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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

    «First Previous 232425 ... 333435 Next Last»
    BuckeyeKaptn
    Danrules24
    RommiRommi
    sports_Network
    DoodlesWeaver
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    «First Previous 232425 ... 333435 Next Last»
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2013 - 1:36 PM ET #551

    What's Sagarin plays again?  I was working on automating a spreadsheet when it came up and missed it.
    NP on RPI.  Already posted the possibles.
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    What's Sagarin plays again?  I was working on automating a spreadsheet when it came up and missed it.
    NP on RPI.  Already posted the possibles.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2013 - 1:44 PM ET #552

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    What's Sagarin plays again?  I was working on automating a spreadsheet when it came up and missed it.
    NP on RPI.  Already posted the possibles.

    I'm looking for A Tier Starting pitchers only and for a dog to have a rating of 11 or more better than the fave. For today, look at Pitt/Atl for an example that qualifies. I'm not counting any game that has a B or C tier pitcher.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    What's Sagarin plays again?  I was working on automating a spreadsheet when it came up and missed it.
    NP on RPI.  Already posted the possibles.

    I'm looking for A Tier Starting pitchers only and for a dog to have a rating of 11 or more better than the fave. For today, look at Pitt/Atl for an example that qualifies. I'm not counting any game that has a B or C tier pitcher.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 12:55 AM ET #553

    Wednesday 6/5 results

    Note: I posted before the SD/LAD game was complete. If LAD win, I will adjust totals Thursday evening.

    Sagarin plays

    0-1, -2 units

    YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

    All 2 Units

    Pitt 125 Loss

    Dog EFF Score

    0-1, -1 unit

    YTD 28-28, +5.04 units

    Minn 135 Loss

    Dog EFF

    1-1, +.52 units

    YTD 56-47, +41.82 units

    All 2 units

    Minn 135 Loss

    AZ 126 WIN

    System Plays

    6-3, +4.92 units

    YTD 162-192 +12.74 units

    Minn 135 Loss

    AZ 126 WIN

    Hou 147 WIN

    Mia 183 Loss

    Tor 105 WIN

    Mets 130 WIN

    SD 199 WIN

    ChiSox/Sea Under 7 -115 Loss  (scoreless game in extras and it still goes over. Unreal)

    TB/Det Under 8 -105 WIN

     

    For Thursday - Buckeye will be posting the plays (RPI system too). Thanks!

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Wednesday 6/5 results

    Note: I posted before the SD/LAD game was complete. If LAD win, I will adjust totals Thursday evening.

    Sagarin plays

    0-1, -2 units

    YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

    All 2 Units

    Pitt 125 Loss

    Dog EFF Score

    0-1, -1 unit

    YTD 28-28, +5.04 units

    Minn 135 Loss

    Dog EFF

    1-1, +.52 units

    YTD 56-47, +41.82 units

    All 2 units

    Minn 135 Loss

    AZ 126 WIN

    System Plays

    6-3, +4.92 units

    YTD 162-192 +12.74 units

    Minn 135 Loss

    AZ 126 WIN

    Hou 147 WIN

    Mia 183 Loss

    Tor 105 WIN

    Mets 130 WIN

    SD 199 WIN

    ChiSox/Sea Under 7 -115 Loss  (scoreless game in extras and it still goes over. Unreal)

    TB/Det Under 8 -105 WIN

     

    For Thursday - Buckeye will be posting the plays (RPI system too). Thanks!

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 7:03 AM ET #554

    I will refresh and update when I come home at 130pm

    Sagarin plays
    Sd

    Dog EFF Score
    Min
    Phi




    Dog EFF
    Tex
    Min
    Phi
    Sd



    System Plays

    TB
    Tex
    Min
    NyM
    Cws
    Phi
    Sd

    UND:
    Tex/Bos


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    I will refresh and update when I come home at 130pm

    Sagarin plays
    Sd

    Dog EFF Score
    Min
    Phi




    Dog EFF
    Tex
    Min
    Phi
    Sd



    System Plays

    TB
    Tex
    Min
    NyM
    Cws
    Phi
    Sd

    UND:
    Tex/Bos


     
    RommiRommi
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 7:58 AM ET #555

    SD not a Dog EFF only 20% using odds
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    SD not a Dog EFF only 20% using odds
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 10:22 AM ET #556

    tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

    AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

    HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

    NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

    SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

    TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

    updated assessment:

    DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

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    tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

    AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

    HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

    NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

    SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

    TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

    updated assessment:

    DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

     
    DoodlesWeaver
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 12:04 PM ET #557

    I missed yesterday's (6-5) numbers from the sheet. Does anyone have a copy they could share? 
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    I missed yesterday's (6-5) numbers from the sheet. Does anyone have a copy they could share? 
     
