Posted:
#526
The interresting part is that overall the selections in the last 4 days generated no profit at all.
12 Won - 17 L on the ML
10 Won - 19 L on the RRL
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MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?
Posted:
#528
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:
The interresting part is that overall the selections in the last 4 days generated no profit at all.
to help you comprehend the correct tracking procedure, I must comment on your confused mis-understanding of stats, first of all 10-19 on the RRL is nothing but profit, do your math, the minumum payout on the RRL is aprx +265? with the addition of Houston, and Miami's 6 WINS your looking at per 2u wager 7.4u profit alone, dont't compare winning % your looking at units gained, and may I add your playing 'dogs' not favorites with inflated value of no advantage to MM technigue. the Sheet is set up to be selective, surely a capper is not required to play every game produced? It's what you do with the sheet, how you 'cut' the games, remember, the key is the final disposition of the handicap which produces the RRL (getting to the RRL has to go though the 'dog' which the Sheet produces daily, and consistently. I hope that this has been helpful in your tracking technique, and gives you a clear understanding that when wagering on MLB dog's MM over-powers winning % "always" The interresting part is that overall the selections in the last 4 days generated no profit at all.
12 Won - 17 L on the ML
10 Won - 19 L on the RRL
my best-
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Posted:
#531
Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:
to help you comprehend the correct tracking procedure, I must comment on your confused mis-understanding of stats, first of all 10-19 on the RRL is nothing but profit, do your math, the minumum payout on the RRL is aprx +265? with the addition of Houston, and Miami's 6 WINS your looking at per 2u wager 7.4u profit alone, dont't compare winning % your looking at units gained, and may I add your playing 'dogs' not favorites with inflated value of no advantage to MM technigue. the Sheet is set up to be selective, surely a capper is not required to play every game produced? It's what you do with the sheet, how you 'cut' the games, remember, the key is the final disposition of the handicap which produces the RRL (getting to the RRL has to go though the 'dog' which the Sheet produces daily, and consistently. I hope that this has been helpful in your tracking technique, and gives you a clear understanding that when wagering on MLB dog's MM over-powers winning % "always" my best-
to help you comprehend the correct tracking procedure, I must comment on your confused mis-understanding of stats, first of all 10-19 on the RRL is nothing but profit, do your math, the minumum payout on the RRL is aprx +265? with the addition of Houston, and Miami's 6 WINS your looking at per 2u wager 7.4u profit alone, dont't compare winning % your looking at units gained, and may I add your playing 'dogs' not favorites with inflated value of no advantage to MM technigue. the Sheet is set up to be selective, surely a capper is not required to play every game produced? It's what you do with the sheet, how you 'cut' the games, remember, the key is the final disposition of the handicap which produces the RRL (getting to the RRL has to go though the 'dog' which the Sheet produces daily, and consistently. I hope that this has been helpful in your tracking technique, and gives you a clear understanding that when wagering on MLB dog's MM over-powers winning % "always"
my best- +1
Well said SN - I personally don't play every DOG on the sheet - I look at both DOG EFF and DOG EFF SCR, AND I use OTHER models to determine what i'll bet on.
In addition - I take a shot at RRL as SN mentioned when the RRL EFF is over .750 - OR when SN post his RRL plays of the day - LOL - then i just tail him 
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Posted:
#533
Thank you for the kind words and help.
Overall the System had a quick turnaround in the last 2 days:
Only ML Picks: 19 W - 9 L - 15,17 Units Profit
Only RRL Picks: 14 W - 14 L 14,56 Units Profit
Since starting the track back on 26. April the System generated 94 Picks for DogEff Away Picks. 54 W - 42 L and 19,65 Units Profit
For System Play RRL Home Picks: 97 Picks
38 W - 59 L and 29,40 Units Profit.
So overall 92 W - 101 L and 49,05 Profit
So by being Conservative and using 2% of the starting bank as a unit to bet, you would have doubled up your bank in one and a half month. If that is not impressive, I don't know what is.
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Posted:
#535
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:
Thank you for the kind words and help.
good stuff, vg tracking info, your contribution is appreciated, well done!
Thank you for the kind words and help.
Overall the System had a quick turnaround in the last 2 days:
Only ML Picks: 19 W - 9 L - 15,17 Units Profit
Only RRL Picks: 14 W - 14 L 14,56 Units Profit
Since starting the track back on 26. April the System generated 94 Picks for DogEff Away Picks. 54 W - 42 L and 19,65 Units Profit
For System Play RRL Home Picks: 97 Picks
38 W - 59 L and 29,40 Units Profit.
So overall 92 W - 101 L and 49,05 Profit
So by being Conservative and using 2% of the starting bank as a unit to bet, you would have doubled up your bank in one and a half month. If that is not impressive, I don't know what is.
g tracking
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Posted:
#536
Quote Originally Posted by kclou:
Degen,
Degen,
Where do you get your underdog effenicy data that is fed into the spreadsheet ? I've search hi and low, and cannot find the website that shows it. And if it your spreadsheet that's producing it, that's sellable. I find that information extremely interesting .
