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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL 2011 Consensus Dogs

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    jonnymega
    reaptherewards
    georugby
    ERBATIZ
    koonendez
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 8477
    Posts: 116
    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 17, 2011 - 11:52 AM ET #26

    10/17/11


    Yesterday:


    No plays


    Record  10-10
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1047.41
    Current Unit    $20.95



    Today's plays:


    COL +117
    FLA +141
    ANA +153



    book

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    10/17/11


    Yesterday:


    No plays


    Record  10-10
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1047.41
    Current Unit    $20.95



    Today's plays:


    COL +117
    FLA +141
    ANA +153



    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 18, 2011 - 8:26 AM ET #27

    10/18/11


    Yesterday:


    COL +117  WIN
    FLA +141 
    WIN
    ANA +153 
    WIN


    Record  13-10
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1133.51
    Current Unit    $22.67



    Today's plays:


    CAR +158
    EDM +150
    PHO +123
    STL +129



    book

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    0
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    10/18/11


    Yesterday:


    COL +117  WIN
    FLA +141 
    WIN
    ANA +153 
    WIN


    Record  13-10
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1133.51
    Current Unit    $22.67



    Today's plays:


    CAR +158
    EDM +150
    PHO +123
    STL +129



    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 19, 2011 - 9:16 AM ET #28

    10/19/11


    Yesterday:


    CAR +158  WIN
    EDM +150  LOSS
    PHO +123  LOSS
    STL +129  LOSS


    Record  14-13
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1101.32
    Current Unit    $22.03



    Today's plays:


    No plays


    book

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    10/19/11


    Yesterday:


    CAR +158  WIN
    EDM +150  LOSS
    PHO +123  LOSS
    STL +129  LOSS


    Record  14-13
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1101.32
    Current Unit    $22.03



    Today's plays:


    No plays


    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 20, 2011 - 10:34 AM ET #29

    10/20/11


    Yesterday:


    No plays


    Record  14-13
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1101.32
    Current Unit    $22.03



    Today's plays:


    TOR +155
    WAS +110
    NYR +110


    book

    Reply
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    10/20/11


    Yesterday:


    No plays


    Record  14-13
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1101.32
    Current Unit    $22.03



    Today's plays:


    TOR +155
    WAS +110
    NYR +110


    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 21, 2011 - 9:31 AM ET #30

    10/21/11


    Yesterday:


    TOR +155  LOSS
    WAS +110 
    WIN
    NYR +110
      WIN


    Record  16-14
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1127.76
    Current Unit    $22.54



    Today's plays:


    DAL +122
    CAR +120


    book

    Reply
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    0
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    10/21/11


    Yesterday:


    TOR +155  LOSS
    WAS +110 
    WIN
    NYR +110
      WIN


    Record  16-14
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1127.76
    Current Unit    $22.54



    Today's plays:


    DAL +122
    CAR +120


    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 21, 2011 - 10:18 AM ET #31

    So, it's been about two weeks since the start of the season and we seem to be doing alright thus far. A 16-14 record is not too shabby when one considers that all plays are underdogs and are going against the consensus.

    As pointed out earlier, a key facet of this system is to compare two different types of unit plays: One being a static unit amount of $20 (which was our original 2% of $1000) and the other being a fluid unit amount (which is 2% of whatever the current bank amount is). At this point the static unit plays have a slight edge. Looking at our playbook one can see that the fluid unit approach has netted a profit of $1,127.76 while the static unit approach has a profit of $1,129.80 (6.49 units), a difference of $2.04. It will be interesting to watch these two approaches develop over the course of the season.

    Another telling component of this system to follow is the ROI,  or our return on investment. At this point (before today's plays) the system has invested a total of $623.53 on 30 plays for a return of $751.29 which calculates to an ROI of 20%, well above the 10% goal as expressed in our spreadsheet's chart. Granted, it is very early in the season, one could be rather pleased with a return like that. Let's hope that this data arc remains consistent as we go on.


    Thanks for following and to all.

     


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    So, it's been about two weeks since the start of the season and we seem to be doing alright thus far. A 16-14 record is not too shabby when one considers that all plays are underdogs and are going against the consensus.

