MLB Run Line System

The system was built off the Sports Database historical odds, and I don't know which book they use.

That database has TB at -102 right now, but I've seen it change in the past while the game is live. The TB game does not currently show up for the system query because TB is the dog in their database.

I tend to be more strict with the picks by requiring a consensus, so the pick is basically independent of the book.

From an ROI standpoint, this system profits at 12% for away favorites, and at about 8% with away teams having a negative money line. So, it's still a profitable play at -102 as the consensus odds.

Best of luck if you decide to bet it!

So, Away team with negative ML looks good, but Away Dog  with negative ML looks bad.

Queries in general time out quite a bit after all the games are completed. I think the Sports Database refreshes overnight, and it impacts query execution.

No worries ta. 

I have used SDQL a bit for NHL and never really had these timing out issues happen so frequently... first time I have used it for MLB... so was just curious.

I'll keep playing with it.

I also noticed that the SDQL database had the total for the BOS game at 8.0. All books I checked had 7.5 most of the afternoon and at game time. Definitely going to be some data discrepancies.

My goal on this thread, if my schedule permits, is to watch the lines up until 30 minutes before game time for games that are very close to the query parameters. Due to work schedule, it's generally hard for me to do that for afternoon and early evening games, so I'll make a decision earlier in the day. If you are following, then definitely do your own research for potential changes later in the day.

I try to put a watch list up early for those tailing the system. If it's on the watch list, and I haven't made an early decision, then most likely I'm still following the lines and will make a late call.

TB @ TEX

     Early ML is around -140 for TB and total is 9.5.

     Looks solid. Just need to shop the best run line odds.

BOS @ CWS

     Early ML is around -160 for BOS and total is 9.5.

     Also looks solid. Just need to shop the best run line odds.

BOS -1.5RL +115

TB -1.5RL +120

MIN@LAA: Minnesota currently ML dog. Need to close as favorite, so will monitor until close to game time.

TB@SEA

CLE@KC

MIN@LAA - slight dog right now.

TB -1.5RL +150          LOSS (-1.0u)
CLE -1.5RL +145        LOSS (-1.0u)

Cardinals (48%)/Reds (45%)

Mets (44%)/Rangers (46%)

Astros (72%)/Royals (43%)

Indians (53%)/Rockies (61%)

Blue Jays (48%)/Athletics (44%)

Nationals (64%)/Dodgers (59%)