MLB RPI SYSTEM 2012

B2W,

what is going on in here??? waaaaaaaaaaaay too much capping and waaaaaaaay too many discussions on tweak the system since the dodgers loss and waaaaaaaaay too many "unofficial" plays

I thought this system is based on a simple premise of good teams beating bad teams, not betting on two good teams or two bad teams and trying to "guess" the one who isnt going to get swept between the two.

I just think all the unofficial plays need to get out of this thread and start their own one with all their dgen plays.

This system WORKS but people need to be disciplined and have great money managment and if you cant afford a "c" or "d" game, maybe u need to bet smaller on the a, b, games or just not bet this system.

Obviously, we dont want any "c" games but that is what the filters are for so we can LIMIT the "c" games.

All im saying is its not a bad thing we dont have plays early in the week like this week, but if u did what robbypark did, u are now in a "c" game situation were as you could of just not be stressing at all and wait until tomorrow to see if anything shows up.

I am hoping for seattle to come through for all of u but man, seattle for a c game is just not a good feeling, and I can only imagine.

It also just does not seem smart to play 5  unofficial plays ANYTIME, you are asking for a C game or worse.

There is a guy andrew choe on twitter that posts all his plays based on his system and he did do well this week with only playing 3 out of 5 games robbvypark mentioned(he did not play seattle) but he also had some tough LOSSES already playing unofficial plays.

MY goal is to have 50 OFFICIAL plays this year that I think that wont go into a "C" game and each of those series are bet at $250, so MY goal is to hit $12500 by the seasons end. I know we will have more than 50 plays and with all these guys want to bet more series I'm sure we will easily have over 50 "official" plays again this year, If I dont like the series like the dodgers/mil the other week, I just bet those series at $25 if its a 4 game series and $50 if its a 3 game chase. I have made my own filters to give me more guidelines as to which games deserves the $250 bets.

I will be busy from today til July 15th but I hope I can come back then and possibly help out some people who went crazy with some unofficial plays that lost...

If possible, it would be great if u can get rid of all the unoffcial plays out of the thread so it would lessen up the clutter, IMO it should really only be irage and B2W who should be posting plays and official records, if you have questions, just PM one of them, I'm sure they will be more than happy to answer questions that is not already posted in this thead.

GL all and always thanks to B2W for the great system you have kindly shared with all of us!!

Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

The question is: Who has the BALLS to list the official plays??? hehe

I DO.    

https://www.wunderground.com/sports/MLB/?MR=1

Great site here. You should ALWAYS consider the wind, humidity, temperature and pressure.  I would post which stadiums are the best/worst but that would take too long.  But!!! OAK, SF and SD lousy hitters parks (dense air). Mia doesn't give up a lot of HR's but a lot of points are scored there. COL...Well, if you don't know COL stadium by now, just quit. But the wind there is VERY important too.  Blowing out to CF or so will most likely give you an OVER.  Pressure.  A low pressure lets the ball travel longer.  Anything below 30.10 is good pressure imo. 29 is optimal.  Air pressure, BTW, is the biggest factor on how far a ball will fly. All else being equal also, balls will travel FARTHER in in higher humidity (air is less dense).  Great example, Chicago. California ballparks, low elevation and dense air- low scoring. 

Do some research. 

One more hint on OVERS/UNDERS.....  Find what stadiums are the best for HR's, runs scored and so forth... Another website, not as great as WUNDERGROUND.COM is....

https://www.baseball-weather.com/

Don't neccessarily just take the OVER for the game...Look at TEAM TOTALS as well.  (I personally don't ever take Unders Unless there is a really GREAT reason. Too easy to hit a 3 run HR in the 1st, followed up by 2 walks and a double in the bottom half of the 1st). O/U are about 50% trend each, I know. But I hit higher than that with the Overs or Team Total Overs. 
GL and do some research. The weather has a bigger impact than you think. 

No plays tomorrow,,,,as of right now. 

I would let B2W post the official plays - besides BOS is not techincially a play with the filters.

They dont' have .500 record (.492) and they have not won more than 3 in there last 10 (they only won 3)

Boston isn't official. Filtered out like degen said. 

I don't see a whole lot of series I like to win one game as unofficial.  Nobody to me really stands out. 

Also, I posted about the weather last night, don't get fooled by the wind at Wrigley.  The O/U right now is at 9.5. The wind is blowing towards Left Field right NOW but it will switch to the 3rd base line by game time and THEN directly at 3rd base by the 5th inn or so.  Just an FYI . O/U suspect either way IMO.

Appreciate the knowledge...thanks for sharing. Was an under guy for a few years when I was pounding Peavy, Webb and Timmy Smoke on the West Coast. After getting beat up the last few years on unders I have joined the over thought process when looking at games. These garbage bullpens some teams have forced me to be extremely selective on unders.

Thanks again for the site info.

Don't neccessarily just take the OVER for the game...Look at TEAM TOTALS as well.  (I personally don't ever take Unders Unless there is a really GREAT reason. Too easy to hit a 3 run HR in the 1st, followed up by 2 walks and a double in the bottom half of the 1st). O/U are about 50% trend each, I know. But I hit higher than that with the Overs or Team Total Overs. 

LOL at you making up a 1st inning that goes horribly wrong to justify not taking a under. I can say the same damn thing about a horrible pitcher throwing  7 innings and only letting up 2 runs on a 10 1/2 o/u for you taking the over. I have no idea how this horrible thread has 2000k posts. Have there been any offical plays this year? Oh wait there were some in the first week of the season but when 2 teams lost games AB and C you made up some lame ass excuse about how you mis calculated the start date. LOL

The under won didn't it? ZOINKS!!!! I guess my porognostications were correct there.  This is all part of the same system fukdja

Wind is blowing out of Wrigley today at 12-15mph towards CF.  Last time that happened the Padres of all teams hit 4 HR's.