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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    New Strategy

    «First Previous 798081 ... 101102103 Next Last»
    smitler
    nolemonasses
    jvarghese
    leumas
    bwdraper
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 214766
    Posts: 2552
    «First Previous 798081 ... 101102103 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2010 - 11:58 PM ET #1951

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Smitler, I am playing for the first time tonight after the Sunday massacre a couple weeks ago. So, basically, you are screwed.


    You were right.  No sweat. Only lost 1.6 units. We will overcome.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Smitler, I am playing for the first time tonight after the Sunday massacre a couple weeks ago. So, basically, you are screwed.


    You were right.  No sweat. Only lost 1.6 units. We will overcome.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 11:38 AM ET #1952

    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_?
    16:00_Game_2_phi/sdp_Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_3_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    19:00_Game_3_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_4_arz/sdp__Y_+120_
    Reply
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    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_?
    16:00_Game_2_phi/sdp_Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_3_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    19:00_Game_3_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_4_arz/sdp__Y_+120_
     
    nolemonasses
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 12:37 PM ET #1953

    We did alright. I wagered the 7 and 730 so I wouldnt miss them. I stopped after that. I learned to keep my greed in check to avoid losses. GL today.
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    We did alright. I wagered the 7 and 730 so I wouldnt miss them. I stopped after that. I learned to keep my greed in check to avoid losses. GL today.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 12:39 PM ET #1954

    Saturday, Aug 28, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results

    Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
    Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
    Times listed are EDT.

    13:00_Game_1_det/tor__Y_+105_bmkr
    16:00_Game_2_phi/sdp__Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_3_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    19:00_Game_3_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex__Y_-105_
    20:00_Game_4_lad/col___Y_-105_
    21:00_Game_5_arz/sfo__Y_+120_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot

    1.1 NL

    16:00_Game_1_phi/sdp__Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_2_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    19:00_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_3_lad/col__Y_-105_
    21:00_Game_4_arz/sfo__Y_+120_
    1.2 AL
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_Y_+105_bmkr
    16:00_Game_2_min/sea__Y_+110_
    19:00_Game_3_bos/tbr_Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_3_kcr/cle_Y_+120_
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex_Y_-105_
    21:00_Game_5_bal/laa_?_?_
    Reply
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    Saturday, Aug 28, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results

    Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
    Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
    Times listed are EDT.

    13:00_Game_1_det/tor__Y_+105_bmkr
    16:00_Game_2_phi/sdp__Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_3_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    19:00_Game_3_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex__Y_-105_
    20:00_Game_4_lad/col___Y_-105_
    21:00_Game_5_arz/sfo__Y_+120_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot

    1.1 NL

    16:00_Game_1_phi/sdp__Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_2_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    19:00_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    20:00_Game_3_lad/col__Y_-105_
    21:00_Game_4_arz/sfo__Y_+120_
    1.2 AL
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_Y_+105_bmkr
    16:00_Game_2_min/sea__Y_+110_
    19:00_Game_3_bos/tbr_Y_+120_
    19:00_Game_3_kcr/cle_Y_+120_
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex_Y_-105_
    21:00_Game_5_bal/laa_?_?_
     
    jvarghese
    jvarghese
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    Posts: 7621
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 1:01 PM ET #1955

    GL today and let's cash that 1st play w/ Det/Toronto to SCORE!!!
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    GL today and let's cash that 1st play w/ Det/Toronto to SCORE!!!
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posts: 2387
    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 1:21 PM ET #1956

    Cash it homies!
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    Cash it homies!
     
    jvarghese
    jvarghese
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 4:56 PM ET #1957

    thanks for the winner, i'm done for the day!
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    thanks for the winner, i'm done for the day!
     
    leumas
    leumas
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 6:15 PM ET #1958

    Do they offer these in Vegas or is it just available on a few online books?
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    Do they offer these in Vegas or is it just available on a few online books?
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 9:36 PM ET #1959

    Saturday, Aug 28, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor__Y_+105_bmkr+1.05 unit
    DOUBLE TAP
    16:00_Game_2_phi/sdp__Y_+120_
    -1.00 unit
    19:00_Game_3_hou/nym_Y_+125_ +1.25 unit
    19:00_Game_3_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    -1.00 unit
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex__Y_-105_ +1.00 unit
    20:00_Game_4_lad/col___Y_-105_-1.05 unit
    21:00_Game_5_arz/sfo__Y_+120_ +2.40 unit
    ST 1.05 + DT 1.60 = +2.65 units

