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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL 2 Team road parlay system

    «First Previous 434445 ... 170171172 Next Last»
    rivermonsterz
    Danrules24
    kenkean89
    dkistler
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    «First Previous 434445 ... 170171172 Next Last»
     
    rivermonsterz
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2016 - 3:57 PM ET #1051

    Nice job Dan.
    Well done on another season of exploiting the positive expected value in away favorites.
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    Nice job Dan.
    Well done on another season of exploiting the positive expected value in away favorites.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 26, 2016 - 12:58 PM ET #1052

    Friday, Game 3, TB -143 and Boston -130, $30 to win $60.19
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Friday, Game 3, TB -143 and Boston -130, $30 to win $60.19
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 9:18 AM ET #1053

    Nice winner !! 
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    Nice winner !! 
     
    dkistler
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 11:21 AM ET #1054

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    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2016 - 12:55 PM ET #1055

    Saturday, game 1, Detroit -115 and Florida-102, $10 to win $27.02

    Florida is -110 at most places so I feel we might be getting a little value here. At 5dimes Ott is -105 but went with Florida for value plus they are a first place team against a last place. Columbus has been playing better lately though. 
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday, game 1, Detroit -115 and Florida-102, $10 to win $27.02

    Florida is -110 at most places so I feel we might be getting a little value here. At 5dimes Ott is -105 but went with Florida for value plus they are a first place team against a last place. Columbus has been playing better lately though. 
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2016 - 12:33 PM ET #1056

    Sunday, game 2, SJ -146 and NYI -134, $20 to win $38.85. 
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday, game 2, SJ -146 and NYI -134, $20 to win $38.85. 
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 4:18 PM ET #1057

    Pinch-hitting for Dan, tonight's game 3 play should be Tampa/Detroit. However, if you're playing the post all-star chase, tonight is the C game on Dallas.......with Detroit and Dallas playing each other, I personally will skip the parlay and be on Dallas to win game C of their chase.

    Thoughts anyone?
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    Pinch-hitting for Dan, tonight's game 3 play should be Tampa/Detroit. However, if you're playing the post all-star chase, tonight is the C game on Dallas.......with Detroit and Dallas playing each other, I personally will skip the parlay and be on Dallas to win game C of their chase.

    Thoughts anyone?
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 5:18 PM ET #1058

    Monday, game 3:

    Tampa -175, Detroit +125

    $30.00/76.07
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    Monday, game 3:

    Tampa -175, Detroit +125

    $30.00/76.07
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 5:38 PM ET #1059

    Ken I think that is the way to play it. Make it an official play for the record but don't bet against yourself if playing both.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Ken I think that is the way to play it. Make it an official play for the record but don't bet against yourself if playing both.
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 7:09 PM ET #1060

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Ken I think that is the way to play it. Make it an official play for the record but don't bet against yourself if playing both.

    Agreed!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Ken I think that is the way to play it. Make it an official play for the record but don't bet against yourself if playing both.

    Agreed!
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 8:12 PM ET #1061

    Thanks for posting. Today was a travel day and tomorrow afternoon starts my no internet time.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thanks for posting. Today was a travel day and tomorrow afternoon starts my no internet time.
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 8:14 PM ET #1062

    Have fun bro! Baseball around the corner........
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    Have fun bro! Baseball around the corner........
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2016 - 11:34 PM ET #1063

    Ok, question to the guys who play this system day in and day out. Do you have any idea what the overall record would be had you played each game individually? If no one kept up with this can you at least guesstimate? Do you feel like it was 50/50?
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    Ok, question to the guys who play this system day in and day out. Do you have any idea what the overall record would be had you played each game individually? If no one kept up with this can you at least guesstimate? Do you feel like it was 50/50?
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2016 - 5:41 AM ET #1064

    SUPEREAGLE,

    A very good question...I would approx a 60/40 ratio (no 'guesstimate') I have reviewed this system daily from its conception, and I am seeing a 60% plus overall winning edge. the thread clearly speaks for itself..

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    SUPEREAGLE,

    A very good question...I would approx a 60/40 ratio (no 'guesstimate') I have reviewed this system daily from its conception, and I am seeing a 60% plus overall winning edge. the thread clearly speaks for itself..

