Posted:
#101
No plays for 5/19.
Boston looked good, but total 7.0 is too low.
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MLB Run Line System
Posted:
#103
Plays for 5/20
Need to make some early decisions today. I won't be around a computer after this, so I'm only going with the games that are currently meeting the parameters.
BOS -1.5RL +145
Other Possibility
I'm not playing this one, but it could meet the parameters later today.
LAA -1.5RL
The Angels are currently a slight ML dog. They need to be a favorite.
Current total is 8.0, which meets the parameters, but it's trending towards 7.5, which doesn't meet the parameters.
Need to make some early decisions today. I won't be around a computer after this, so I'm only going with the games that are currently meeting the parameters.
BOS -1.5RL +145
Other Possibility
I'm not playing this one, but it could meet the parameters later today.
LAA -1.5RL
The Angels are currently a slight ML dog. They need to be a favorite.
Current total is 8.0, which meets the parameters, but it's trending towards 7.5, which doesn't meet the parameters.
0
Posted:
#113
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:
In a situation like this, have you checked the record of just playing the ML? Still get + odds and don't have to win by 2.
Yeah, the original query (AF and total>=8 and 50<=WP<=55 and 41<=o:WP<=51) shows an ROI of +7.6% when betting ML on away favorites and +12.4% when betting RL on away favorites, so both the ML and RL plays rely on the away favorite.
Changing the query to AD and total>=8 and 50<=WP<=55 and 41<=o:WP<=51 shows an ROI of -4.3% when betting ML on the away dog.
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Posted:
#125
how strict should we be on where we get odds from?
like mike7002, I have TB at at -110 and -1.5(+140) which allows them to fit all criteria. I use a local book so I have no clue where the odds comes from.
What I'd like some advice on is whether this makes sense for me to play? For example, our odds are clearly different or else you'd be making the TB play right now. Since you are basing this system on your odds, should we be only making plays when your odds say to make them (since that is what the system is based on)? AKA would you advise against playing this system with any odds other than the consensus odds?
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