    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot

    1.1 NL

    16:00_Game_1_phi/sdp__Y_+120_LOSS
    19:00_Game_2_hou/nym_Y_+125_WIN
    19:00_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_LOSS
    20:00_Game_3_lad/col__Y_-105_LOSS
    21:00_Game_4_arz/sfo__Y_+120_WIN
    1.2 AL
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_Y_+105_bmkr WIN
    16:00_Game_2_min/sea__Y_+110_LOSS
    19:00_Game_3_bos/tbr_Y_+120_LOSS
    19:00_Game_3_kcr/cle_Y_+120_WIN
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex_Y_-105_WIN
    21:00_Game_5_bal/laa_Y_-110_BMKR LOSS
    Reply
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    Saturday, Aug 28, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor__Y_+105_bmkr+1.05 unit
    DOUBLE TAP
    16:00_Game_2_phi/sdp__Y_+120_
    -1.00 unit
    19:00_Game_3_hou/nym_Y_+125_ +1.25 unit
    19:00_Game_3_fla/atl___Y_+125_
    -1.00 unit
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex__Y_-105_ +1.00 unit
    20:00_Game_4_lad/col___Y_-105_-1.05 unit
    21:00_Game_5_arz/sfo__Y_+120_ +2.40 unit
    ST 1.05 + DT 1.60 = +2.65 units

    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot

    1.1 NL

    16:00_Game_1_phi/sdp__Y_+120_LOSS
    19:00_Game_2_hou/nym_Y_+125_WIN
    19:00_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_LOSS
    20:00_Game_3_lad/col__Y_-105_LOSS
    21:00_Game_4_arz/sfo__Y_+120_WIN
    1.2 AL
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_Y_+105_bmkr WIN
    16:00_Game_2_min/sea__Y_+110_LOSS
    19:00_Game_3_bos/tbr_Y_+120_LOSS
    19:00_Game_3_kcr/cle_Y_+120_WIN
    20:00_Game_4_oak/tex_Y_-105_WIN
    21:00_Game_5_bal/laa_Y_-110_BMKR LOSS
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 9:40 PM ET #1960

    Didn't show up on the post above but you get the point.
    Very good week and will update unit totals tomorrow.
    Check out the positive progression curious is using over at sbrforum.
    Seems to have worked well for him this week.
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    Didn't show up on the post above but you get the point.
    Very good week and will update unit totals tomorrow.
    Check out the positive progression curious is using over at sbrforum.
    Seems to have worked well for him this week.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 9:44 PM ET #1961

    My bad. I guess tomorrow is Sunday, not Monday.
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    My bad. I guess tomorrow is Sunday, not Monday.
     
    bwdraper
    bwdraper
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 10:25 PM ET #1962

    Updated through 8-28 (unofficial)
    Listing of ML teams # of times scoring in first inning.

    Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4
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    Updated through 8-28 (unofficial)
    Listing of ML teams # of times scoring in first inning.

    Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4
    bwdraper
    bwdraper
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 10:28 PM ET #1963

    Updated through 8-28 (unofficial)

    Listing of ML teams allowing runs in the first inning.

    Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4
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    Updated through 8-28 (unofficial)

    Listing of ML teams allowing runs in the first inning.

    Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4
    bwdraper
    bwdraper
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    Posted: Aug. 28, 2010 - 10:41 PM ET #1964

    For the week Aug 22 - 28 (Unofficial)

    Team  Scored  Allowed
    MIN       2           2
    KCR      1           2
    TEX       4           1
    CIN       3            2
    BOS      1           1
    DET      3            2
    NYY      3            2
    CSOX   2            1
    STL       4           0
    MLW     0           2
    COL      1           1
    PHI       2            3
    SFG      2            2
    CUBS    1           2
    LAD       1           1
    BAL       1           3
    ATL        2           3
    LAA       2           3
    OAK       1           1
    WAS      0           3
    FLA        2           1
    ARI         3           1
    TBR        2           2
    SDP        3          3
    TOR        1           2
    NYM        3          1
    CLE         1          2
    HOU        2           1
    PITT        0           3
    SEA        0           2


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    For the week Aug 22 - 28 (Unofficial)

    Team  Scored  Allowed
    MIN       2           2
    KCR      1           2
    TEX       4           1
    CIN       3            2
    BOS      1           1
    DET      3            2
    NYY      3            2
    CSOX   2            1
    STL       4           0
    MLW     0           2
    COL      1           1
    PHI       2            3
    SFG      2            2
    CUBS    1           2
    LAD       1           1
    BAL       1           3
    ATL        2           3
    LAA       2           3
    OAK       1           1
    WAS      0           3
    FLA        2           1
    ARI         3           1
    TBR        2           2
    SDP        3          3
    TOR        1           2
    NYM        3          1
    CLE         1          2
    HOU        2           1
    PITT        0           3
    SEA        0           2


     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2010 - 11:53 AM ET #1965

    Can't post or play today. Good luck.
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    Can't post or play today. Good luck.
     
    inyourpockets
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2010 - 1:39 PM ET #1966

    dwdraper:

    Where did you get that info on teams score in first inning?

