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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Final score ODD - $100- $10k chase

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    neilsy25
    dj_destroyer
    mickjam
    oilcountry99
    aerojackel
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 9:50 PM ET #26

    another empty netter with 30 seconds left

    sharks/hawks ODD   $24.46 to ewin $11.12

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    another empty netter with 30 seconds left

    sharks/hawks ODD   $24.46 to ewin $11.12

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 1:11 AM ET #27

    2nd game comes through for the 3rd straight night..would be nice to hit a game one !

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$110.01

    system record :3-0

    level1: 0-3

    level2: 3-0

    level3: 0-0

     

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    2nd game comes through for the 3rd straight night..would be nice to hit a game one !

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$110.01

    system record :3-0

    level1: 0-3

    level2: 3-0

    level3: 0-0

     

     
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 3:30 AM ET #28

    Stay the course with your system of course but I'd just love to see this system taking the + money plays -- it would help out the chasing!
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    Stay the course with your system of course but I'd just love to see this system taking the + money plays -- it would help out the chasing!
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 5:22 AM ET #29

    I'm curious how there can be a third play in the day...would the first have to be an afternoon game?
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    I'm curious how there can be a third play in the day...would the first have to be an afternoon game?
     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 11:50 AM ET #30

    Neilsy...level b once again keeps us alive!

    Have you taken into consideration what DJ says above about the + money lines...it would be great to figure out a way to have those consistant +170's working in our favour!

    Love the system lets keep rolling!

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    Neilsy...level b once again keeps us alive!

    Have you taken into consideration what DJ says above about the + money lines...it would be great to figure out a way to have those consistant +170's working in our favour!

    Love the system lets keep rolling!

     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 12:27 PM ET #31

    Scoreboard last night: 11 odd, 2 even = 85%

    You say it runs at a 70% clip? Amazing but not surprising, when you think about it.  The shootout era at work.
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    Scoreboard last night: 11 odd, 2 even = 85%

    You say it runs at a 70% clip? Amazing but not surprising, when you think about it.  The shootout era at work.
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 2:03 PM ET #32

    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    Stay the course with your system of course but I'd just love to see this system taking the + money plays -- it would help out the chasing!

    -good point, thing is, what is better - chasing something that wins 70% of the time to 3, or chasing something that win 30% of the time to 6 ? -which is basically what you would be doing if you chased evens at +170...... correct answer is probably neither ..but an interesting discussion for sure...looks like just one game for tonite

    level 1-ducks/wild ODD -220  $7.70 to win $3.18

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    Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:

    Stay the course with your system of course but I'd just love to see this system taking the + money plays -- it would help out the chasing!

    -good point, thing is, what is better - chasing something that wins 70% of the time to 3, or chasing something that win 30% of the time to 6 ? -which is basically what you would be doing if you chased evens at +170...... correct answer is probably neither ..but an interesting discussion for sure...looks like just one game for tonite

    level 1-ducks/wild ODD -220  $7.70 to win $3.18

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 2:05 PM ET #33

    sorry...thats $7.70 to win $3.50
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    sorry...thats $7.70 to win $3.50
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 10:35 PM ET #34

    again i hit the only even on the board.  ..level 2 tommorow !
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    again i hit the only even on the board.  ..level 2 tommorow !
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 12:53 PM ET #35

    Level 2 - Sens/Thrashers ODD -220       $25.30 to win $11.50

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    Level 2 - Sens/Thrashers ODD -220       $25.30 to win $11.50

     
    aerojackel
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 2:25 PM ET #36

    GL - get that Level 2 Win !! 
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    GL - get that Level 2 Win !! 
     
    fishsticks
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 4:02 PM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    Level 2 - Sens/Thrashers ODD -220       $25.30 to win $11.50

      Is that take the senators to win?
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    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    Level 2 - Sens/Thrashers ODD -220       $25.30 to win $11.50

      Is that take the senators to win?
     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 4:07 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by fishsticks:

      Is that take the senators to win?

     

    It means the total score of the game incluing OT will be an ODD #.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fishsticks:

      Is that take the senators to win?

     

    It means the total score of the game incluing OT will be an ODD #.

     
    fishsticks
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 4:09 PM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

     

    It means the total score of the game incluing OT will be an ODD #.

      Thanks bro.
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    Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

     

    It means the total score of the game incluing OT will be an ODD #.

      Thanks bro.
     
    dlew2k
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 8:33 PM ET #40

    perhaps you might want to consider a Labby for all the games..  i.e.  start a labby for games that start 7p-7:59 , and labbies for 8-9 then labbies for 9-10 , 10p+  .  Even if the Odd hits at 67%, one can chase effectively with a labby at -200 odds.  
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    perhaps you might want to consider a Labby for all the games..  i.e.  start a labby for games that start 7p-7:59 , and labbies for 8-9 then labbies for 9-10 , 10p+  .  Even if the Odd hits at 67%, one can chase effectively with a labby at -200 odds.  
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 9:07 PM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by dlew2k:

    perhaps you might want to consider a Labby for all the games..  i.e.  start a labby for games that start 7p-7:59 , and labbies for 8-9 then labbies for 9-10 , 10p+  .  Even if the Odd hits at 67%, one can chase effectively with a labby at -200 odds.  

