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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

    «First Previous 151617 ... 333435 Next Last»
    sports_Network
    Danrules24
    RCDirect
    RommiRommi
    DegenGamble
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    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: May. 18, 2013 - 5:27 AM ET #351

    Quote Originally Posted by ttlkwin:

    Just my 2 cents, before you post your plays or results please make sure that you are in the correct forum.

    Systems & Strategies] Topic: Before you post your picks
    Covers-Team
    RSI
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    #1
    Posted: 12/4/2009 6:20:39 AM
    Just remember that this forum is for systems and explaining how your system works. If you are just posting picks please post them in the appropriate sports forum.
    Thanks

    Thank you Covers referee, it's official, "you don't post picks in the S&S forum"  the answer to the intrusion hey s_N your posting results "after the fact" post your picks, we want to see your picks in advance, why don't you post them? any body can post results after the fact, to the one lame troll and his side-kick, I dedicate this embarasment to you (Abott & Costello, "who's on first")
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    Quote Originally Posted by ttlkwin:

    Just my 2 cents, before you post your plays or results please make sure that you are in the correct forum.

    Systems & Strategies] Topic: Before you post your picks
    Covers-Team
    RSI
    View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
    Covers Referee
    Joined: Aug 2001
    Posts: 38087
    Location: Canada
    #1
    Posted: 12/4/2009 6:20:39 AM
    Just remember that this forum is for systems and explaining how your system works. If you are just posting picks please post them in the appropriate sports forum.
    Thanks

    Thank you Covers referee, it's official, "you don't post picks in the S&S forum"  the answer to the intrusion hey s_N your posting results "after the fact" post your picks, we want to see your picks in advance, why don't you post them? any body can post results after the fact, to the one lame troll and his side-kick, I dedicate this embarasment to you (Abott & Costello, "who's on first")
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 18, 2013 - 1:07 PM ET #352

    Saturday 5/18 plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 10-10, +2.34 units

    Texas 110

    Dog EFF

    YTD 31-25, +26.42 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 105

    System Plays

    YTD 108-110, +23.65 units

    Tor 110

    ChiSox 120

    KC 120

    Colo 105

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday 5/18 plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 10-10, +2.34 units

    Texas 110

    Dog EFF

    YTD 31-25, +26.42 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 105

    System Plays

    YTD 108-110, +23.65 units

    Tor 110

    ChiSox 120

    KC 120

    Colo 105

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2012
    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 1:40 AM ET #353

    Saturday 5/18 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.1 units

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    Texas 110 WIN

    Dog EFF

    1-0, + 2.10 units

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 105 WIN

    System Plays

    1-3, -1.95 units

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    Tor 110 Loss

    ChiSox 120 Loss

    KC 120 Loss

    Colo 105 WIN

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday 5/18 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    1-0, +1.1 units

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    Texas 110 WIN

    Dog EFF

    1-0, + 2.10 units

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 105 WIN

    System Plays

    1-3, -1.95 units

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    Tor 110 Loss

    ChiSox 120 Loss

    KC 120 Loss

    Colo 105 WIN

     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 2:58 AM ET #354

    [Quote: Originally Posted by Danrules24]

    Saturday 5/18/13 results:

    Dog EFF/RRL Score results:

    1-0, +1.1 units

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    <TEX +110 ML WIN | TEX [-1.5] +195 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.9u

    Dog EFF/RRL results:

    1-0, + 2.10 units

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    <COL+105 ML WIN | COL [-1.5] +178 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.56u

    System/RRL Plays results:

    1-3, -1.95 units

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    TOR +110 ML LOSS  'cut'

    <CHW +120 ML LOSS | CHW [-1.5] +202 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

    KC +120 ML LOSS  'cut'

    COL +105 ML WIN

    [/Quote] Total unit count [YTD] +21.7u over-powers winning % [109-113] the DOG EFF/ RRL [YTD] stands at 23-5 aprx +79.25u (all wagers are based on 2u denominations)
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by Danrules24]

    Saturday 5/18/13 results:

    Dog EFF/RRL Score results:

    1-0, +1.1 units

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    <TEX +110 ML WIN | TEX [-1.5] +195 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.9u

    Dog EFF/RRL results:

    1-0, + 2.10 units

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    <COL+105 ML WIN | COL [-1.5] +178 RRL WIN>RISK 2u WIN 3.56u

    System/RRL Plays results:

    1-3, -1.95 units

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    TOR +110 ML LOSS  'cut'

    <CHW +120 ML LOSS | CHW [-1.5] +202 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

    KC +120 ML LOSS  'cut'

    COL +105 ML WIN

    [/Quote] Total unit count [YTD] +21.7u over-powers winning % [109-113] the DOG EFF/ RRL [YTD] stands at 23-5 aprx +79.25u (all wagers are based on 2u denominations)
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 3:59 AM ET #355

    [Quote] Originally Posted by Danrules24 Just a side note

    Now, I don't personally know S_N, but I can tell you guys this, I've seen his posts on plays for both football and baseball and he handicaps games in a way that hurts my head thinking about it. From what I can tell, he does so by looking at numerous data points and then carefully makes his plays. I've seen him post toward the latter parts of the season once there has been a wealth of data. His plays have been fantastic and I do not question his handicapping. If we are fortunate enough to see him post plays later in the season, I would suggest playing them using your own money management system.

    As far as the RRL, I have no idea how he determines his plays. He has his methods that he has every right not to share. I believe he is posting his results to let everyone know that there is something there as far as finding value in the RRL. Do I wish he would post his plays prior to the games? Well of course,unfortunetly Covers policy does not condone posting picks in S&S forum. he has a great win rate. As mentioned, "I think he is simply letting us know that there is something good here".

    Using the spreadsheet Degen has come up with, there is a column on RRL which he has described in an earlier post. If a system play is .500 or better, that will be something to consider. Until I can figure out how to correctly determine how to handicap RRL plays, I'm leaving it alone, not even going to speculate on the criteria used.

    Ok, I'm done. Let's move on and please keep it civil.

     

     

    [/Quote]
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    [Quote] Originally Posted by Danrules24 Just a side note

    Now, I don't personally know S_N, but I can tell you guys this, I've seen his posts on plays for both football and baseball and he handicaps games in a way that hurts my head thinking about it. From what I can tell, he does so by looking at numerous data points and then carefully makes his plays. I've seen him post toward the latter parts of the season once there has been a wealth of data. His plays have been fantastic and I do not question his handicapping. If we are fortunate enough to see him post plays later in the season, I would suggest playing them using your own money management system.

    As far as the RRL, I have no idea how he determines his plays. He has his methods that he has every right not to share. I believe he is posting his results to let everyone know that there is something there as far as finding value in the RRL. Do I wish he would post his plays prior to the games? Well of course,unfortunetly Covers policy does not condone posting picks in S&S forum. he has a great win rate. As mentioned, "I think he is simply letting us know that there is something good here".

    Using the spreadsheet Degen has come up with, there is a column on RRL which he has described in an earlier post. If a system play is .500 or better, that will be something to consider. Until I can figure out how to correctly determine how to handicap RRL plays, I'm leaving it alone, not even going to speculate on the criteria used.

    Ok, I'm done. Let's move on and please keep it civil.

     

     

    [/Quote]
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 5:26 AM ET #356

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Just a side note.

    Now, I don't personally know S_N, but I can tell you guys this, I've seen his posts on plays for both football and baseball and he handicaps games in a way that hurts my head thinking about it. From what I can tell, he does so by looking at numerous data points and then calculates his plays. I've seen him post toward the latter parts of the season once there has been a wealth of data. His plays have been fantastic and I do not question his handicapping. If we are fortunate enough to see him post plays later in the season, I would suggest playing them using your own money management system.

    As far as the RRL, I have no idea how he determines his plays. He has his methods that he has every right not to share. I believe he is posting his results to let everyone know that there is something there as far as value in the RRL. Do I wish he would post his plays prior to the games? Well of course, unfortunetly Covers S&S forum policy does not condone merely posting random picks. he has a great win rate. As mentioned, "I think he is simply letting us know that there is something good here".

    Using the spreadsheet Degen has come up with, there is a column on RRL which he has described in an earlier post. If a system play is .500 or better, that will be something to consider. Until I can figure out how to correctly determine how to handicap the RRL plays, I'm leaving it alone, not even going to speculate on the criteria used.

     

     

     

    your beliefs are correct, well said
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Just a side note.

