chases going to game 2.

    MLB 2022

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    Hey guys, I haven't been paying much attention to this.  Just FYI, this system is also tracked in the MLB Sheets, and has been for years.  I'm not sure who had the original idea, but I assume it was DanRules24 since he also created the thread for the NHL post all-star system.

    Anyway, the MLB Sheets system is actually comprised of 2 systems:

    The Home Favs, in which teams that qualify are at least 10 games over .500 at the break

    The Road Fade (road dogs) System, whereby teams must by .435 or worse at the break

    So far the 2 systems combined are 21-0, with 4 chases going to game 2.

    MLB 2022

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 12, 2022 - 10:24 AM ET #1186

    I haven't been running the road dog side of this, but on the home fav, I double dip as long as there are 5 games left.  23-0 on home fav to date.

    game 1: 17-0

    game 2: 5-0

    game 3: 1-0

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    I haven't been running the road dog side of this, but on the home fav, I double dip as long as there are 5 games left.  23-0 on home fav to date.

    game 1: 17-0

    game 2: 5-0

    game 3: 1-0

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Aug. 14, 2022 - 10:10 AM ET #1187

    @therealdutch

     to date  (23-0)

    an_cheers

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    @therealdutch

     to date  (23-0)

    an_cheers

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2022 - 12:40 PM ET #1188

    34-0 to date w/ HOU on G1 today

    G1 23-0

    G2 7-0

    G3 3-0

    G4 1-0

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    34-0 to date w/ HOU on G1 today

    G1 23-0

    G2 7-0

    G3 3-0

    G4 1-0

     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Aug. 23, 2022 - 6:10 PM ET #1189

    It is a great system. Undefeated.  However, it is like some have pointed out, a lot of juice on some of these.  Good for running through sign-up bonuses.  Chasing a paltry $3 at -300 = a near $100 wager to win $3 if it goes to game C.

     

    I see Sports Network is banned.  That guy yelled at me from his keyboard, then threatened me with the Police (Covers Police but still).  In Vegas, if you are consorting with a bunch of gamblers, you never, never, go to the cops to bust one of your own.  You work it out amongst yourselves.  Maybe he will learn a lesson and apply it to his real life.

     

    Tonight the system has 2 games : Sea and Hou with Verlander.  Should be good

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    It is a great system. Undefeated.  However, it is like some have pointed out, a lot of juice on some of these.  Good for running through sign-up bonuses.  Chasing a paltry $3 at -300 = a near $100 wager to win $3 if it goes to game C.

     

    I see Sports Network is banned.  That guy yelled at me from his keyboard, then threatened me with the Police (Covers Police but still).  In Vegas, if you are consorting with a bunch of gamblers, you never, never, go to the cops to bust one of your own.  You work it out amongst yourselves.  Maybe he will learn a lesson and apply it to his real life.

     

    Tonight the system has 2 games : Sea and Hou with Verlander.  Should be good

     
    therealdutch
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Aug. 24, 2022 - 9:50 AM ET #1190

    Yeah, it can get real juicy.  I play these chase systems for $2.  For me personally, it's more about tracking to see if it works.  I dedicate enough to the bankroll for each of the couple that I run to cover a loss.  Sure, I could play them for $100 per chase and still cover a loss, but for what, $3,500 to date?  This home fav is sitting at 35-0 after HOU last night.  Don't get me wrong, I'm not crapping on $3,500, but that isn't going to alter my life in any way.  I'd probably piss it away on something stupid.

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    Yeah, it can get real juicy.  I play these chase systems for $2.  For me personally, it's more about tracking to see if it works.  I dedicate enough to the bankroll for each of the couple that I run to cover a loss.  Sure, I could play them for $100 per chase and still cover a loss, but for what, $3,500 to date?  This home fav is sitting at 35-0 after HOU last night.  Don't get me wrong, I'm not crapping on $3,500, but that isn't going to alter my life in any way.  I'd probably piss it away on something stupid.

     
    therealdutch
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Sep. 8, 2022 - 10:42 AM ET #1191

    50-0 if double dipping with 5 games left if you got on the 2nd game of the NYY double header yesterday.

    There's some time before the next plays pick up, and I think I'll see how each team is trending since we're nearing the end of the season, who's sitting players if they've clenched, who they're facing that may be a bubble playoff team and possibly shut it down for the year.

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    50-0 if double dipping with 5 games left if you got on the 2nd game of the NYY double header yesterday.

    There's some time before the next plays pick up, and I think I'll see how each team is trending since we're nearing the end of the season, who's sitting players if they've clenched, who they're facing that may be a bubble playoff team and possibly shut it down for the year.

     
    therealdutch
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Sep. 17, 2022 - 12:15 AM ET #1192

    53-0

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    53-0

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2022 - 8:24 PM ET #1193

    60-0 with three series left (not counting double dips).  Going to shut it down as the season wraps up and teams start resting guys.

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    60-0 with three series left (not counting double dips).  Going to shut it down as the season wraps up and teams start resting guys.

     
     
    Surfer2
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2022 - 10:54 AM ET #1194

    Great system. I made a profit althougth not maximum.  If it went to a "C" game I would start over and take a loss.  I still knew I would get a win it's just that a few of the series had some steep juice. Still, I guve the system a 10

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Great system. I made a profit althougth not maximum.  If it went to a "C" game I would start over and take a loss.  I still knew I would get a win it's just that a few of the series had some steep juice. Still, I guve the system a 10

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