New Strategy

Lab line might be the way to go with this system. Too many losses in the last month or so.

Thurssday, Sep 02, 2010, 6 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_oak/nyy__Y_+105_
19:00_Game_2_nym/atl__Y_+165_+1.65
20:00_Game_3_det/min__Y_+125_
22:00_Game_4_cle/sea__Y_+135_

Still going eh smitty? I picked up a unit last night. I dont wager until I see v1 have a bad or losing day, and then start with V1 the next day. Has been working well.

I have used alternating strategy as well and seems to be a good idea.
Cheers to V1

Friday, Sep 03, 2010, 15 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_tor/nyy__N_-110_bmkr optional play
14:00_Game_2_nym/chc_N_+110_45%
19:00_Game_3_chw/bos_Y_+100_PPD
20:00_Game_4_det/kcr__Y_+110_68%+105 NO PLAY
20:00_Game_4_cin/stl___Y_+110_67%+1.10
21:30_Game_5_hou/arz__Y_+105_72%
22:00_Game_6_cle/sea__Y_+130_75%

Thanks curious and jd for these numbers. I will post them like this so we can track, unless you object.
I haven't taken the time to learn how to get these numbers yet.

What do the percentages mean?

Friday, Sep 03, 2010, 15 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_tor/nyy__N_-110_bmkr optional play
14:00_Game_2_nym/chc_N_+110_45%
19:00_Game_3_chw/bos_Y_+100_PPD
20:00_Game_4_det/kcr__Y_+110_68%+105 NO PLAY
20:00_Game_4_cin/stl___Y_+110_67%+1.10
21:30_Game_5_hou/arz__Y_+105_72%
22:00_Game_6_cle/sea__Y_+130_75%

https://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/550403-dabas-1st-inning-strategy-p83.html

Start with post 2875.

I haven't taken the time to learn it yet.

https://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-handicapping/550403-dabas-1st-inning-strategy-p83.html

If it doesn't work you will have to copy paste into address bar.

Dude, just give me the two second explanatuion. Its late and im sawsed.

You can also go back to page 80 on this thread post 1979. That link works.

% of games team scored in first inning
% of games team allowed a score in first inning

Then I put the matchup for each game side by side and add these columns to each matchup:

(% of games visitor team scored in first inning + % of games home team allowed a run in first inning) / 2

(% of games visitor team allowed a score in first inning + % of games home team scored a run in first inning) /2

Then I add the last two columns together. That gives a total % for score in first inning.

Then I add another column by subtracting the total % for score in first inning from 100%. That gives a total % for no score in first inning.

Then I take the line for each game for score in first inning YES and multiply by total % for score in first inning. I do the same thing for NO and multiply the line by total % for no score in first inning.

Anything that is greater than 50% is a play.

This takes a lot of work and I don't have time to post it, but you can easily do this yourself.

That's the best I can do nole.  I don't even understand it yet.

Perfect. Thanks smitty. Getting the number is one thing, but I wonder if 50% is good enough.

tor/nyy no +110

Saturday, Sep 04, 2010, 16 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_tor/nyy__N_+110_
16:00_Game_2_laa/oak__Y_+125_
19:00_Game_3_atl/fla___Y_+125_
20:00_Game_4_hou/arz__N_-110_?
22:00_Game_5_sfo/lad___Y_+125_

Saturday, Sep 04, 2010, 16 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_tor/nyy__N_+110_+1.10
DOUBLE TAP
16:00_Game_2_laa/oak__Y_+125_
19:00_Game_3_atl/fla___Y_+125_
20:00_Game_4_hou/arz__N_-105_
22:00_Game_5_sfo/lad___Y_+125_

Looks like line changes make cin/stl and col/sdp yes plays for the next set unless I wrote the wrong lines down in the first place.

Saturday, Sep 04, 2010, 16 Games
Version 1.0 Biggest AL/NL Dogs
Betus lines unless noted otherwise. Lines subject to change
Past performance does not guarantee future results
Single Tap (ST) Chase for a win (4-max) Money Management Style Optional
Double Tap (DT) Chase for a 2nd win if 3 or more games remain (4-max)
Times listed are EDT.
13:00_Game_1_tor/nyy__N_+110_+1.10
DOUBLE TAP
16:00_Game_2_cin/stl__Y_+135_+.675
16:00_Game_2_col/sdp_Y_+135_+.675
19:00_Game_3_atl/fla___Y_+125_
20:00_Game_4_hou/arz__N_-105_
22:00_Game_5_sfo/lad___Y_+125_

Missed game 1. Anybody know what the line was?

they were both minus.

NOTE TO SELF.  SUNDAYS ARE VERSION 2 OR NOTHING DAYS.