    LaChupacabraj
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 12:39 PM ET #558

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

    AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

    HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

    NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

    SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

    TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

    updated assessment:

    DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

    What are the RRL plays today?  Or how do I figure it out on the sheet?
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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

    AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

    HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

    NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

    SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

    TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

    updated assessment:

    DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

    What are the RRL plays today?  Or how do I figure it out on the sheet?
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 1:30 PM ET #559

    Quote Originally Posted by LaChupacabraj:

    What are the RRL plays today?  Or how do I figure it out on the sheet?

    DogEFF/RRL  Thursday (06/06/13) Sheet handicaps

    TEX [-1.5] +195 RRL

    MIN [-1.5] +205 RRL

    PHI [-1.5] +208 RRL

    DG, the creator of the Sheet, gives all the details at the beginning of the thread, on it's use, and, "how to figure it out"

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by LaChupacabraj:

    What are the RRL plays today?  Or how do I figure it out on the sheet?

    DogEFF/RRL  Thursday (06/06/13) Sheet handicaps

    TEX [-1.5] +195 RRL

    MIN [-1.5] +205 RRL

    PHI [-1.5] +208 RRL

    DG, the creator of the Sheet, gives all the details at the beginning of the thread, on it's use, and, "how to figure it out"

     

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 1:45 PM ET #560

    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    SD not a Dog EFF only 20% using odds
    You're right. I must have glanced at Phillies numbers while I was typing. 
    Update coming
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    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    SD not a Dog EFF only 20% using odds
    You're right. I must have glanced at Phillies numbers while I was typing. 
    Update coming
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 2:03 PM ET #561

    Final Update:  Changes are add Hou and remove Sd from Dog Eff


    Sagarin plays
    Sd

    Dog EFF Score
    Min
    Phi




    Dog EFF
    Tex
    Min
    Phi




    System Plays

    TB
    Tex
    Min
    NyM
    Cws
    Phi
    Sd
    Hou

    UND:
    Tex/Bos

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    Final Update:  Changes are add Hou and remove Sd from Dog Eff


    Sagarin plays
    Sd

    Dog EFF Score
    Min
    Phi




    Dog EFF
    Tex
    Min
    Phi




    System Plays

    TB
    Tex
    Min
    NyM
    Cws
    Phi
    Sd
    Hou

    UND:
    Tex/Bos

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 2:05 PM ET #562

    Quote Originally Posted by DoodlesWeaver:

    I missed yesterday's (6-5) numbers from the sheet. Does anyone have a copy they could share? 
    What numbers?  Dog Eff and Dog Eff Score?  I think I have them but ya gotta wait until about 430
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    Quote Originally Posted by DoodlesWeaver:

    I missed yesterday's (6-5) numbers from the sheet. Does anyone have a copy they could share? 
    What numbers?  Dog Eff and Dog Eff Score?  I think I have them but ya gotta wait until about 430
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 3:03 PM ET #563

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Final Update:  Changes are add Hou and remove Sd from Dog Eff


    Sagarin plays
    Sd

    Dog EFF Score
    Min
    Phi




    Dog EFF
    Tex
    Min
    Phi




    System Plays

    TB
    Tex
    Min
    NyM
    Cws
    Phi
    Sd
    Hou

    UND:
    Tex/Bos

    no ML connected to the plays? TEX/BOS UNDER what?

    Buckeye, I understand your doing Danrules, and the thread itself a sound service by stepping up and posting while he's on vacation, however, those that are seriously tracking, must look up all the MoneyLines, and UNDER denominations? this is your responsibility, that you accepted, I also recommend you re-evaluate the Final Update, it's not in true form, it's lazy; if you know what I mean...please confer with DG by PM for further details, and any assistance you may need in your effort, if you bit off more than you can handle, and you have time restraints, that is understandable, if this is the best you can do, it simply cannot be accepted, or even tolerated until DR return. appreciate your contribution, and effort

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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Final Update:  Changes are add Hou and remove Sd from Dog Eff


    Sagarin plays
    Sd

    Dog EFF Score
    Min
    Phi




    Dog EFF
    Tex
    Min
    Phi




    System Plays

    TB
    Tex
    Min
    NyM
    Cws
    Phi
    Sd
    Hou

    UND:
    Tex/Bos

    no ML connected to the plays? TEX/BOS UNDER what?