    Now, I don't personally know S_N, but I can tell you guys this, I've seen his posts on plays for both football and baseball and he handicaps games in a way that hurts my head thinking about it. From what I can tell, he does so by looking at numerous data points and then calculates his plays. I've seen him post toward the latter parts of the season once there has been a wealth of data. His plays have been fantastic and I do not question his handicapping. If we are fortunate enough to see him post plays later in the season, I would suggest playing them using your own money management system.

    As far as the RRL, I have no idea how he determines his plays. He has his methods that he has every right not to share. I believe he is posting his results to let everyone know that there is something there as far as value in the RRL. Do I wish he would post his plays prior to the games? Well of course, unfortunetly Covers S&S forum policy does not condone merely posting random picks. he has a great win rate. As mentioned, "I think he is simply letting us know that there is something good here".

    Using the spreadsheet Degen has come up with, there is a column on RRL which he has described in an earlier post. If a system play is .500 or better, that will be something to consider. Until I can figure out how to correctly determine how to handicap the RRL plays, I'm leaving it alone, not even going to speculate on the criteria used.

     

     

     

    your beliefs are correct, well said
     
    RCDirect
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 11:32 AM ET #357

    As we would expect from you S_N, never miss an opportunity to pat yourself on the back
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    As we would expect from you S_N, never miss an opportunity to pat yourself on the back
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 12:52 PM ET #358

    Sunday 5/19 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays

    System Plays

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    Tor 125

    ChiSox 105

    KC 145

    Hou 165

    Mil 105

    SF 115

    Wash 110

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday 5/19 system plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays

    System Plays

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    Tor 125

    ChiSox 105

    KC 145

    Hou 165

    Mil 105

    SF 115

    Wash 110

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120

     
    RommiRommi
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 12:53 PM ET #359

    Toronto at New York Postponed
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    Toronto at New York Postponed
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 12:56 PM ET #360

    Sunday 5/19 system plays: (REVISED, REMOVED HOU)

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays

    System Plays

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    Tor 125 RAIN

    ChiSox 105

    KC 145

    Mil 105

    SF 115

    Wash 110

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday 5/19 system plays: (REVISED, REMOVED HOU)

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays

    System Plays

    YTD 109-113, +21.70 units

    Tor 125 RAIN

    ChiSox 105

    KC 145

    Mil 105

    SF 115

    Wash 110

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 1:24 PM ET #361

    Degen, I noticed when a team changes from a fave on opening line to a dog on current line, the numbers under the dog eff and using odds are still reflecting the opening line dog not the curent dog.

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Degen, I noticed when a team changes from a fave on opening line to a dog on current line, the numbers under the dog eff and using odds are still reflecting the opening line dog not the curent dog.

     

     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 2:12 PM ET #362

    Oh yeah ill have to fix that
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    Oh yeah ill have to fix that
     
    CInderellaStory
    CInderellaStory
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 2:57 PM ET #363

    Hey Degen. When I copy and paste link for spreadsheet I'm getting info from 5/16 games. How do I get current Info?
    Thanks
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    Hey Degen. When I copy and paste link for spreadsheet I'm getting info from 5/16 games. How do I get current Info?
    Thanks
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 3:02 PM ET #364

    Hit update button
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    Hit update button
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 19, 2013 - 11:42 PM ET #365

    Sunday results

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays

    System Plays

    1-6, -4.1 units

    YTD 110-119, +17.60 units

    ChiSox 105 Loss

    KC 145 Loss

    Mil 105 Loss

    SF 115 Loss

    Wash 110 Loss

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110 Win

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120 Loss

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Sunday results

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays

    System Plays

    1-6, -4.1 units

    YTD 110-119, +17.60 units

    ChiSox 105 Loss

    KC 145 Loss

    Mil 105 Loss

    SF 115 Loss

    Wash 110 Loss

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110 Win

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120 Loss

     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 6:39 AM ET #366

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Sunday results: 5/19/13

    Dog EFF/RRL Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays........................... (non qualifying)

    Dog EFF/RRL

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays............................. (non qualifying)

    System/RRL Plays, results: [0-2]

    1-6, -4.1 units

    YTD 110-119, +17.60 units

    ChiSox +105 ML LOSS

    <KC +145 ML LOSS | KC ¨-1.5] +218 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

    MIL +105 ML LOSS  'cut' (no RRL play)

    <SF +115 ML LOSS | SF[-1.5] +192 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

    Wash +110 ML LOSS

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110 Win

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120 Loss

    Dog EFF play had 'silent' results.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Sunday results: 5/19/13

