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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus 2

    «First Previous 234 ... 8910 Next Last»
    expertcapper
    seahawksanders
    dabar
    elithepunk
    ketut
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    «First Previous 234 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    expertcapper
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2009 - 1:22 PM ET #26

    hehehe


    Vancouver
    Nashville -113
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    hehehe


    Vancouver
    Nashville -113
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2009 - 2:15 PM ET #27

    Did anyone play the Bruins in regulation only to minimize juice?  I thought about it, but I decided not to.  I wouldn't be surprised at all to see that game go into overtime. 
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    Did anyone play the Bruins in regulation only to minimize juice?  I thought about it, but I decided not to.  I wouldn't be surprised at all to see that game go into overtime. 
     
    dabar
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2009 - 3:10 PM ET #28

    Boston   -154  at -0.5    
    Boston   +164 at -1.5     
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    Boston   -154  at -0.5    
    Boston   +164 at -1.5     
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2009 - 11:12 PM ET #29

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:



    Pittsburgh
    Boston  -170                (even the reg and PL cashed in ! )

    TB
    Washington -120 use the -.05 line   (nice hit here)

    Vancouver
    Nashville -113
            

    Good luck and Happy New Years


    Well another winning day which brings the record to 69 - 1. Now I am getting impressed with the success rate of the wins. Really thought it was gonna slow down with big bets to be risked but so far, so good.
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:



    Pittsburgh
    Boston  -170                (even the reg and PL cashed in ! )

    TB
    Washington -120 use the -.05 line   (nice hit here)

    Vancouver
    Nashville -113
            

    Good luck and Happy New Years


    Well another winning day which brings the record to 69 - 1. Now I am getting impressed with the success rate of the wins. Really thought it was gonna slow down with big bets to be risked but so far, so good.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 2, 2009 - 12:58 PM ET #30

    This continues to be incredible! 
     
    Lets go Anaheim tonight!!!!
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    This continues to be incredible! 
     
    Lets go Anaheim tonight!!!!
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 2, 2009 - 1:26 PM ET #31

    69-1` guys whohoooooooooo


    Philadelphia
    Anaheim -125        the Ducks get this one

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    69-1` guys whohoooooooooo


    Philadelphia
    Anaheim -125        the Ducks get this one

     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 12:41 PM ET #32

    Damn it Ducks!  I almost bought the +1.5, but couldn't force myself to lay that kind of juice...wish I had now.

    Let's go Predators tonight...and Stars! 

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    Damn it Ducks!  I almost bought the +1.5, but couldn't force myself to lay that kind of juice...wish I had now.

    Let's go Predators tonight...and Stars! 

     
    ketut
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 1:29 PM ET #33

    Im Not to sure about the Stars, they are only 38% for away games, and Edm is 40% at home. If anything I would bet Edm.
    I also like the Predators
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    Im Not to sure about the Stars, they are only 38% for away games, and Edm is 40% at home. If anything I would bet Edm.
    I also like the Predators
     
    hittman2001
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 1:34 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Damn it Ducks!  I almost bought the +1.5, but couldn't force myself to lay that kind of juice...wish I had now.

    Let's go Predators tonight...and Stars! 

    i dont undrestand how the stars fit this system.

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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Damn it Ducks!  I almost bought the +1.5, but couldn't force myself to lay that kind of juice...wish I had now.

    Let's go Predators tonight...and Stars! 

    i dont undrestand how the stars fit this system.

     
    ketut
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 1:38 PM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by hittman2001:

    i dont undrestand how the stars fit this system.

    They don't,  take Edm.
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    Quote Originally Posted by hittman2001:

    i dont undrestand how the stars fit this system.

    They don't,  take Edm.
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 1:49 PM ET #36

    todays games

    Dallas
    Edmonton -110    favorite has won the last 5 matches here
    Goodluck
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    todays games

    Dallas
    Edmonton -110    favorite has won the last 5 matches here
    Goodluck
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 2:00 PM ET #37

    NASHVILLE should also be a play since they lost their first game of the chase
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    NASHVILLE should also be a play since they lost their first game of the chase
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 2:22 PM ET #38

    Edmonton always causes confusion on this it seems.  They are a bottom 8 home team, so we fade them I thought.  Nashville is definitely a play, but I thought Edmonton was a fade play.
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    Edmonton always causes confusion on this it seems.  They are a bottom 8 home team, so we fade them I thought.  Nashville is definitely a play, but I thought Edmonton was a fade play.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 2:40 PM ET #39

    Edmonton has: Dallas, NYI, Vancouver, San Jose, and St. Louis on this homestand. 
     
