New Strategy

the basic principle of this system is not based on trends or supporting stats.  It's called the BS System for that very reason. Best thing is to just have faith and trust in it.  Don't try to fix something if it's ain't broke.

 BOL!! and welcome aboard.

I have never gambled in Vegas so can't answer your second question.

Not a lot of tweaking going on in that respect because the whole system/strategy was developed to use as little brain power as possible and still win.  It was a spin off of another poster trying to cap the 1st inning w/out much success. So I said the heck with it, I'm just going to take the biggest dog and see what happens.

Check the other thread out on sbr. They have been trying to do this and its been hit and miss.

better2win should know the answer to your casino q. I don't know.
Go back to around July 4. he was in vegas back then and posting in here.

https://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/550403-dabas-1st-inning-strategy-p82.html

and now the DT hits!!! YEH!!!

https://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/550403-dabas-1st-inning-strategy-p82.html

going to stay away from the NO bet at 9.35 but may do a hedge on all the yes bets at 10PM that are dogs and which are pretty juicy, I may add.  Or maybe just relish in the 2 wins and call it a night.  Decisions decisions. What say you, Smitman???

Everyone has been scoring first inning tonight. PERFECT time for a small bet on the 9:35 even "no". And here is where the stats come in - San Diego - check 'em out. Smart bet - even if it loses. Don't lose your winnings though - been a good night.

enjoy the wins! let's get them on Tuesday....

LOL and of course San Diego scores 2 in the first. O well, it was a very small bet. Still a good night. See you guys tomorrow.

BTW : 1st inning for Phil/LAD is up to +170 at Logans. Honestly would not play the yes when it's this high. 

I couldn't be near a puter all night so I just bet nym/atl and stl/hou yes early and left it at that.  Thankfully they both hit.

I would have played V2 if I had been home.  That would have been a disaster.

V2 is a go on Sundays. Probably not any other day.  My guess is V2 kicks in after Labor Day.

REVISED SUNDAY FINAL RECAP
I did not play Sunday so some of these innings may not have finished before the next game started.
Sunday, Aug 29, 2010, 15 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_hou/nym_Y_+125_-1.00 unit
13:30_Game_2_stl/was__Y_+125_
13:30_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_ 1-1 for the 13:30 games netting +.25 unit
14:00_Game_X_pit/mil___N_-105_NO PLAY
15:00_Game_3_oak/tex__Y_+105_-2.00 unit
15:30_Game_4_bal/laa___Y_+125_-4.00 unit
16:00_Game_5_phi/sdp___Y_+125_-8.00 unit

So Sunday would have been a -14.75 unit loss (-15.00 + .25)

WEEK RECAP 8/22-8/29
week chase record 5-2
Single Tap (go for 1 win) _________________ no limit chase record: 62-9 (79.51 units won) (186.54 units lost)

week chase record 5-2 (new chase everyday)
Single Tap (go for 1 win) _________________ 3-game limit chase record: 62-10 (80.81 units won) (66.54 units lost)

week chase record 6-1
Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ 4-game chase record: 63-7 (82.35 units won) (64.44 units lost)
since only 3 games 8/24, counted first game next day as chase win.

week chase record 3-1
Double-Tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 39-3 (48.50 units won) (24.95 units lost)
if continued next day, 1st game won so would have been 4-0.

Straight record: 20-24 WEEK. 159-162 (50%) since June 19.

Don't expect anybody to understand this. I barely do.
If I do this again next season it will be on a spreadsheet.

Losing week somewhere around 7 units.

BACK TO BASICS. NO MORE 1.1 AND 1.2 AS IT SEEMS TO ALL BALANCE OUT ANYWAY.
Tuesday, Aug 31, 2010, 15 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
19:00_Game_1_nym/atl__Y_+120_
20:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+150_
21:30_Game_3_sdp/arz__N_+100_
22:00_Game_4_phi/lad__Y_+100_bkmkr

Games 1, 2, and 4 were all YES winners yesterday.
BookMaker lines not out yet.

National League seems to score more in the 1st.

Also in the past, when I have seen big line move like the on the LAd/Phil game last night( +.50 to +70) it has lost. But evidently not in this case.  Still a good night.

cheers & best of luck today!

CORRECTION
22:00_Game_4_laa/sea__Y_+140_

Not Good. System is losing steam.
May or may not try aggressive recovery strategy tomorrow.

hey smitler have u noticed that whenever u have a bad day ur next day is good and vice versa.... mayb u should follow the system after a bad day and fade it after a good day

Yes it does seem to go that way but I have not gone back through the pages to see what really has transpired since the all star break.

I thought that might happen since we had such a good day Monday.

FINAL RECAP
Tuesday, Aug 31, 2010, 15 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
19:00_Game_1_nym/atl__Y_+120_-1
20:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+150_-2
21:30_Game_3_sdp/arz__N_+100_-4
22:00_Game_4_laa/sea__Y_+140_-8

MISTAKE
14:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+100_
CHANGED TO
14:00_Game_2_pit/chc__N_+120_

Corrected it at SBR but forgot here.
They both hit so no harm.