    As pointed out earlier, a key facet of this system is to compare two different types of unit plays: One being a static unit amount of $20 (which was our original 2% of $1000) and the other being a fluid unit amount (which is 2% of whatever the current bank amount is). At this point the static unit plays have a slight edge. Looking at our playbook one can see that the fluid unit approach has netted a profit of $1,127.76 while the static unit approach has a profit of $1,129.80 (6.49 units), a difference of $2.04. It will be interesting to watch these two approaches develop over the course of the season.

    Another telling component of this system to follow is the ROI,  or our return on investment. At this point (before today's plays) the system has invested a total of $623.53 on 30 plays for a return of $751.29 which calculates to an ROI of 20%, well above the 10% goal as expressed in our spreadsheet's chart. Granted, it is very early in the season, one could be rather pleased with a return like that. Let's hope that this data arc remains consistent as we go on.


    Thanks for following and to all.

     


     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 22, 2011 - 11:32 AM ET #32

    10/22/11


    Yesterday:


    DAL +122 
    WIN
    CAR +120
      LOSS


    Record  17-15
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1132.72
    Current Unit    $22.65



    Today's plays:


    NAS +122
    DET +129
    TB +108
    EDM +116
    SJ +123



    book


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    10/22/11


    Yesterday:


    DAL +122 
    WIN
    CAR +120
      LOSS


    Record  17-15
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1132.72
    Current Unit    $22.65



    Today's plays:


    NAS +122
    DET +129
    TB +108
    EDM +116
    SJ +123



    book


     
    reaptherewards
    reaptherewards
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 130
    Posted: Oct. 22, 2011 - 10:43 PM ET #33

    Excellent job, keep up the good work. I follow you every day.
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    Excellent job, keep up the good work. I follow you every day.
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 23, 2011 - 10:22 AM ET #34

    Thanks reaper.
     
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    Thanks reaper.
     
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 23, 2011 - 10:25 AM ET #35

    10/23/11


    Yesterday:

    NAS +122  WIN
    DET +129 
    LOSS
    TB +108 
    WIN
    EDM +116 
    WIN
    SJ +123
      WIN


    Record  21-16
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1216.29
    Current Unit    $24.33



    Today's plays:


    PHO +145



    book

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    0
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    10/23/11


    Yesterday:

    NAS +122  WIN
    DET +129 
    LOSS
    TB +108 
    WIN
    EDM +116 
    WIN
    SJ +123
      WIN


    Record  21-16
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1216.29
    Current Unit    $24.33



    Today's plays:


    PHO +145



    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 24, 2011 - 10:37 AM ET #36

    10/24/11


    Yesterday:

    PHO +145  WIN



    Record  22-16
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1251.57
    Current Unit    $25.03



    Today's plays:


    WIN +114
    FLA +119


    book


    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
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    10/24/11


    Yesterday:

    PHO +145  WIN



    Record  22-16
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1251.57
    Current Unit    $25.03



    Today's plays:


    WIN +114
    FLA +119


    book


     
    georugby
    georugby
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2005
    Posts: 2210
    Posted: Oct. 24, 2011 - 11:15 AM ET #37

    Great work, keep it up!

     

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    Great work, keep it up!

     

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 24, 2011 - 11:18 PM ET #38

    Thanks Geo!


    We got the split this evening for our 5th straight winning night.





    More plays tomorrow!


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    Thanks Geo!


    We got the split this evening for our 5th straight winning night.





    More plays tomorrow!


     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 9:08 AM ET #39

    10/25/11


    Yesterday:

    WIN +114  LOSS
    FLA +119
      WIN



    Record  23-17
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1256.33
    Current Unit    $25.13



    Today's plays:


    NYI +115
    NAS +120
    ANA +162


    book


    Reply
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    10/25/11


    Yesterday:

    WIN +114  LOSS
    FLA +119
      WIN



    Record  23-17
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1256.33
    Current Unit    $25.13



    Today's plays:


    NYI +115
    NAS +120
    ANA +162


    book


     
    ERBATIZ
    ERBATIZ
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 2179
    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 11:43 AM ET #40

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    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 25, 2011 - 4:27 PM ET #41

    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:





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    Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:





     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 26, 2011 - 12:37 PM ET #42

    10/26/11


    Yesterday:

