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NHL OVERTIME SPOILER

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Posted: #101
San Jose has been eliminated from the system because they are scoring too many goals.

Referring to expertcapper's post above:

Teams we need to eliminate
NY Islanders 65 goals scored 80 allowed
Toronto  76 goals scored 88 goals allowed
Tampa Bay 56 goals scored 76 goals allowed
Atlanta     72 goals scored and 92 allowed
Dallas     68 goals scored and 87 allowed
Detroit     84 goals scored and 71 allowed
San Jose 97goals scored 59 allowed
Boston    82 goals scored 55 allowed
Washington 80 goals scored 80 allowed

So, no play on any of San Jose's games.
 
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Posted: #102
So I understand, on Edmonton's next game, will that be game 1 of that team's chase??
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:

So I understand, on Edmonton's next game, will that be game 1 of that team's chase??


Yes. Yesterday was their first overtime/shootout game in 2-3 weeks so now they qualify for this system.
 
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Posted: #104

....Pitt/Ott...UNDER 5.5....Winner 2 unit play

3 play to go...

 
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Posted: #105
These are the games that went final in our NHL spoiler with 3 overtime games so far
Final
Pitt  2
Ottawa  3              Under 5.5         WIN

Final O.T.
Phil      2
Carolina 1            Under    5.5             WIN

Final  O.T.
NJ   2
Montreal   1            Under    5.5           WIN

Final
Phoenix  3
St. Louis  4  Team to go under           OVER      5.5             LOSS/Chase 2nd game

So far 3-1 tonight. making the system 11-1



 
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Posted: #106
I have done some more research and Chicago and St.Louis are also high scoring team so I think we should elimiante them also threason I see that is chago is over 17 out of their last 24and ST. Louis is Over 16 of there last 25

Teams we need to eliminate
NY Islanders 65 goals scored 80 allowed
Toronto  76 goals scored 88 goals allowed
Tampa Bay 56 goals scored 76 goals allowed
Atlanta     72 goals scored and 92 allowed
Dallas     68 goals scored and 87 allowed
Detroit     84 goals scored and 71 allowed
San Jose 97goals scored 59 allowed
Boston    82 goals scored 55 allowed
Washington 80 goals scored 80 allowed
Chicago           Over 17-7
St. Louis            Over 16-9
I just think this will help also
 
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Posted: #107
expert - How about chasing the over in these cases? kind of like a reverse variation to profit from the high scoring tendencies of all these teams.

It might be harder to track with all these parameters but could be worth a shot ?
 
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Posted: #108
we got another win with LA/Columbus going under making 12-1 very satisfactory. The one loss is the loss before the filter took place
December 7 games under
Vancouver
Colorado    5.5

Calgary
NY Rangers  5.5
As for the Over I think I got my hand full but it sounds interestiing
 
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Posted: #109
Games that would go over would be Chicago/Phoenix? which is today?
 
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Posted: #110
guys,
 
i have been reading up on your system and i have to say it looks really good. i know its in its beginning steps but things are looking very good.
 
keep up the good work and thank you.
 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

Games that would go over would be Chicago/Phoenix? which is today?


Hehe, I think my new variation would be doing pretty good with games finishing like Chicago scoring 7 goals!

Nice hit on the Rangers/Flames under.
 
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Posted: #112
Hey Eli i think your variation are onto something here on the overs , i am going to watch this also
 
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Posted: #113
Make it 12-1 for the NHL Spoiler with Calgary and the NY Rangers going under 5.5 and Colorado and Vancouver into overtime  with going over 5.5 for Colorado chasing game 2.
Nothing tomorrow in the NHL Spoiler
Have a good day and DO THAT CHRISTMAS SHOPPING
 
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Posted: #114
nice work here, fellas.
 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

Hey Eli i think your variation are onto something here on the overs , i am going to watch this also


Yeah, definitely something to look into. I just figured, instead of ignoring the teams who have games with plenty of goals, it would be better to actually play the trend and play the overs even after they get to overtime. The variation might not be as strong as your original strategy but it could work decently I think. 
 
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Posted: #116
so florida/ottawa went to overtime tonight. so the chase begins for both of these teams?
 
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Posted: #117
Ok back to the NHL Spoiler, yes kbit florida/ottawa is in line for the next under 12-1 so far
So games to watch on December 9,2008

Calgary
Montreal     U 5.5

Vancouver
Nashville   U 5.5

LA
Colorado    U 5.5  2nd game

Like Always Good Luck
 
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Posted: #118
BOL
 
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Posted: #119
Philly/Carolina went into OT on Saturday night.  Do we stay away from Philly tonight because they are playing the Isles who are on the banned list?
 
If so do we start with Philly in their next game?
 
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Posted: #120
Quote Originally Posted by MaddenGuru:

Philly/Carolina went into OT on Saturday night.  Do we stay away from Philly tonight because they are playing the Isles who are on the banned list?
 
If so do we start with Philly in their next game?


the system that i'm tracking(bss), which is looking at an ok record, is saying that LGI/PHI game to be over.  annnd a PHI ML win.

 

 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by MaddenGuru:

 
If so do we start with Philly in their next game?


This is an interesting point to be brought up. Don't know what Expert is planning to do with this but considering the original set up of the system with the teams to be avoided, sounds like it's a simple case of skipping that series altogether unless he wants to pick it up after this game which would not make that much sense.

An alternative is to actually play the over considering it's the Islanders and the trends that point mostly to an over. I've heard the flu is passing through the Islander's locker room right now and McDonald has been very cold lately. From a capping perspective, might be safest to jump on the O5.5. Tell me what you think Expertcapper. 
 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:



An alternative is to actually play the over considering it's the Islanders and the trends that point mostly to an over. I've heard the flu is passing through the Islander's locker room right now and McDonald has been very cold lately. From a capping perspective, might be safest to jump on the O5.5. Tell me what you think Expertcapper. 


Well, the trends are doing good! Over hit before even starting the 3rd period. That's easy shit right there.
 
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Posted: #123
Madden GURUyou are absolutely correct , I missed that one, yes Eli i wanted to continue the overs on these teams that so I will be paying EXTRA attention to that also. Yes Philadelphia  would be over because of the Islanders were on that list right here

Teams we need to take the over
NY Islanders 65 goals scored 80 allowed
Toronto  76 goals scored 88 goals allowed
Tampa Bay 56 goals scored 76 goals allowed
Atlanta     72 goals scored and 92 allowed
Dallas     68 goals scored and 87 allowed
Detroit     84 goals scored and 71 allowed
San Jose 97goals scored 59 allowed
Boston    82 goals scored 55 allowed
Washington 80 goals scored 80 allowed
Chicago           Over 17-7
St. Louis            Over 16-9
I just think this will help also the stats have changed but we need to watch these teams going into overtime and take the over
 
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Posted: #124
teams above after overtime for the teams in the last thread are 2 wins 0 losses
With Chicago and Islanders
 
 
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Posted: #125
We have  two more winners going under and 1 more winner going over making it 15-1 what a ride guys and still chasing Colorado going to the third game
No overtime games tonight

Final
Calgary 1
Montreal  4      under 5.5       Winner

Final
Vancouver 3
Nashville 1            under 5.5    winner

Final
NY Islanders   3      was overlooked and caught
Philadelphia    4      over 5.5 winner

Final
LA 1              under 5.5
Colorado 6        no good chasing Colorado for  under  this is game 2


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