Thanks in advance
I use the formulas on the DOG EFFICIENCY TAB - the COVERS DATA tab has all the games (i.e if they W or L and by what margin and odds) - so I use a formula (i.e COUNTIFS - it basically does what it says) it COUNTS IF game = W, AND if ODDS >=100 AND....etc
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Posted:
#537
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
S_N - Thanks so much for your reply and insight, much appreciated. I will correct the friend request. Apparently I also need to run away from Stations as quickly as possible. A quick closing of the account and head over to the Palms to open a Cantor account. I'll look at William Hill too.
Degen - Considering what S_N had to say regarding tracking and lines, what do you think about changing the lines we use over to Pinnacle or 5dimes? I'm good with any of them, let's get away from Stations.
DanRules - uploaded V12 - changed it to use PINNY odds - SAME LINK
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Posted:
#538
In the few days since the Div Dog Switch on May 31st.
Ver #10 & Ver #11 have had the same plays 3 times for 1-2 -(.84)u
Ver #11 different plays than #10: 1-3 -(1.91)u
Ver #10 different plays than #11: 5-1 +8.40u
V#10 had Hou on all 3 games of their sweep, and Miami yesterday. Taking those 4 games away V#10 is 1-1 +.12u
Small sample.
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Posted:
#539
Monday 6/3 plays
Sagarin plays
YTD 0-2, -4 units
All 2 Units
Pitt 109
Oak 110
Dog EFF Score
YTD 26-26, +4.74 units
Clev 102
Oak 110
Dog EFF
YTD 52-42, +41.92 units
All 2 units
Clev 102
Pitt 109
Oak 110
System Plays
YTD 158-178, +16.88 units
Clev 102
Pitt 109
Oak 110
Hou 162
Mia 165
Colo 122
AZ/STL Under 7.5 -110
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#540
Monday 6/3 results
Sagarin plays
1-1, +.2 units
YTD 1-3, -3.8 units
All 2 Units
Pitt 109 Loss
Oak 110 WIN
Dog EFF Score
1-1, +.1 units
YTD 27-27, +4.84 units
Clev 102 Loss
Oak 110 WIN
Dog EFF
1-2, -1.8 units
YTD 53-44, +40.12 units
All 2 units
Clev 102 Loss
Pitt 109 Loss
Oak 110 WIN
System Plays
2-5, -2.35 units
YTD 160-183 +14.53
Clev 102 Loss
Pitt 109 Loss
Oak 110 WIN
Hou 162 WIN
Mia 165 Loss
Colo 122 Loss
AZ/STL Under 7.5 -110 Loss
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#541
tracking data:
The Houston Astros have 'hit' 6 dogs in a row, 3 have been on the RRL, all on the road, they also took down (on the road) in succession> Detroit +538 RRL, Pittsburgh +420 RRL, KC +365 RRL, previously... the Astros lead MLB in dividends gained (ROI) both as dog play & RRL play; and may I emphasise, all posted, through out this thread. it's all right in front of you; pick 'em their available daily, and consistently..YTD
DogEFF/ROI +40.1u (2u per-play)
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Posted:
#543
Tuesday 6/4 plays
Sagarin plays
YTD 1-3, -3.8 units
All 2 Units
No plays
Dog EFF Score
YTD 27-27, +4.84 units
Minn 120
Dog EFF
YTD 53-44, +40.12 units
All 2 units
Cle 130
Tex 129
Minn 120
AZ 139
System Plays
YTD 160-183 +14.53
Cle 130
Tex 129
Minn 120
AZ 139
Hou 163
Mia 146
Mets 167
SD 123
Tor 109
TB/Det Under 8 -115
ChiSox/Sea Under 6 -115
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#546
Tuesday 6/4 results
Sagarin plays
YTD 1-3, -3.8 units
All 2 Units
No plays
Dog EFF Score
1-0, +1.2 units
YTD 28-27, +6.04 units
Minn 120 WIN
Dog EFF
2-2, +1.18 units
YTD 55-46, +41.30 units
All 2 units
Cle 130 Loss
Tex 129 Loss
Minn 120 WIN
AZ 139 WIN
System Plays
2-9, -6.71 units
YTD 162-192 +7.82
Cle 130 Loss
Tex 129 Loss
Minn 120 WIN
AZ 139 WIN
Hou 163 Loss
Mia 146 Loss
Mets 167 Loss
SD 123 Loss
Tor 109 Loss
TB/Det Under 8 -115 Loss
ChiSox/Sea Under 6 -115 Loss
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#549
Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:
Sure, no problem. Since there's 2 afternoon games and I have to work, I'll run it at 630 am, and then again when I get home after at 4pm....EST
Thanks, I have to hit the road by 5am and will be driving for about 8 hours. If you can do the RPI too that would be great.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Posted:
#550
Wecnesday 6/5 plays
Sagarin plays
YTD 1-3, -3.8 units
All 2 Units
Pitt 125
Dog EFF Score
YTD 28-27, +6.04 units
Minn 135
Dog EFF
YTD 55-46, +41.30 units
All 2 units
Minn 135
AZ 126
System Plays
YTD 162-192 +7.82
Minn 135
AZ 126
Hou 147
Mia 183
Tor 105
Mets 130
SD 199
ChiSox/Sea Under 7 -115
TB/Det Under 8 -105
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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