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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Final score ODD - $100- $10k chase

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    scotth69
    mickjam
    dlew2k
    neilsy25
    gmisener
    ...
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    scotth69
    scotth69
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2010 - 11:53 PM ET #51

    are there any USA books that offer this bet.

     

    Thanks

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    are there any USA books that offer this bet.

     

    Thanks

     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 5:33 AM ET #52

    Just since I started tailing last Saturday the count is
    20O / 4E = 83%.

    Not a solid representation, but it makes me think that 70% is a very reasonable approximation.

    Another level one last night!
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    Just since I started tailing last Saturday the count is
    20O / 4E = 83%.

    Not a solid representation, but it makes me think that 70% is a very reasonable approximation.

    Another level one last night!
     
    dlew2k
    dlew2k
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 12:40 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by scotth69:

    are there any USA books that offer this bet.

     

    Thanks


    sportsinteraction
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    Quote Originally Posted by scotth69:

    are there any USA books that offer this bet.

     

    Thanks


    sportsinteraction
     
    dlew2k
    dlew2k
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 12:41 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    Just since I started tailing last Saturday the count is
    20O / 4E = 83%.

    Not a solid representation, but it makes me think that 70% is a very reasonable approximation.

    Another level one last night!

    outside of a "Even" week in mid-november, ...  its been "odd"
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    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    Just since I started tailing last Saturday the count is
    20O / 4E = 83%.

    Not a solid representation, but it makes me think that 70% is a very reasonable approximation.

    Another level one last night!

    outside of a "Even" week in mid-november, ...  its been "odd"
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 12:45 PM ET #55

    Level 1 - Yotes/Devils ODD -220   $8.48 to win $3.85

     

    side note: thanks to the suggestion of dlew2k , i have been looking at labby versions of this as well..i am tracking something that i may start posting in a seperate thread..this thread is all or nothing $100 -10k or bust ! ..

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    Level 1 - Yotes/Devils ODD -220   $8.48 to win $3.85

     

    side note: thanks to the suggestion of dlew2k , i have been looking at labby versions of this as well..i am tracking something that i may start posting in a seperate thread..this thread is all or nothing $100 -10k or bust ! ..

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 12:47 PM ET #56

    Sportsinteraction offers these bets at -250 ..if anyone knows any other please post them.. at some point it will  be a great problem to have if i go over the max bet and need another book or 2..

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    Sportsinteraction offers these bets at -250 ..if anyone knows any other please post them.. at some point it will  be a great problem to have if i go over the max bet and need another book or 2..

     
    gmisener
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 1:19 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    Sportsinteraction offers these bets at -250 ..if anyone knows any other please post them.. at some point it will  be a great problem to have if i go over the max bet and need another book or 2..



    bet365
    -220
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    Quote Originally Posted by neilsy25:

    Sportsinteraction offers these bets at -250 ..if anyone knows any other please post them.. at some point it will  be a great problem to have if i go over the max bet and need another book or 2..



    bet365
    -220
     
    gmisener
    gmisener
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 1:19 PM ET #58

    bet365
    -220
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    bet365
    -220
     
    gmisener
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 1:19 PM ET #59

    This forum software kinda sucks.

    Sorry for the double post.
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    This forum software kinda sucks.

    Sorry for the double post.
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 5:27 PM ET #60

    bet365 at -220.  I find Sports Interaction's juice is often high, on all sports
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    bet365 at -220.  I find Sports Interaction's juice is often high, on all sports
     
    bigdog56
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 8:04 PM ET #61

    2 Things:

    1) Anybody have anything negative to say about bet365?

    2) I did some back testing using a single Labby line and you need a hefty bankroll for the times you'll run into Even, Even, Odd, Even or dare to say Even, Even, Even.  Interested in other people's thoughts on somehow incorporating this type of wager into Labby.
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    2 Things:

    1) Anybody have anything negative to say about bet365?

    2) I did some back testing using a single Labby line and you need a hefty bankroll for the times you'll run into Even, Even, Odd, Even or dare to say Even, Even, Even.  Interested in other people's thoughts on somehow incorporating this type of wager into Labby.
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 9:00 PM ET #62

    I don't mind bet365, but I find their wager history section confusing, and for some bizarre reason your balance is not displayed on the main page.  Small potatoes, but they cannot compare to a site like Pinnacle.