    Do they have nba teams by quarters?
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    dwdraper:

    Where did you get that info on teams score in first inning?

    Do they have nba teams by quarters?
     
    bwdraper
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    Posted: Aug. 29, 2010 - 2:17 PM ET #1967

    I compiled it myself from data of the yahoo scoreboards. That's why I am sure to say that it is "unofficial."  It is likely not perfect.

    I am sure I could do the same thing with NBA quarters.
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    I compiled it myself from data of the yahoo scoreboards. That's why I am sure to say that it is "unofficial."  It is likely not perfect.

    I am sure I could do the same thing with NBA quarters.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 12:24 PM ET #1968

    Oh I gotta have that bikini jacket!
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    Oh I gotta have that bikini jacket!
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 2:03 PM ET #1969

    FINAL RECAP
    I did not play Sunday so some of these innings may not have finished before the next game started.
    Sunday, Aug 29, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results

    Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
    Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
    Times listed are EDT.

    13:00_Game_1_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    13:30_Game_2_stl/was__Y_+125_
    13:30_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_ net +.25 unit
    14:00_Game_X_pit/mil___N_-105_NO PLAY
    15:00_Game_3_oak/tex__Y_+105_+1.05 unit
    15:30_Game_4_bal/laa___Y_+125_

    16:00_Game_5_phi/sdp___Y_+125_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot

    1.1 NL

    13:00_Game_1_hou/nym_Y_+125_LOSS
    13:30_Game_2_stl/was__Y_+125_LOSS
    13:30_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_WIN
    14:00_Game_3_pit/mil___N_-105_LOSS
    15:00_Game_4_lad/col__Y_-105_LOSS
    16:00_Game_5_phi/sdp__Y_+125_LOSS
    1.2 AL
    13:00_Game_1_kcr/cle_Y_-105_LOSS
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_N_-105_LOSS
    13:30_Game_2_bos/tbr_Y_-105_LOSS
    14:00_Game_3_nyy/chw_N_-110_WIN
    15:00_Game_4_oak/tex__Y_+105_WIN
    15:30_Game_5_bal/laa___Y_+125_LOSS
    16:00_Game_6_min/sea_Y_+110_LOSS
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    FINAL RECAP
    I did not play Sunday so some of these innings may not have finished before the next game started.
    Sunday, Aug 29, 2010, 15 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results

    Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
    Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
    Times listed are EDT.

    13:00_Game_1_hou/nym_Y_+125_
    13:30_Game_2_stl/was__Y_+125_
    13:30_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_ net +.25 unit
    14:00_Game_X_pit/mil___N_-105_NO PLAY
    15:00_Game_3_oak/tex__Y_+105_+1.05 unit
    15:30_Game_4_bal/laa___Y_+125_

    16:00_Game_5_phi/sdp___Y_+125_


    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot

    1.1 NL

    13:00_Game_1_hou/nym_Y_+125_LOSS
    13:30_Game_2_stl/was__Y_+125_LOSS
    13:30_Game_2_fla/atl___Y_+125_WIN
    14:00_Game_3_pit/mil___N_-105_LOSS
    15:00_Game_4_lad/col__Y_-105_LOSS
    16:00_Game_5_phi/sdp__Y_+125_LOSS
    1.2 AL
    13:00_Game_1_kcr/cle_Y_-105_LOSS
    13:00_Game_1_det/tor_N_-105_LOSS
    13:30_Game_2_bos/tbr_Y_-105_LOSS
    14:00_Game_3_nyy/chw_N_-110_WIN
    15:00_Game_4_oak/tex__Y_+105_WIN
    15:30_Game_5_bal/laa___Y_+125_LOSS
    16:00_Game_6_min/sea_Y_+110_LOSS
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 2:38 PM ET #1970

    WEEK RECAP 8/22-8/29
    week chase record 6-1
    Single Tap (go for 1 win) _________________ no limit chase record: 63-8 (80.56 units won) (171.79 units lost)

    week chase record 6-1 (new chase everyday)

    Single Tap (go for 1 win) _________________ 3-game limit chase record: 63-9 (81.86 units won) (59.79 units lost)

    week chase record 7-0
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ 4-game chase record: 64-6 (83.20 units won) (49.69 units lost)
    since only 3 games 8/24, counted first game next day as chase win.

    week chase record 3-1

    Double-Tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 39-3 (48.50 units won) (24.95 units lost)
    if continued next day, 1st game won so would have been 4-0.

