When I ran my calculations I would just do two parlays. It works well for a few reasons.
1) MANY times, it hit for both games.
2) Even if it doesn’t, a win following the loss of BOTH would outweigh even the loss of both.
3) If one of them win and the other loses, it pays for the loss (and previous) losses, plus some.
For example, let’s say day 1 you lose your first play for $50 and day 2 you have to play TWO parlays because there’s one major favorite (-135) and two minor favorites who are tied (-130).
if you run two parlays for $100 each, and just OME hits, it pays $207.98. You cover the $100 loss, the $50 loss, and still net $57.98 profit.
If they both hit, obviously you’re WAY up. Either way, you start a new chase.
In the rare event they both lose, your 3X bet will still likely cover the game 1 loss AND both game 2 losses, just less profit than normal.
System Extraordinaire.
0
@race444
When I ran my calculations I would just do two parlays. It works well for a few reasons.
1) MANY times, it hit for both games.
2) Even if it doesn’t, a win following the loss of BOTH would outweigh even the loss of both.
3) If one of them win and the other loses, it pays for the loss (and previous) losses, plus some.
For example, let’s say day 1 you lose your first play for $50 and day 2 you have to play TWO parlays because there’s one major favorite (-135) and two minor favorites who are tied (-130).
if you run two parlays for $100 each, and just OME hits, it pays $207.98. You cover the $100 loss, the $50 loss, and still net $57.98 profit.
If they both hit, obviously you’re WAY up. Either way, you start a new chase.
In the rare event they both lose, your 3X bet will still likely cover the game 1 loss AND both game 2 losses, just less profit than normal.
Damn..... gutsy, but I'm going to stick with my base play. I'd have to reload my account to double down. I like the play though. Hoping to get this win to avoid the reload but if I gotta reload, I'm doing it. I'm playing both all year no matter what. The research just shows its too good to quit.
System Extraordinaire.
0
@race444
Damn..... gutsy, but I'm going to stick with my base play. I'd have to reload my account to double down. I like the play though. Hoping to get this win to avoid the reload but if I gotta reload, I'm doing it. I'm playing both all year no matter what. The research just shows its too good to quit.
Not an option for me, especially right now. All casinos around me are closed.
I went back and read literally every page of this thread. A lot of times people asked Dan if he back tested, and he always said he would when he got time, so I took it upon myself, with the help of Race and Esposito, to back test it a decade. In back testing, we simply went by the two strongest road favorites. No capping. When there was a strong favorite, and two weaker favorites tied, I parlayed the strong favorite with both weak favorites. This was overwhelmingly a winning play over time as well, just didn't work out yesterday.
We know Dan did things a tad bit differently, but he isn't here this year, and the best thing we can do in lieu of his presence is go by the numbers 100%.
System Extraordinaire.
1
@BlueStar57
Not an option for me, especially right now. All casinos around me are closed.
I went back and read literally every page of this thread. A lot of times people asked Dan if he back tested, and he always said he would when he got time, so I took it upon myself, with the help of Race and Esposito, to back test it a decade. In back testing, we simply went by the two strongest road favorites. No capping. When there was a strong favorite, and two weaker favorites tied, I parlayed the strong favorite with both weak favorites. This was overwhelmingly a winning play over time as well, just didn't work out yesterday.
We know Dan did things a tad bit differently, but he isn't here this year, and the best thing we can do in lieu of his presence is go by the numbers 100%.
We got so fucked on the -2... Avs miss empty netters, then get a bullshit icing call when they had a guy in position to get an easy empty netter. This crap has to stop at some point.. Our luck will turn soon.
System Extraordinaire.
0
We got so fucked on the -2... Avs miss empty netters, then get a bullshit icing call when they had a guy in position to get an easy empty netter. This crap has to stop at some point.. Our luck will turn soon.
I'm happy to post them if it helps others out. Before I went to bed last night I locked in:
Wild-138
Canadiens-125
I believe this is an 8X play, Race can probably chime in there. I got a little off kilter making a mistake early on and playing the wrong team, then doubling down on the two correct teams, so personally I am on a 12X play... but the system is on 8 if I'm not mistaken.
System Extraordinaire.
1
@BlueStar57
No worries friend :)
I'm happy to post them if it helps others out. Before I went to bed last night I locked in:
Wild-138
Canadiens-125
I believe this is an 8X play, Race can probably chime in there. I got a little off kilter making a mistake early on and playing the wrong team, then doubling down on the two correct teams, so personally I am on a 12X play... but the system is on 8 if I'm not mistaken.
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