    On the plus side, they have awesome hockey options
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    I don't mind bet365, but I find their wager history section confusing, and for some bizarre reason your balance is not displayed on the main page.  Small potatoes, but they cannot compare to a site like Pinnacle.

    On the plus side, they have awesome hockey options
     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 9:19 PM ET #63

    No level 2 play tonight?  Yotes looking like it will come in
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    No level 2 play tonight?  Yotes looking like it will come in
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 9:32 PM ET #64

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$125.02

    system record :7-0

    level1: 3-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

    Level 1 -    Jackets/Nucks ODD -220   $8.75 to win $3.98

     

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    start roll : $100

    current roll:$125.02

    system record :7-0

    level1: 3-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

    Level 1 -    Jackets/Nucks ODD -220   $8.75 to win $3.98

     

     
    alldayinvestor
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 11:38 PM ET #65

    I tallied the results (every game) both for a -2.20 line and -2.50 line for the season (I doubt its 100% but its pretty close to it).

    with -2.20 lines:

    Oct 106-48  69%   +.4 units

    Nov 140-59 70%     +10.2 units

    Dec 70-20 78%   +26 units

    Total flat betting = +36.6 units

     

    Now with a -2.50 line (for those at sportsinteraction)

    Oct 106-48  69%    -14 units

    Nov 140-59  70%   -17.5 units

    Dec 70-20  78%    +20 units

    Total flat betting = -11.5 units

     

    So it looks like just the 3 tenths difference in juice really changes the results.  It won't work playing at sports interaction every game.

     

    For the system purposes, I did a little testing by just picking out 1 to 2 plays per nite like Neilsy did.  I did it twice and each time I made it about a month before losing 3 games in a row.  I don't want to be a Debby Downer, but thats what happened.  Maybe Neilsy can pick out better selections each nite than randomly picking them and it will work.  Like Neilsy says, its for fun.  Maybe luck will be on this thread's side for 111 more days or whatever it is. 

     

     

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    I tallied the results (every game) both for a -2.20 line and -2.50 line for the season (I doubt its 100% but its pretty close to it).

    with -2.20 lines:

    Oct 106-48  69%   +.4 units

    Nov 140-59 70%     +10.2 units

    Dec 70-20 78%   +26 units

    Total flat betting = +36.6 units

     

    Now with a -2.50 line (for those at sportsinteraction)

    Oct 106-48  69%    -14 units

    Nov 140-59  70%   -17.5 units

    Dec 70-20  78%    +20 units

    Total flat betting = -11.5 units

     

    So it looks like just the 3 tenths difference in juice really changes the results.  It won't work playing at sports interaction every game.

     

    For the system purposes, I did a little testing by just picking out 1 to 2 plays per nite like Neilsy did.  I did it twice and each time I made it about a month before losing 3 games in a row.  I don't want to be a Debby Downer, but thats what happened.  Maybe Neilsy can pick out better selections each nite than randomly picking them and it will work.  Like Neilsy says, its for fun.  Maybe luck will be on this thread's side for 111 more days or whatever it is. 

     

     

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 15, 2010 - 11:52 PM ET #66

    No doubt you are correct allday investor ..do i have better than 1 in 100 of dodging these bullets ?..dunno.. time will tell..however, if it hits a 3rd game loss only once a month..thats good news for anyone wanting to run  a labby. imo .. gonna start the labby thread tommorow..

    as well i think the increase in ODD that has occured in December should continue...these 3 point games mean that even with 10 minutes left in the 3rd teams are playin for the tie, and settle it in OT..get that point..every point is crucial even now...

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    No doubt you are correct allday investor ..do i have better than 1 in 100 of dodging these bullets ?..dunno.. time will tell..however, if it hits a 3rd game loss only once a month..thats good news for anyone wanting to run  a labby. imo .. gonna start the labby thread tommorow..

    as well i think the increase in ODD that has occured in December should continue...these 3 point games mean that even with 10 minutes left in the 3rd teams are playin for the tie, and settle it in OT..get that point..every point is crucial even now...

     
    alldayinvestor
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2010 - 1:22 AM ET #67

    I agree, the percentages should no doubt stay the same or improve slightly with points getting more and more crucial to NHL teams. 

