MLB RPI SYSTEM

WOW, how many people were sweating that one out.

NICE Bettor.

Great comeback! Glad to get out of that series with a victory...

I was actually losing hope as the innings went by and thought is that really the phillies on the field. I mean cubs suck and they can't even make any runs.

UFFFFFF!!!!! 

I lost around 20 pounds sweatin this game!!! shit the best workout I have had in days!!!LOL

whoa. glad i didnt watch the game. haha victory!

Plays in this thread are done until FRI I believe. 

Plays in this thread are done until FRI I believe. 

I´m confussed what other thread?

I am trying to understand this system. If I am correct here, you say there is "heavy juice." What is the average line that you will be laying? I see it so far as you have 31/50 game A plays for a 62% win rate or about -161 line, B plays are 12/18 or -150 and C plays are 4/6 for -150.

I have never used martingale or labby line and will do some research to understand them both better. However, I would like to know/see a chart with somebody's actual result betting these games. At an average of -175 and trying to win 1 unit per each "final conclusion," I see about 8 units of profit total on 74 plays, some very large dollar plays.

At -150 avg line, I see about 17 units of profit. Again some very large "C" bets.

I guess what I am thinking is if the average line is about -180, then this system can never be profitable and your risk of ruin could be very high.

Anybody have a spreadsheet with every play detailed, so we can see actual results, unit and overall roi%?

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101089039

I'm back! Bettor to win, you made a comment about this possibly being the shit series for the year, I think we had it already, Kansas City! At any rate keep the faith! This is by far the best baseball betting system I have come across! I just picked up two nice wins with Boston and Philly! Nice job Bettor to win!

like charlie says " WINNING " !!!! 

For Friday 22nd, I'm seeing...

98% of bettors lose, only 2% win every week in Vegas stats show. I'm sure it's not the same people either.  Well, if we are not in that loser category, we're better than most others.

I don't tell people how much they should bet. Garbage. I don't have their bankroll and neither do they mine.

I'm up more that 17U btw. I don't bet the same on every play/series or even game.

I don't make spreadsheets. That's for IT guys. I know how but I got a family. Too much time.  Look back at the first post and you figure out the plays and create a spreadsheet then post it here. Only loss was w/ KC (vs MIN) this year and it had relatively low juice btw.  

Every year I start with $100 in baseball  (I don't think gambling is a great investment. So I came up with this system). Before the DOJ took over BetEd I was up $119. I then started over @ BETDSI with another $100Play it slow and let it grow. Im now in the positive of $345. ALL FROM THIS SYSTEM. I break down the plays. Yeah, there is a high juice factor at times like there will be in PHI this weekend....But use some common sense! Don't bet a lot because the juice will KILL you if lose.

You want a pie chart? Spreadsheet? Make one. The plays this year are all documented for you in this thread. 

Goodluck.

 



SYSTEM
The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

FILTERS
1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

JUICE
This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.



July 1 -
July 2 -
July 3 -
July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (41)  WIN
July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (41) WIN
July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN A
July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN A
July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN A
July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN A
July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69) WIN B

We only have between 4-6 weeks left with this system for this year.  It looks as though we will have 3 definate plays and one possible play. BOS, PHI and NYY are home. That means HIGH Juice.  TB, not a def. play is on the road in KC. They will def. need this series if they get their "butts" kicked by NY.

Choose wisely my friends.

3 plays FRI and TB not looking so hot for friday.

SEASON TOTALS!!!

Unless I am missing something, I don't see plays with all the lines. What I am trying to deduce is that any one of your bets, either A or B are winning 60% or so. This amounts to a line of -150. What are the breakdowns for "too much" juice?

I am just trying to do what you do with the math in narrowing down/refine the plays to make them more profitable. If 6 of your 18 losses at A games were at -200, then maybe it's MORE profitable in fading all A games -200 and up.

I would love to do a spreadsheet. If I could find all the pieces.

Les