    Buckeye, I understand your doing Danrules, and the thread itself a sound service by stepping up and posting while he's on vacation, however, those that are seriously tracking, must look up all the MoneyLines, and UNDER denominations? this is your responsibility, that you accepted, I also recommend you re-evaluate the Final Update, it's not in true form, it's lazy; if you know what I mean...please confer with DG by PM for further details, and any assistance you may need in your effort, if you bit off more than you can handle, and you have time restraints, that is understandable, if this is the best you can do, it simply cannot be accepted, or even tolerated until DR return. appreciate your contribution, and effort

     
    RommiRommi
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 3:39 PM ET #564

    ATL now DOG EFF
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    ATL now DOG EFF
     
    RommiRommi
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 3:41 PM ET #565

    and Dog EFF Score
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    and Dog EFF Score
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 4:02 PM ET #566

    Rommi, yes, <ATL +105 ML> qualifies for both DogEFF/Score

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    Rommi, yes, <ATL +105 ML> qualifies for both DogEFF/Score

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 4:06 PM ET #567

    BOS | TEX  UNDER-9  -105
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    BOS | TEX  UNDER-9  -105
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 4:44 PM ET #568

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    no ML connected to the plays? TEX/BOS UNDER what?

    Buckeye, I understand your doing Danrules, and the thread itself a sound service by stepping up and posting while he's on vacation, however, those that are seriously tracking, must look up all the MoneyLines, and UNDER denominations? this is your responsibility, that you accepted, I also recommend you re-evaluate the Final Update, it's not in true form, it's lazy; if you know what I mean...please confer with DG by PM for further details, and any assistance you may need in your effort, if you bit off more than you can handle, and you have time restraints, that is understandable, if this is the best you can do, it simply cannot be accepted, or even tolerated until DR return. appreciate your contribution, and effort

    I had 20 mins early this morning, and did the afternoon post while eating my lunch, to which I had to go back to work.  It's not lazy, it was the plays as requested within MY timeframe.  Does the MLs and Und line really matter?  No, as people are going to play what they are able to get.***(below)  People won't avoid (or shouldn't avoid) a play because Dan early this morning got Team A at +120, and now it's down to +110.  I posted them early as people as used to having them early. I didn't have time to go through one of my 2 wagering sites to get lines that will most likely be different as the day goes by.  As it is Rommi found a mistake I made.  NO ONE else volunteered, so please don't criticize the work.  I admire your work but not all of us are professional sports guys.  
    As far as it's not in proper form, I copied and pasted his last post, removed the plays and then added today's.  And then went to work,  I came home for lunch, updated the sheet, posted the additional play and the correction....and went back to work.  I'm a mailman...it rained all d m day and I'm already irritated...I didn't need this.  It would have been easier if you would just reposted it with your lines.

    Fine, I've vented.  I resign, I didn't do the correct job, got no time to do it.

    ***The lines really only matter for tracking.  I'm sure Dan already has his lines or will have them when he gets home.  For my tracking, I use Covers final lines, as it's a consistent time period...the start of the game.  Dan doesn't do it, he uses his casino when he gets there, and that's fine.  The closet casino I have is in Cleveland, 25 miles away, and it doesn't take bets.

    Anyone know this?  Movie Quote: 

    We use words like honor, code, loyalty...we use these words as the backbone to a life spent defending something. You use 'em as a punchline. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom I provide, then questions the manner in which I provide it! I'd rather you just said thank you and went on your way. Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon and stand a post. Either way, I don't give a damn what you think you're entitled to!

    Now I'm done!! (dumb jock quote...idk who)

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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    no ML connected to the plays? TEX/BOS UNDER what?

    Buckeye, I understand your doing Danrules, and the thread itself a sound service by stepping up and posting while he's on vacation, however, those that are seriously tracking, must look up all the MoneyLines, and UNDER denominations? this is your responsibility, that you accepted, I also recommend you re-evaluate the Final Update, it's not in true form, it's lazy; if you know what I mean...please confer with DG by PM for further details, and any assistance you may need in your effort, if you bit off more than you can handle, and you have time restraints, that is understandable, if this is the best you can do, it simply cannot be accepted, or even tolerated until DR return. appreciate your contribution, and effort

    I had 20 mins early this morning, and did the afternoon post while eating my lunch, to which I had to go back to work.  It's not lazy, it was the plays as requested within MY timeframe.  Does the MLs and Und line really matter?  No, as people are going to play what they are able to get.***(below)  People won't avoid (or shouldn't avoid) a play because Dan early this morning got Team A at +120, and now it's down to +110.  I posted them early as people as used to having them early. I didn't have time to go through one of my 2 wagering sites to get lines that will most likely be different as the day goes by.  As it is Rommi found a mistake I made.  NO ONE else volunteered, so please don't criticize the work.  I admire your work but not all of us are professional sports guys.  
    As far as it's not in proper form, I copied and pasted his last post, removed the plays and then added today's.  And then went to work,  I came home for lunch, updated the sheet, posted the additional play and the correction....and went back to work.  I'm a mailman...it rained all d m day and I'm already irritated...I didn't need this.  It would have been easier if you would just reposted it with your lines.

    Fine, I've vented.  I resign, I didn't do the correct job, got no time to do it.