     

    I'm interested to here your labby ideas or anyone elses with this. 

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    I agree, the percentages should no doubt stay the same or improve slightly with points getting more and more crucial to NHL teams. 

     

    I'm interested to here your labby ideas or anyone elses with this. 

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2010 - 3:11 AM ET #68

    Any other criteria to picking these games Neilsy?

    What about picking Division games? Are these games more likely to result in 1 goal games? I don't know the answer right off, but I would think, like any sport, division games are typically much tighter scores.


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    Any other criteria to picking these games Neilsy?

    What about picking Division games? Are these games more likely to result in 1 goal games? I don't know the answer right off, but I would think, like any sport, division games are typically much tighter scores.


     
    mickjam
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2010 - 5:25 AM ET #69

    I assume that:

     - some teams have better shootout or 4 on 4 results, so will play for them, settling into a trap in the last ten minutes
     - on '4 point games', a regulation tie is nearly as desirable as a win for teams on the bubble
     - teams like Mtl don't go for the empty netter as much as Wash (ovy loves to shoot!)

    Many other variabless, I'm sure.
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    I assume that:

     - some teams have better shootout or 4 on 4 results, so will play for them, settling into a trap in the last ten minutes
     - on '4 point games', a regulation tie is nearly as desirable as a win for teams on the bubble
     - teams like Mtl don't go for the empty netter as much as Wash (ovy loves to shoot!)

    Many other variabless, I'm sure.
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2010 - 10:26 AM ET #70

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$129.00

    system record :8-0

    level1: 4-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

     

    Just 1 tonite

    Level 1 - Bruins/Habs ODD  -220    $9.03 to win $4.10

    Kreatture, i definetely agree that divisional games *should* have a higher percentage of odds.. when i get a chance i am gonna go over the season to date to see if this is the case..at any rate the ODDS were 9/10 last night.. so a good night for a labby line as well, or for flat betting each game .. I hope to start posting my labby version of this (with some -200 or so faves in NBA and NCAAB mixed in as well) ..when i have time..

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    start roll : $100

    current roll:$129.00

    system record :8-0

    level1: 4-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

     

    Just 1 tonite

    Level 1 - Bruins/Habs ODD  -220    $9.03 to win $4.10

    Kreatture, i definetely agree that divisional games *should* have a higher percentage of odds.. when i get a chance i am gonna go over the season to date to see if this is the case..at any rate the ODDS were 9/10 last night.. so a good night for a labby line as well, or for flat betting each game .. I hope to start posting my labby version of this (with some -200 or so faves in NBA and NCAAB mixed in as well) ..when i have time..

     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2010 - 9:50 PM ET #71

     

    start roll : $100

    current roll:$133.10

    system record :9-0

    level1: 5-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

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    start roll : $100

    current roll:$133.10

    system record :9-0

    level1: 5-4

    level2: 4-0

    level3: 0-0

     
    mickjam
    mickjam
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    Posts: 470
    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 5:14 AM ET #72

    Any level 3 plays on the horizon, Neilsy?
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    Any level 3 plays on the horizon, Neilsy?
     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 5:20 AM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    Any level 3 plays on the horizon, Neilsy?

    I sure hope not... you realize this is a 3 game chase right ?,, a level 3 play would mean i have lost the first 2 and have the remaining 70% of the roll on the line !

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    Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

    Any level 3 plays on the horizon, Neilsy?

    I sure hope not... you realize this is a 3 game chase right ?,, a level 3 play would mean i have lost the first 2 and have the remaining 70% of the roll on the line !

     
    neilsy25
    neilsy25
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    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 818
    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 8:54 AM ET #74

    Level 1 - Sabres/Panther ODD -220  $9.32 to win $4.24

    147 more wins to go to hit 10k !

     

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    Level 1 - Sabres/Panther ODD -220  $9.32 to win $4.24

    147 more wins to go to hit 10k !

     

     
     
    dlew2k
    dlew2k
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    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 192
    Posted: Dec. 17, 2010 - 9:04 AM ET #75

    What about a Labby line for each team playing a home game?  i.e a 2468 line.  ..(man, more back testing.)  brb!!
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    What about a Labby line for each team playing a home game?  i.e a 2468 line.  ..(man, more back testing.)  brb!!
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