    I think thats a really good idea...thanks !

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    Quote Originally Posted by dlew2k:

    perhaps you might want to consider a Labby for all the games..  i.e.  start a labby for games that start 7p-7:59 , and labbies for 8-9 then labbies for 9-10 , 10p+  .  Even if the Odd hits at 67%, one can chase effectively with a labby at -200 odds.  

    I think thats a really good idea...thanks !

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 9:14 PM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    I think thats a really good idea...thanks !

     

    -sorry, hit submit to soon ... I would like to work on this idea, any thoughts on how you see the labby looking to best offset the -220 juice ?..anyway...need at least a goal in the 3rd..Go Sens..tie it up and get me the ODD at the same time..

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    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    I think thats a really good idea...thanks !

     

    -sorry, hit submit to soon ... I would like to work on this idea, any thoughts on how you see the labby looking to best offset the -220 juice ?..anyway...need at least a goal in the 3rd..Go Sens..tie it up and get me the ODD at the same time..

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 10:04 PM ET #43

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$113.81

    system record :4-0

    level1: 0-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

    still looking for my first Level 1 win

    Sharks/Stars ODD - $7.97 to win $3.62

     

     

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    start roll : $100

    current roll:$113.81

    system record :4-0

    level1: 0-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

    still looking for my first Level 1 win

    Sharks/Stars ODD - $7.97 to win $3.62

     

     

     
    dlew2k
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 10:35 PM ET #44

    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

     

    -sorry, hit submit to soon ... I would like to work on this idea, any thoughts on how you see the labby looking to best offset the -220 juice ?..anyway...need at least a goal in the 3rd..Go Sens..tie it up and get me the ODD at the same time..


    let me crunch out some numbers on a spreadsheet, and back test it from ...  Nov 1 ?

    But firstly I would say an aggressive labby  like 5 5 5 5 would certainly make the -220 go away quick!  
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    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

     

    -sorry, hit submit to soon ... I would like to work on this idea, any thoughts on how you see the labby looking to best offset the -220 juice ?..anyway...need at least a goal in the 3rd..Go Sens..tie it up and get me the ODD at the same time..


    let me crunch out some numbers on a spreadsheet, and back test it from ...  Nov 1 ?

    But firstly I would say an aggressive labby  like 5 5 5 5 would certainly make the -220 go away quick!  
     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2010 - 10:46 PM ET #45

    Quote Originally Posted by dlew2k:


    let me crunch out some numbers on a spreadsheet, and back test it from ...  Nov 1 ?

    But firstly I would say an aggressive labby  like 5 5 5 5 would certainly make the -220 go away quick!  

    Should be interesting, can't wait to see what you come up with.  Curious to see how big the numbers get and if they'll be manageable.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dlew2k:


    let me crunch out some numbers on a spreadsheet, and back test it from ...  Nov 1 ?

    But firstly I would say an aggressive labby  like 5 5 5 5 would certainly make the -220 go away quick!  

    Should be interesting, can't wait to see what you come up with.  Curious to see how big the numbers get and if they'll be manageable.

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 12:39 PM ET #46

    Finally hit a level 1 play

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$117.43

    system record :5-0

    level1: 1-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

    Just one play tonite

    Level 1 - Oil/Leafs(suck)  ODD -220   $8.22 to win $3.74

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    Finally hit a level 1 play

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$117.43

    system record :5-0

    level1: 1-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

    Just one play tonite

    Level 1 - Oil/Leafs(suck)  ODD -220   $8.22 to win $3.74

     
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 3:44 PM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    Finally hit a level 1 play

     

    Congrats Neilsy!  I hope dlew2k chimes in again soon....very curious over here.

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    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    Finally hit a level 1 play

     

    Congrats Neilsy!  I hope dlew2k chimes in again soon....very curious over here.

     
    dlew2k
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 8:39 PM ET #48

    ok, early calculations....no worries, more to come.

    just by flat betting since day 1 of season Oct 7 to Dec 13
    odds: -220
    Wagering to win  1 unit.
    311 Odd 72%
    122 Even 28%
    +44 units


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    ok, early calculations....no worries, more to come.

    just by flat betting since day 1 of season Oct 7 to Dec 13
    odds: -220
    Wagering to win  1 unit.
    311 Odd 72%
    122 Even 28%
    +44 units


     
    HECTAR
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 10:43 PM ET #49

    That contradicts post 4,

    So far this year   ODD   292 games   EVEN  123 games

    =70%

    And there have been even games since he made that post making the number even higher.

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    That contradicts post 4,

    So far this year   ODD   292 games   EVEN  123 games

    =70%

    And there have been even games since he made that post making the number even higher.

     
     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 11:45 PM ET #50

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$121.17

    system record :6-0

    level1: 2-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

     

    - Hectar. i did my count very quickly. so i was may have been  off.doesnt change much really

     

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    start roll : $100

    current roll:$121.17

    system record :6-0

    level1: 2-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

     

    - Hectar. i did my count very quickly. so i was may have been  off.doesnt change much really

     

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