    Dog EFF/RRL Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    No plays........................... (non qualifying)

    Dog EFF/RRL

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    No plays............................. (non qualifying)

    System/RRL Plays, results: [0-2]

    1-6, -4.1 units

    YTD 110-119, +17.60 units

    ChiSox +105 ML LOSS

    <KC +145 ML LOSS | KC ¨-1.5] +218 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

    MIL +105 ML LOSS  'cut' (no RRL play)

    <SF +115 ML LOSS | SF[-1.5] +192 RRL LOSS>RISK 2u LOSS 2u

    Wash +110 ML LOSS

    Sea/Cle Under 7 +110 Win

    Det/Tex Under 9.5 -120 Loss

    Dog EFF play had 'silent' results.
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 7:10 AM ET #367

     MLB dog play (all games) Sunday 5/19/13, [additional]

    GP- 14*

    DOG WINS- 4 (29%)

    CLE +101 ML  WIN

    MIA +138 ML  WIN

    PHI +145 ML  WIN

    NYM +139 ML  WIN

    * TOR | NYY  PPD

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     MLB dog play (all games) Sunday 5/19/13, [additional]

    GP- 14*

    DOG WINS- 4 (29%)

    CLE +101 ML  WIN

    MIA +138 ML  WIN

    PHI +145 ML  WIN

    NYM +139 ML  WIN

    * TOR | NYY  PPD

     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 7:20 AM ET #368

    Danrules24, check your PM and activate; appreciate your effort
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    Danrules24, check your PM and activate; appreciate your effort
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 11:39 AM ET #369

    Monday 5/20 plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    no plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 100

    System Plays

    YTD 110-119, +17.60 units

    TB 135

    Oak 115

    Mets 140

    Miami 160

    Colo 100

    Wash 125

     

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Monday 5/20 plays:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    no plays

    Dog EFF

    YTD 32-25, +28.52 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 100

    System Plays

    YTD 110-119, +17.60 units

    TB 135

    Oak 115

    Mets 140

    Miami 160

    Colo 100

    Wash 125

     

     
    RommiRommi
    RommiRommi
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 3:58 PM ET #370

    i took Cle as Dog EFF Score
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    i took Cle as Dog EFF Score
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 4:07 PM ET #371

    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    i took Cle as Dog EFF Score

    Clev was a -160 favorite. Need to check Current lines, not Opening Lines.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    i took Cle as Dog EFF Score

    Clev was a -160 favorite. Need to check Current lines, not Opening Lines.

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 4:14 PM ET #372

    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Danrules24, check your PM and activate; appreciate your effort

    Did not receive one. Sent you a friend request, please accept and resend PM.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by sports_Network:

    Danrules24, check your PM and activate; appreciate your effort

    Did not receive one. Sent you a friend request, please accept and resend PM.

     
    RommiRommi
    RommiRommi
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 4:32 PM ET #373

    Clevlend was -105 underdog by current line

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    Clevlend was -105 underdog by current line

     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 20, 2013 - 4:42 PM ET #374

    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    Clevlend was -105 underdog by current line

    I messed up my spreadsheet. Had to download again and run it again.

    A -105 would not be considered a dog. It will need to be 100 or +odds to be considered a play.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    Clevlend was -105 underdog by current line

    I messed up my spreadsheet. Had to download again and run it again.

    A -105 would not be considered a dog. It will need to be 100 or +odds to be considered a play.

     
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: May. 21, 2013 - 2:11 AM ET #375

    Monday 5/20 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    no plays

    Dog EFF

    0-1, - 2 units

    YTD 32-26, +26.52 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 100 Loss

    System Plays

    2-4, - 1.25 units

    YTD 112-1123, +16.35 units

    TB 135 Loss

    Oak 115 WIN

    Mets 140 Loss

    Miami 160 WIN

    Colo 100 Loss

    Wash 125 Loss

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
    Reply
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    Monday 5/20 results:

    Dog EFF Score

    YTD 11-10, +3.44 units

    no plays

    Dog EFF

    0-1, - 2 units

    YTD 32-26, +26.52 units

    All 2 units

    Colo 100 Loss

    System Plays

    2-4, - 1.25 units

    YTD 112-1123, +16.35 units

    TB 135 Loss

    Oak 115 WIN

    Mets 140 Loss

    Miami 160 WIN

    Colo 100 Loss

    Wash 125 Loss

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