    I would almost bet anything that you will win on either side of this.  No way they lose them all or win them all. 
     
    Going by the actual system though, which one is right? 
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    Edmonton has: Dallas, NYI, Vancouver, San Jose, and St. Louis on this homestand. 
     
    I would almost bet anything that you will win on either side of this.  No way they lose them all or win them all. 
     
    Going by the actual system though, which one is right? 
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 2:44 PM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Edmonton has: Dallas, NYI, Vancouver, San Jose, and St. Louis on this homestand. 
     
    I would almost bet anything that you will win on either side of this.  No way they lose them all or win them all. 
     
    Going by the actual system though, which one is right? 


    Good point. I think the way to handle this is to choose one side, either back edmonton at home or fade them all the way through. I can't see then winning all of losing all the games so I guess the only luck involved here is choosing the series that is gonna last the shortest amount of time. Obviously, there is still the slim chance that it will happen but I'd go for fading them all the way through as well. Just a feeling but system here is expert's choosing and Dallas has not done well away so it's not that bad of a bet to choose edmonton.

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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Edmonton has: Dallas, NYI, Vancouver, San Jose, and St. Louis on this homestand. 
     
    I would almost bet anything that you will win on either side of this.  No way they lose them all or win them all. 
     
    Going by the actual system though, which one is right? 


    Good point. I think the way to handle this is to choose one side, either back edmonton at home or fade them all the way through. I can't see then winning all of losing all the games so I guess the only luck involved here is choosing the series that is gonna last the shortest amount of time. Obviously, there is still the slim chance that it will happen but I'd go for fading them all the way through as well. Just a feeling but system here is expert's choosing and Dallas has not done well away so it's not that bad of a bet to choose edmonton.

     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 2:47 PM ET #41

    Thanks Elithe, at least someone understands what I'm trying to say. 
     
    Also, by the systems initial rules Edmonton is a fade.  They currently are the 4th worst home team in the league. 
     
    Again though, you're probably going to win either way, so good luck to both sides.  I love the flexibility and capping sense this system has though.  Great job guys, let's keep it going! 
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    Thanks Elithe, at least someone understands what I'm trying to say. 
     
    Also, by the systems initial rules Edmonton is a fade.  They currently are the 4th worst home team in the league. 
     
    Again though, you're probably going to win either way, so good luck to both sides.  I love the flexibility and capping sense this system has though.  Great job guys, let's keep it going! 
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 3:44 PM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Thanks Elithe, at least someone understands what I'm trying to say. 
     
    Also, by the systems initial rules Edmonton is a fade.  They currently are the 4th worst home team in the league. 
     
    Again though, you're probably going to win either way, so good luck to both sides.  I love the flexibility and capping sense this system has though.  Great job guys, let's keep it going! 


    True. However, by the system rules, expert's handicapping takes precedence over the fade list since other factors need to be taken into consideration. This is why I find it interesting to track and profit from this system.
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Thanks Elithe, at least someone understands what I'm trying to say. 
     
    Also, by the systems initial rules Edmonton is a fade.  They currently are the 4th worst home team in the league. 
     
    Again though, you're probably going to win either way, so good luck to both sides.  I love the flexibility and capping sense this system has though.  Great job guys, let's keep it going! 


    True. However, by the system rules, expert's handicapping takes precedence over the fade list since other factors need to be taken into consideration. This is why I find it interesting to track and profit from this system.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 3:47 PM ET #43

    ^ Bingo.
     
    Thanks again! 
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    ^ Bingo.
     
    Thanks again! 
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2009 - 5:31 PM ET #44

    Nashville choked that one away for us. 
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    Nashville choked that one away for us. 
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2009 - 1:02 AM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:



    Dallas
    Edmonton -110          ( great pick )

    but   Nashville    which was the second game of the chase so gotta keep chasing

    Can now officially say that 70 units have been won with the 70 - 1 record but need to factor in the series losses that might get larger depending on the outcome of the Nashville chase. BOL to all

    Seahawks - Hope you took the home side for Edmonton .
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:



    Dallas
    Edmonton -110          ( great pick )

    but   Nashville    which was the second game of the chase so gotta keep chasing

    Can now officially say that 70 units have been won with the 70 - 1 record but need to factor in the series losses that might get larger depending on the outcome of the Nashville chase. BOL to all

    Seahawks - Hope you took the home side for Edmonton .
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2009 - 2:01 AM ET #46

    Unfortunately not Elithe (I had already placed my bet before I posted here...obviously I need to check here BEFORE posting).  Nice call guys, touche!  Looks like I have my own personal chase going now.
     
