And the DOGS came a barking - whenever we have a heavy favorite day where a high majority of favorites win - there always is a reversal a couple days later where we kill it.
Good Stuff
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Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
Saturday results
Dog EFF Score
3-0, +3.65 units
YTD 14-16, +1.09 units
Balt 140 WIN
Texas 110 WIN
Pitt 115 WIN
Dog EFF
6-1, +13.4 units
YTD 42-33, +37.42 units
All 2 units
Balt 140 WIN
LAA 110 WIN
NYY 155 WIN
Tex 110 WIN
Pitt 115 WIN
Phil 140 WIN
Colo 115 Loss
System Plays
7-2, +6.6 units
YTD 127-144, +13.8 units
Balt 140 WIN
LAA 110 WIN
NYY 155 WIN
Tex 110 WIN
Pitt 115 WIN
Phil 140 WIN
Colo 115 Loss
Tex/Sea Under 6.5 -110 Loss
Cubs/ Cincy Under 7.5 -110 Win
And the DOGS came a barking - whenever we have a heavy favorite day where a high majority of favorites win - there always is a reversal a couple days later where we kill it.
SN, yep, thanx for the plays. I didn't get Laa in, but I took the other 2 and parlay'd them. It was a nice part of my 11-2 day. Tex/Sea Und and KC being my 2 losers.
Also, you must have a Doctorate, SN!! I'm having a hard time deciphering what you said!! Anyway, it was a thought.... the opening lines are on there and with the current lines and other tools, it's no big deal.
Have a Happy Memorial Day, everyone. Thank You to all the vets, past and present.
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SN, yep, thanx for the plays. I didn't get Laa in, but I took the other 2 and parlay'd them. It was a nice part of my 11-2 day. Tex/Sea Und and KC being my 2 losers.
Also, you must have a Doctorate, SN!! I'm having a hard time deciphering what you said!! Anyway, it was a thought.... the opening lines are on there and with the current lines and other tools, it's no big deal.
Have a Happy Memorial Day, everyone. Thank You to all the vets, past and present.
DanRules - what do you think about adding this system to the spreadsheet - basically refining the divisional angle and removing the winning previous game criteria
Very interesting. I'm in favor of simply replacing the current system with this. For this year, games that qualify only for the Div system as we have it now, is 10-26. I think the 10 year data speaks for itself.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:
DanRules - what do you think about adding this system to the spreadsheet - basically refining the divisional angle and removing the winning previous game criteria
Very interesting. I'm in favor of simply replacing the current system with this. For this year, games that qualify only for the Div system as we have it now, is 10-26. I think the 10 year data speaks for itself.
has anyone checked the performance of the system based on home or away games? i checked my database and it is obvious that generally dogs who play at home perform better that the ones on the road. maybe woll revisit the system palys and post the results later this day. good luck everyone.
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has anyone checked the performance of the system based on home or away games? i checked my database and it is obvious that generally dogs who play at home perform better that the ones on the road. maybe woll revisit the system palys and post the results later this day. good luck everyone.
I don't know what else the criteria is for Underdogs w/ 6 or under hits, but the plays that come up are 25-16, 16.24u as opposed to the ones that actually do have 6 or less hits...5-2, 4.19u. Just putting it out there for the action junkies!!!
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I don't know what else the criteria is for Underdogs w/ 6 or under hits, but the plays that come up are 25-16, 16.24u as opposed to the ones that actually do have 6 or less hits...5-2, 4.19u. Just putting it out there for the action junkies!!!
Example of figuring units for a chase on a series won:
4/29 Min +213 for 1u (loss)
4/30 Min +233 for 2u (1u lost & 1u to win) (loss)
5/1 Min +201 for 4u (3u lost & 1u to win ) WIN!! 804 units won.
If Min had lost, it would have been 7u lost overall.
Chases start on the A game of a series and continue (if needed) to the B and C games, whether or not that B or C game is a play provided by DanRules. It does not matter if the team is a fav or dog on a B or C game.
Units based on Covers.com closing line. Plays are based on when I last update or refresh odds for the day.
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This is what I have through May 25th:
Divisional Dog:
Every play, no chase: 33/34 +9.69u
3g Chase from A game only: 19-2* +23.14u
* includes lost Hou bet C on May 26th.
MLB Dog:
Every play, no chase: 62/66 +9.43
3g Chase from A game only: 32-6 -(2.80u)
Example of figuring units for a chase on a series won:
4/29 Min +213 for 1u (loss)
4/30 Min +233 for 2u (1u lost & 1u to win) (loss)
5/1 Min +201 for 4u (3u lost & 1u to win ) WIN!! 804 units won.
If Min had lost, it would have been 7u lost overall.
Chases start on the A game of a series and continue (if needed) to the B and C games, whether or not that B or C game is a play provided by DanRules. It does not matter if the team is a fav or dog on a B or C game.
Units based on Covers.com closing line. Plays are based on when I last update or refresh odds for the day.
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