    NYI +115  LOSS
    NAS +120 
    LOSS
    ANA +162 
    LOSS



    Record  23-20
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1180.94
    Current Unit    $23.62



    Today's plays:


    STL +135
    COL +109


    book

    Reply
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    0
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    10/26/11


    Yesterday:

    NYI +115  LOSS
    NAS +120 
    LOSS
    ANA +162 
    LOSS



    Record  23-20
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1180.94
    Current Unit    $23.62



    Today's plays:


    STL +135
    COL +109


    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 27, 2011 - 9:53 AM ET #43

    10/27/11


    Yesterday:

    STL +135  WIN
    COL +109
      LOSS



    Record  24-21
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1189.21
    Current Unit    $23.78



    Today's plays:


    TOR +135
    MTL +177
    CLB +179
    NYI +169

    EDM +143
    NJ +120



    book

    Reply
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    10/27/11


    Yesterday:

    STL +135  WIN
    COL +109
      LOSS



    Record  24-21
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1189.21
    Current Unit    $23.78



    Today's plays:


    TOR +135
    MTL +177
    CLB +179
    NYI +169

    EDM +143
    NJ +120



    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 11:08 AM ET #44

    10/28/11


    Yesterday:

    TOR +135  WIN
    MTL +177 
    WIN
    CLB +179  LOSS
    NYI +169 
    LOSS
    EDM +143 
    WIN
    NJ +120
      LOSS



    Record  27-24
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1226.06
    Current Unit    $24.52



    Today's plays:


    STL +108
    SJ +113


    book

    Reply
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    0
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    10/28/11


    Yesterday:

    TOR +135  WIN
    MTL +177 
    WIN
    CLB +179  LOSS
    NYI +169 
    LOSS
    EDM +143 
    WIN
    NJ +120
      LOSS



    Record  27-24
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1226.06
    Current Unit    $24.52



    Today's plays:


    STL +108
    SJ +113


    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 28, 2011 - 12:39 PM ET #45

    adding:


    CAR +115
    EDM +148
    Reply
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    adding:


    CAR +115
    EDM +148
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 29, 2011 - 11:01 AM ET #46

    10/29/11


    Yesterday:


    STL +108  LOSS
    SJ +113 
    WIN
    CAR +115 
    WIN
    EDM +148  WIN




    Record  30-25
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1293.74
    Current Unit    $25.87



    Today's plays:


    CLB +183
    WIN +147
    WAS +109
    FLA +160



    book

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
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    10/29/11


    Yesterday:


    STL +108  LOSS
    SJ +113 
    WIN
    CAR +115 
    WIN
    EDM +148  WIN




    Record  30-25
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1293.74
    Current Unit    $25.87



    Today's plays:


    CLB +183
    WIN +147
    WAS +109
    FLA +160



    book

     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 29, 2011 - 12:46 PM ET #47

    adding:


    MTL +107
    PHX +111
    Reply
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    adding:


    MTL +107
    PHX +111
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 30, 2011 - 12:15 PM ET #48

    10/30/11


    Yesterday:


    CLB +183  LOSS
    WIN +147 
    LOSS
    WAS +109 
    LOSS
    FLA +160 
    WIN
    MTL +107  WIN
    PHX +111  WIN



    Record  33-28
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1313.92
    Current Unit    $26.28



    Today's plays:


    TOR +103
    CLB +105


    book

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    10/30/11


    Yesterday:


    CLB +183  LOSS
    WIN +147 
    LOSS
    WAS +109 
    LOSS
    FLA +160 
    WIN
    MTL +107  WIN
    PHX +111  WIN



    Record  33-28
    Starting Bank $1000.00
    Current Bank  $1313.92
    Current Unit    $26.28



    Today's plays:


    TOR +103
    CLB +105


    book

     
    koonendez
    koonendez
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 55
    Posted: Oct. 30, 2011 - 12:30 PM ET #49

    great test. following
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    great test. following
     
     
    jonnymega
    jonnymega
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2008
    Posts: 833
    Posted: Oct. 30, 2011 - 1:10 PM ET #50

    Quote Originally Posted by koonendez:

    great test. following



    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by koonendez:

    great test. following



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