     
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2016 - 11:51 AM ET #1065

    So in conjugation with the regular system we could have also played the games individually with a conservative labby and profited very nicely or would the juice have been tricky? Also how do feel running a labby going opposite on the individual plays would have played out with most plays being +money?
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    So in conjugation with the regular system we could have also played the games individually with a conservative labby and profited very nicely or would the juice have been tricky? Also how do feel running a labby going opposite on the individual plays would have played out with most plays being +money?
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2016 - 12:01 PM ET #1066

    Haha!!! I meant conjunction!!
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    Haha!!! I meant conjunction!!
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2016 - 4:47 PM ET #1067

    Nice win last night, tonight starts a new chase, game 1:

    Florida  -120,  NYI -150;

    $10.00/$20.56

    Good luck guys
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    Nice win last night, tonight starts a new chase, game 1:

    Florida  -120,  NYI -150;

    $10.00/$20.56

    Good luck guys
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2016 - 6:19 AM ET #1068

    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    So in conjugation with the regular system we could have also played the games individually with a conservative labby and profited very nicely or would the juice have been tricky? Also how do feel running a labby going opposite on the individual plays would have played out with most plays being +money?
    to answer that one would have to review the entire thread based on the daily value of the plays; after scrolling through this thread I have found a bare minimum of 0-2 days to coincide with the numerous 2-0 Twin WINS, and the 1-1 plays where as their value would compensate the bettor had he played each game individually straight up.
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    Quote Originally Posted by SUPEREAGLE43:

    So in conjugation with the regular system we could have also played the games individually with a conservative labby and profited very nicely or would the juice have been tricky? Also how do feel running a labby going opposite on the individual plays would have played out with most plays being +money?
    to answer that one would have to review the entire thread based on the daily value of the plays; after scrolling through this thread I have found a bare minimum of 0-2 days to coincide with the numerous 2-0 Twin WINS, and the 1-1 plays where as their value would compensate the bettor had he played each game individually straight up.
     
    smurph_daddy
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2016 - 2:32 PM ET #1069

    If I don't get out of work too late tonight I will try to go through the thread and calculate it. I'm very interested if it makes sense to add this onto the system
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    If I don't get out of work too late tonight I will try to go through the thread and calculate it. I'm very interested if it makes sense to add this onto the system
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Mar. 2, 2016 - 2:32 PM ET #1070

    Good win last night, no play tonight.....
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    Good win last night, no play tonight.....
     
    smurph_daddy
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2016 - 12:51 AM ET #1071

    I made a spreadsheet of all of the official bets for this year's chase...

    If we took every parlay and broke it up into two bets we would have:

    Total bets: 229 (Odd number because there was one bet that was two parlays of 3 games due to even lines)
    Wins: 133
    Losses:96
    Win Percent: 58.08%

    Profit is 14.1 units

    A couple of observations:
    It was a while ago so you may not remember but we had a crazy hot start to the season, up nearly 20 units at one point.
    After the chase system loss, we were down to about 10 unit profit.
    From December through middle of January we plummeted, dancing above and below the line of being profitable.
    Since mid-Jan we've been on a hot streak.
    It's pretty obvious that if the chase system doesn't go deep (ie. 6,7,8 games) this system will be more profitable.

    Let me know if you'd like anymore analysis on this..

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    I made a spreadsheet of all of the official bets for this year's chase...

    If we took every parlay and broke it up into two bets we would have:

    Total bets: 229 (Odd number because there was one bet that was two parlays of 3 games due to even lines)
    Wins: 133
    Losses:96
    Win Percent: 58.08%

    Profit is 14.1 units

    A couple of observations:
    It was a while ago so you may not remember but we had a crazy hot start to the season, up nearly 20 units at one point.
    After the chase system loss, we were down to about 10 unit profit.
    From December through middle of January we plummeted, dancing above and below the line of being profitable.
    Since mid-Jan we've been on a hot streak.
    It's pretty obvious that if the chase system doesn't go deep (ie. 6,7,8 games) this system will be more profitable.

    Let me know if you'd like anymore analysis on this..

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2016 - 3:00 AM ET #1072

    smurf_daddy,

    Your effort; contribution. is appreciated. 58% / 14u is a key element to the internal success, and value that these stats possess..well done!

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    smurf_daddy,

    Your effort; contribution. is appreciated. 58% / 14u is a key element to the internal success, and value that these stats possess..well done!

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2016 - 6:45 AM ET #1073

    _smurph_
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    _smurph_
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2016 - 6:56 AM ET #1074

    [Quote: Originally Posted by kenkean89] Nice win last night, tonight starts a new chase, game 1:

    Florida  -120,  NYI -150;

    $10.00/$20.56

    Good luck guys

    [/Quote] continued success...roll with it

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    [Quote: Originally Posted by kenkean89] Nice win last night, tonight starts a new chase, game 1:

    Florida  -120,  NYI -150;

    $10.00/$20.56

    Good luck guys

    [/Quote] continued success...roll with it

     
     
    SUPEREAGLE43
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    Posted: Mar. 3, 2016 - 3:48 PM ET #1075

    Awesome work smurph! That tells me that running a conservative Labby both on AND against as well as following the system would all generate profits which could add MUCH more to the bankroll!  Does Dan run a similar system in baseball?
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    Awesome work smurph! That tells me that running a conservative Labby both on AND against as well as following the system would all generate profits which could add MUCH more to the bankroll!  Does Dan run a similar system in baseball?
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