    Straight record: 21-23 WEEK. 160-161 (50%) since June 19.

    Don't expect anybody to understand this. I barely do.
    If I do this again next season it will be on a spreadsheet.
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    WEEK RECAP 8/22-8/29
    week chase record 6-1
    Single Tap (go for 1 win) _________________ no limit chase record: 63-8 (80.56 units won) (171.79 units lost)

    week chase record 6-1 (new chase everyday)

    Single Tap (go for 1 win) _________________ 3-game limit chase record: 63-9 (81.86 units won) (59.79 units lost)

    week chase record 7-0
    Single-tap (go for 1 win) _________________ 4-game chase record: 64-6 (83.20 units won) (49.69 units lost)
    since only 3 games 8/24, counted first game next day as chase win.

    week chase record 3-1

    Double-Tap (go for 2nd win if 3 games remain) chase record: 39-3 (48.50 units won) (24.95 units lost)
    if continued next day, 1st game won so would have been 4-0.

    Straight record: 21-23 WEEK. 160-161 (50%) since June 19.

    Don't expect anybody to understand this. I barely do.
    If I do this again next season it will be on a spreadsheet.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 2:41 PM ET #1971

    Netted between 5 and 10 units depending how you played it.
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    Netted between 5 and 10 units depending how you played it.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 3:21 PM ET #1972

    Monday, Aug 30, 2010, 13 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results

    Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
    Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
    Times listed are EDT.

    19:00_Game_1_nym/atl__Y_+115_
    20:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+125_
    21:30_Game_3_sdp/arz__N_+100_
    22:00_Game_4_phi/lad__Y_+150_bkmkr

    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL

    19:00_Game_1_nym/atl__Y_+115_
    20:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+125_
    21:30_Game_3_sdp/arz__N_+100_
    22:00_Game_4_phi/lad__Y_+150_bkmkr
    1.2 AL
    19:00_Game_1_oak/nyy__N_+100_bkmkr
    20:00_Game_2_tex/kcr__Y_-110_
    22:00_Game_3_laa/sea__Y_+125_
    Reply
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    Monday, Aug 30, 2010, 13 Games
    Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
    Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
    Past performance does not guarantee future results

    Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
    Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
    Times listed are EDT.

    19:00_Game_1_nym/atl__Y_+115_
    20:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+125_
    21:30_Game_3_sdp/arz__N_+100_
    22:00_Game_4_phi/lad__Y_+150_bkmkr

    Version 1.1 NL and 1.2 AL separate playing every time slot
    1.1 NL

    19:00_Game_1_nym/atl__Y_+115_
    20:00_Game_2_stl/hou__Y_+125_
    21:30_Game_3_sdp/arz__N_+100_
    22:00_Game_4_phi/lad__Y_+150_bkmkr
    1.2 AL
    19:00_Game_1_oak/nyy__N_+100_bkmkr
    20:00_Game_2_tex/kcr__Y_-110_
    22:00_Game_3_laa/sea__Y_+125_
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 3:34 PM ET #1973

    Made a mistake on Sunday as I had oak/tex as a win and it was a loss.
    So it looks like a 4-game chase loss unless there were some games not able to play due to tight schedule.
    Anybody have input?
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    Made a mistake on Sunday as I had oak/tex as a win and it was a loss.
    So it looks like a 4-game chase loss unless there were some games not able to play due to tight schedule.
    Anybody have input?
     
    leumas
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 7:27 PM ET #1974

    This is interesting but have you considered tweaking in it a bit?  i.e. take only games with both pitchers struggling in the last 3 or 5 games  or one pitcher struggling and both teams hitting the ball very well in the last 3 or 5 games, etc. etc. 

    Also, I never did get an answer for my previous question:

    Do they offer this 1st inning bets in a Vegas casinos or is it just available on a few online books?
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    This is interesting but have you considered tweaking in it a bit?  i.e. take only games with both pitchers struggling in the last 3 or 5 games  or one pitcher struggling and both teams hitting the ball very well in the last 3 or 5 games, etc. etc. 

    Also, I never did get an answer for my previous question:

    Do they offer this 1st inning bets in a Vegas casinos or is it just available on a few online books?
     
     
    vixen321
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    Posted: Aug. 30, 2010 - 7:35 PM ET #1975

    V1 game 1 winner
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    V1 game 1 winner
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