Modified Morrison NHL System

 

Yeah, well 5 years worth of history shows that the A and B bets together win around 90% of the time, so I like my chances going into 2 A bets after losing two A bets.

And they both won.

Twisted, I'll take it. Nice win. I would have missed out on that one for sure. However, if I followed my gut, I would also have missed the Carolina loss.

I follow the system 90% of the time, but will still occasionally consider not playing certain games. If I miss a few wins, no biggie in the end, especially if I miss some losses.

Overall, i do go with the picks as they come up.

Hey magicbet, go to this site: www.buyaclueandstopcloggingupthisthread.com

Link off....

I was making a list of something of all the games that would be playable and a major thing caught my eye.

On Feb 13th both Detroit and Philadelphia start a series more than 3 road games.  But the winter Olympics start after they've both played 1 road game.  They then pick up their road series after the Olympics are over around March 2nd. 

I just wonder if those series can really be considered.  They both play 1 game then get significant ice time in the Olympics.  I feel like if we lose those A games the B games in the series are after a lot of players have played a lot of hockey.

I might just throw them out.

Really?

Try this one: www.ihavetherecipeforicetosellyou.com

So why even play the game then?  The supposed losing team must just say, 5 years of history say were going to lose tonight, so lets go drinking...lol  Every game is still 50/50 no matter how you try and spin things.

This is how I am taming this beast

12-1  +7.74 units
With -11.88 units pending from Car gm1 loss
=
-4.14 units  -  17.64 units pending from Cbs gm1 loss
=
-21.78 units  +  10.82 units from Buf win
=
-10.96  units  +  2 units from Dal win
=
-8.96 units  -  14.60 units from Car gm2 loss
=
14-2  -23.56 units so far

Car set loss total of -26.48 units
I am dividing that by 4 = 6.62 units
I will apply that 6.62 the next 4 upcoming series
Also I am still seeking an extra unit on the Det series to finish up from the Min loss series

Set # 17
Gm 2
Cbs  +1.5 / -285  @  Edm  9:35 pm
To win 16.66 units

Set # 20
Gm 1
Det  ML -140  @  Phx  10:05  pm
To win 8.82 units

Still not sure why you guys don't play 3 game home chases???

3-0 tonight all game 1's

ATL PL $

PHI ML $$

TB PL $$$

 

home team has an average win of 85% between A & B wins.  and more losses per year on average than road games.

Good stuff on your wins
Answer.........
It bombed big time last last year doing a 4 game martingale chase
The filters were eliminating the bottom 8 home teams and fading them too.
Plus minimum 3 game home stand
That's it
Went up to about 80 units or so then collapsed at the end of the season to around 20 unis or so I believe largely due to Was tanking on a home stand and some one else too. I think Ana
Word to the wise - by then the lines will jump up to around -350 or so on the ML.
Just like in MLB - it gets costly

Blindly following systems will cost you
What goes up must come down
The only way to avert this is with wise money management strategy - quality filters - and common sense

My suggestion is to be careful with what your doing and don't be afraid to cash out of it and move on
Nobody is invincible to blindly chasing

how many more times are we going to get beat on these late open net goals?!?!?!

 

Not to mention they had a 3 goal lead late in the 2nd and gave up 5 unanswered goals.

i think i'm going to cut my losses. this doesn't seem to be going well. i'm down several thousand because of this system. hopefully basketball can put me back in black. it's going to be a steep climb.

Well that CLB defeat was pretty bad, must admit saw the tying goal, the go ahead goal and the empty netter... WOW

Pretty rough, winning 59:44 of 60minutes and loose on a 100+ft empty netter on a clearing attempt... LOL

Thats why they play the games... If they didn't we wouldn't be able bet would we...

Anyway, gluck to those playing CAR game c tomorrow and CLB game c saturday

 

GMSI

I played home games last year without fading and left up around 45 units.  Look at it this way if you have a loss playing road games, instead of just dividng it up on your next couple road game series, you can also divide it up on some of your home game series as well...

Only filter this year, is don't take Toronto...

Wow, Carolina is -340 on the PL. You C gamers still taking that?

Isn't that always the story on the C bet?  Heavy, heavy juice.

While I am livid with the Columbus collapse last night, the thing that is making me really weary is the fact that the books seem to be well aware of this system floating around out there and they are absolutely PUNISHING us with the lines.  Someone needs to explain to me why Carolina would be a -340 on the puck line.  You think the books don't know that this is a C game and that people in chase systems will be pounding that game?  The books are trying like hell to disuade people from playing these systems by killing us on the lines.  The Columbus -260 line I had to play in Edmonton was abusive too. 

Right now, I am with Hectar.  I have been playing the Home chase A & B and that is rocking and rolling.  I may cut my losses with the Away chase and go back to base units and clear my lines for now until this thing gets humming.  Then once it gets rolling, I can jack up the base units to recoup these losses. 

Thoughts?

GL to everyone chasing Carolina at that price

Hectar,  Do you really filter out Toronto on the Home Chase?  if so, why? 

Kmang, another option would be to go back to your base and start over with the road chase. That way you are still in the away system, but not chasing large units.

Or, you could take your current loss totals and spread it out over the next 5-10 series. That is what i am going to do.

On side note, as we were saying in the other NBA thread, can't wait to see the line movement on the NBA spreads... LOL.. Same thing happened with MLB juices late in the season.

GMSI

Nolemon,

They say you aren't supposed to use intuition with these system.  (I guess the basic premise is that we as bettors are dumber than the systems we play).  However, I think I am going to do exactly that....  I will bring the Away system back down to my basic units plus maybe 10-20%.  Then I can maybe double up if I see particularly good plays where I like the matchups. 

But I was all prepared to make a small play on Carolina PL tonight (even though I dont typically play C games) until I lost my stomach when I saw that -330 line.  Now I have a small play on the ML instead....

Hmm because they haven't won a game yet, they have the lowest goals for and are one of the highest for goals against.  Stay away from the laughs, er I mean leafs....

Question? I had CBJ last night on PL -260 and lost! Is it worth laying that kind of $ when if you are down a goal in the last seconds of a period you know they will pull the goalie, and then you get screwed! Why not just take a chance and play ML and see what happens? Any thoughts?