    Game 3 tomorrow with Anaheim will be nerve-racking. The Rangers came through last week on a game 3, let's hope the Ducks can do the same! 
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    Unfortunately not Elithe (I had already placed my bet before I posted here...obviously I need to check here BEFORE posting).  Nice call guys, touche!  Looks like I have my own personal chase going now.
     
    Game 3 tomorrow with Anaheim will be nerve-racking. The Rangers came through last week on a game 3, let's hope the Ducks can do the same! 
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2009 - 10:47 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:


     
    Game 3 tomorrow with Anaheim will be nerve-racking. The Rangers came through last week on a game 3, let's hope the Ducks can do the same! 


    And, another one coming with Nashville so it's starting to get pretty tough out there. I'm not too sure why but I don't have a good feeling about these ones. Anaheim still has 2 more games which they should be able to win while Nashville has 3 more to go. Buckle up  !
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:


     
    Game 3 tomorrow with Anaheim will be nerve-racking. The Rangers came through last week on a game 3, let's hope the Ducks can do the same! 


    And, another one coming with Nashville so it's starting to get pretty tough out there. I'm not too sure why but I don't have a good feeling about these ones. Anaheim still has 2 more games which they should be able to win while Nashville has 3 more to go. Buckle up  !
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2009 - 11:28 AM ET #48

    Yeah Elithe, I'm squirming over Anaheim tonight.  I'm debating on playing the regulation line (+113) and then putting a small play on the overtime prop (+315) for insurance.  I thought for sure they would get Columbus in game one.
     
    And yeah, Nashville scares me even more.  If they manage a win I am done with them the rest of the season.  I play some teams larger than others, thankfully Nashville I played fairly small. 
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    Yeah Elithe, I'm squirming over Anaheim tonight.  I'm debating on playing the regulation line (+113) and then putting a small play on the overtime prop (+315) for insurance.  I thought for sure they would get Columbus in game one.
     
    And yeah, Nashville scares me even more.  If they manage a win I am done with them the rest of the season.  I play some teams larger than others, thankfully Nashville I played fairly small. 
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2009 - 11:37 AM ET #49

    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Yeah Elithe
     
    And yeah, Nashville scares me even more.  If they manage a win I am done with them the rest of the season.  I play some teams larger than others, thankfully Nashville I played fairly small. 


    I can go by Eli btw.  But, I'm wondering how you decide the size of the unit you wanna chase depending on the team, Any factors in particular?  I was also thinking about the regulation line for Anaheim but tought to tell with these two teams.
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    Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:

    Yeah Elithe
     
    And yeah, Nashville scares me even more.  If they manage a win I am done with them the rest of the season.  I play some teams larger than others, thankfully Nashville I played fairly small. 


    I can go by Eli btw.  But, I'm wondering how you decide the size of the unit you wanna chase depending on the team, Any factors in particular?  I was also thinking about the regulation line for Anaheim but tought to tell with these two teams.
     
     
    seahawksanders
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2009 - 11:47 AM ET #50

    Sorry Eli.
     
    I just base it on the team themselves and who their homestand is against. 
     
    I always go big on the top tier teams (Detroit, Boston, Washington, San Jose, etc), but I dont feel comfortable going the same amount on a Nashville, LA, St. Louis, etc). 
     
    I did go big/normal on Anaheim though and what to do with them is stressing me out.  I'm thinking about a round-robin ML parlay with NJ, Vancouver, and Montreal to off-set a potential Ducks loss.
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    Sorry Eli.
     
    I just base it on the team themselves and who their homestand is against. 
     
    I always go big on the top tier teams (Detroit, Boston, Washington, San Jose, etc), but I dont feel comfortable going the same amount on a Nashville, LA, St. Louis, etc). 
     
    I did go big/normal on Anaheim though and what to do with them is stressing me out.  I'm thinking about a round-robin ML parlay with NJ, Vancouver, and Montreal to off-set a potential Ducks loss.
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