    ***The lines really only matter for tracking.  I'm sure Dan already has his lines or will have them when he gets home.  For my tracking, I use Covers final lines, as it's a consistent time period...the start of the game.  Dan doesn't do it, he uses his casino when he gets there, and that's fine.  The closet casino I have is in Cleveland, 25 miles away, and it doesn't take bets.

    Anyone know this?  Movie Quote: 

    We use words like honor, code, loyalty...we use these words as the backbone to a life spent defending something. You use 'em as a punchline. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom I provide, then questions the manner in which I provide it! I'd rather you just said thank you and went on your way. Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon and stand a post. Either way, I don't give a damn what you think you're entitled to!

    Now I'm done!! (dumb jock quote...idk who)

     
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:03 PM ET #569

    Your doing fine buddy.Don't let the little garbage bother you.GL
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    Your doing fine buddy.Don't let the little garbage bother you.GL
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:11 PM ET #570

    [Quote: Originally Posted by Danrules24] Buckeye - Would it be possible for you to post the plays on Thursday?
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by Danrules24] Buckeye - Would it be possible for you to post the plays on Thursday?
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:14 PM ET #571

    [Quote: Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn]
    Sure, no problem.  Since there's 2 afternoon games and I have to work, I'll run it at 630 am, and then again when I get home after at 4pm....EST
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn]
    Sure, no problem.  Since there's 2 afternoon games and I have to work, I'll run it at 630 am, and then again when I get home after at 4pm....EST
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:31 PM ET #572

    I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man .... then questions the manner in which I provide it! I'd rather you just said thank you and went on your way.

    Sorry, one of my all time favorite quotes.

    And you're right, SN, I did what Dan asked, I posted the plays....not the YTD, unit stats or the money lines...but the plays...as asked.  I did do it at lunch instead of after work as I had to fix a spreadsheet.  But thank you for pointing out that your complaint to me was unwarranted.

    My last word on it
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    I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man .... then questions the manner in which I provide it! I'd rather you just said thank you and went on your way.

    Sorry, one of my all time favorite quotes.

    And you're right, SN, I did what Dan asked, I posted the plays....not the YTD, unit stats or the money lines...but the plays...as asked.  I did do it at lunch instead of after work as I had to fix a spreadsheet.  But thank you for pointing out that your complaint to me was unwarranted.

    My last word on it
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:38 PM ET #573

    Hey guys, I just got to my destination after an 8 hour drive. Buckeye, thanks for posting the plays (appreciate the backup), people knew who the system plays where. I will reformat in a few with additional data.
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Hey guys, I just got to my destination after an 8 hour drive. Buckeye, thanks for posting the plays (appreciate the backup), people knew who the system plays where. I will reformat in a few with additional data.
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:48 PM ET #574

    Glad to have you back, sorry about my rant, I was P.O.d at the time, I was still drying out.  I should have just rolled my eyes like I usually do whenever I'm on some of them SBR forums.  No hard feelings here.

    I still love that quote by Jack Nicholson!!!
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    Glad to have you back, sorry about my rant, I was P.O.d at the time, I was still drying out.  I should have just rolled my eyes like I usually do whenever I'm on some of them SBR forums.  No hard feelings here.

    I still love that quote by Jack Nicholson!!!
     
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Jun. 6, 2013 - 5:50 PM ET #575

    Thursday 6/6 plays (reformatted)

    Sagarin plays

    YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

    All 2 Units

    No plays (SD does not qualify)

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 28-28, +5.04 units

    Minn 137

    Phil 136

    Atl 101

    Dog EFF

    YTD 56-47, +41.82 units

    All 2 units

    Tex 120

    Minn 137

    Phil 136

    Atl 101

    System Plays

    YTD 162-192 +12.74 units

    Tex 120

    Minn 137

    Phil 136

    Atl 101

    TB 180

    Hou 144

    ChiSox 120

    Mets 156

    AZ 165

    SD 126

    Tex/Bos Under 9 -105

    Looks like a couple of games switched from Buckeye's update. Atl, now a dog. I'm considering this post as official plays.

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday 6/6 plays (reformatted)

    Sagarin plays

    YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

    All 2 Units

    No plays (SD does not qualify)

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 28-28, +5.04 units

    Minn 137

    Phil 136

    Atl 101

    Dog EFF

    YTD 56-47, +41.82 units

    All 2 units

    Tex 120

    Minn 137

    Phil 136

    Atl 101

    System Plays

    YTD 162-192 +12.74 units

    Tex 120

    Minn 137

    Phil 136

    Atl 101

    TB 180

    Hou 144

    ChiSox 120

    Mets 156

    AZ 165

    SD 126

    Tex/Bos Under 9 -105

    Looks like a couple of games switched from Buckeye's update. Atl, now a dog. I'm considering this post as official plays.

     

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