Modified Morrison NHL System

I don't like Dallas chances tonight. The juice is relly high, Modano and Lehtinen are on IR, Richards is questionable. I really see this one going the other way tonight. What do you guys think? I know its a system so you follow it or not, but do any of you guys have second guesses too?

And with A bets not clicking at the moment my bankroll is suffering. Carolina and Chichago really blew it the other night and with Buffalo and Dallas on A bets today its really be or not to be for me tonight.

I don't expect to have a perfect season, although here's to wishing for one.   I also don't chase to win the full unit on the B and C games.  My version of labouchere.  So less stress on the C games.  When I do lose a C bet I will just split it up over the next 3 series and go from there, sort of like you would do if you lost both the A and B bets.  It is a long season so even with a few losses, at some point 3/4 thru the season I will be all caught up on any losses and then tread lightly till the seasons end.  Thats why I was not afraid to play the first series, I know it will eventually work itself out.

Twisted, thanks for the complement, but I am always learning too.

Tonight's A games are gonna try and make back some of the loss from your columbus A loss, b/c you split that loss between your A and B lines

B/c there are 2 A's tonight, you can divide all the numbers of your A line by 2 (27/2 = 13.50, call it 14) and make 2 bets to win 14 each.

Or you could just bet the 2 A games to win 17 each as your current A line now stands.

The B line will come into play when columbus plays again (unless you have an A loss tonight and one of those teams happen to play again before columbus). That B line will hopefully make up the other half of your columbus A loss.

Keep in mind, if one or more of your A's lose tonight, you will have more than just the columbus A loss on your next B line, b/c you will be adding 1/2 of whatever loses tonight to it.

Hope this makes sense. Dallas @ anaheim is also a play tonight, although looks shaky with 2 key players out. Wish I knew that before placing my bet. My bad on that one. Did not research it.

Thanks Nole,

That was extremely helpful. 

I'm gonna take the suggestion of dividing all the numbers in the A line and make the two bets to win $14 each.  Columbus plays tomorrow night so I'll work on the second line tomorrow.  Of course, with my luck my two A bets will both lose and it'll get extremely messy. 

I wouldn't be afraid to play Dallas.  In a way you're veering off of what the system is supposed to do for you.  When you start bringing handicapping into it I think you're doing a lot of work that isn't necessary.  When we went through and back tracked all this stuff there were probably numerous games in there that were similar to how Dallas is tonight.  And we are getting a goal and a half.  That line is -230 for a reason.  I think we have to respect that line.

Dood points on Dallas and handicapping, BUT, there were 2 times this early NHL year that my gut told be to pass, and both were correct.

Either way, my units for NHL are small (80% smaller than what my NBA will be or my MLB was), so no major disaster if all lose tonight. Although I would like to see 3 winners tonight. The %'s are in our favor after the 2 A losses in a row.

So you're saying that the law of averages applies when we've had two A losses in a row.

But it doesn't apply when you go with your gut on the handicapping aspect?

CLB got smoked!

Well not really as the previous games have no bearing on tonights outcome, it's still 50/50.  Just like if Player losses 2 times in a row in baccarat, the next deal is still always 50/50

So I divide my total line 1 by 2 and bet to win 47 on each game. I'm assuming that if I win both my line one would start over. What would my line 1 look like if lose one or two of those games?

How bout them Blue Jackets.............
Ugh - Way to go......

A few days ago I skipped on playing Nas cause they suck
Of course they won the +1.5
Oh well

I am tracking using single integer units to keep things simple
But I am actually wagering .25% of a unit instead just in case of crap like this
The system is not fully cooking yet

Here's what I'm doing

Lost -17.64 units on Cbs gm1
will divide by 2 and use the 8.82 on top of gm2 plus 7.84 I am trying to win in the Cbs set
Cbs Gm2 to win 16.66 units

The other 8.82 units will go on top of the Buf set plus those 2 units to win

Set #15
Gm2
Car -135
To win 10.68 units


Set # 18
Gm1
Buf -120
To win 10.82 units

Set # 19
Gm1
Dal +1.5 / -235
To win 2 units

Will touch base tomorrow to show where I stand unit wise after these games flush out

As the season goes on I believe it will strengthen up even still of certain injuries - trends and stuff. This is more of a mechanical system with a 2 gm modified chase to keep us safe from 2nd guessing our selves with technical capping methods. Do appreciate the look out though

Tough way to lose that Carolina series.  Getting screwed by a empty netter in the final seconds of the A game and losing in the shootout as  a favorite in the B game.

I am starting to question if that 88%-91% winning percentage is good enough to use this type of money management on.  I have already dug myself  a bit of  a hole trying to recoup a portion of the losses of the Minnesota series by adding units to the Carolina series and having that series lose. 

Thats why the original system is a 3 game chase.  MIN won on game 3, if you go against the system or tweak it, any failure is on you.

HECTAR did you play the panthers and ducks last nite too?

 

2 game chase works out great if your not chasing and using the labaurche.

 

2 game chase works out great if your not chasing and using the labaurche.

Kiss, you put all of your loses on just the Car game? Did you not spread your losses into all of last night's games?

I will probably do carolina C game for modest recovery. Not going for full recovery plus profit.

Tonight we have Detoit -125 @ Pho

and if I'm not mistaken, Columbus B bet tonight.

Correct.  I think San Jose is starting a series as well.

Nope I was wrong on San Jose.  Just Detroit & Columbus.

By the way Nole,

How about those Dallas Stars?!! 

Hello guys, excuse me, who explains me or where I can find in thing it consists the John Morrison System? 

Minnesota, Carolina and Columbus have started to make my lines look a wee bit scary!!

But this is what the system is all about, you have to have faith in the percentages that the lines wilI spread the losses and they will be recouped in time.  So, I am going to gut it out and keep playing these, but the juice makes me cringe each time I click on "submit bet".  This stuff is not for those with a weak constitution. 

I am spreading it out.  Just seems like the games I am have added units to so far seem to keep losing more than winning.  I mean, I am still plus units with the system so far, but the small hole from that Minnesota loss keeps getting a little deeper rather than smaller, and now the Carolina loss on top of it.