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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB: Please don't sweep me

    «First Previous 567 ... 8910 Next Last»
    yanks21x
    Thasian
    esposito10304
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    «First Previous 567 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: May. 17, 2019 - 9:24 AM ET #101

    thanks =)

    would be cool if could see how often a series gets swept by under or over, just realized PUSH actually would really hurt this chase method...

    The Diamondbacks, Astros, Twins, Phillies and Nationals have not been swept so far this season.

    Reply

    thanks =)

    would be cool if could see how often a series gets swept by under or over, just realized PUSH actually would really hurt this chase method...

    The Diamondbacks, Astros, Twins, Phillies and Nationals have not been swept so far this season.

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: May. 17, 2019 - 9:36 AM ET #102

    thanks, but I definitely don't want to have 10 open "series" but am going dodgers under... thought that was my best option

     

    "Athletics @Tigers, Pirates @Padres and Orioles @Indians would all be Under-Series.

     

    MIN @SEA, PIT @SD already hit.

     

    OAK @DET and BAL @CLE would be B-bets."

    you have any opinion or ever think about waiting for after A bet? so like if you are only doing B and C after losing A i feel like if it then did get swept, i saved money... also adds bets if a lot has cleared already

     

    Reply

    thanks, but I definitely don't want to have 10 open "series" but am going dodgers under... thought that was my best option

     

    "Athletics @Tigers, Pirates @Padres and Orioles @Indians would all be Under-Series.

     

    MIN @SEA, PIT @SD already hit.

     

    OAK @DET and BAL @CLE would be B-bets."

    you have any opinion or ever think about waiting for after A bet? so like if you are only doing B and C after losing A i feel like if it then did get swept, i saved money... also adds bets if a lot has cleared already

     

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 17, 2019 - 11:03 AM ET #103

    Never tested that, so no idea. Might be good, might be bad. Honestly: My guess would be as good as anyones.

     

    Regarding the pushs: Buying half a run in the "right" direction could increase hit rate significantly. But makes losses also more cost intense. Once again: No testing on this.

     

    Will have a look on that, but it will take a while.

    Reply

    Never tested that, so no idea. Might be good, might be bad. Honestly: My guess would be as good as anyones.

     

    Regarding the pushs: Buying half a run in the "right" direction could increase hit rate significantly. But makes losses also more cost intense. Once again: No testing on this.

     

    Will have a look on that, but it will take a while.

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 17, 2019 - 5:53 PM ET #104

    Astros @Red Sox: Cole - Porcello: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Giants: Kelly - Samardzija: 1.41 to win 1.00

    Dodgers @Reds: Hill - Desclafani: 1.42 to win 1.00

    Mets @Marlins: deGrom - Richards: 2.28 to win 1.00

    Rays @Yankees: Stanek - Sabathia: 1.04 to win 1.00

    Reply

    Astros @Red Sox: Cole - Porcello: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Giants: Kelly - Samardzija: 1.41 to win 1.00

    Dodgers @Reds: Hill - Desclafani: 1.42 to win 1.00

    Mets @Marlins: deGrom - Richards: 2.28 to win 1.00

    Rays @Yankees: Stanek - Sabathia: 1.04 to win 1.00

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 18, 2019 - 6:31 AM ET #105

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Astros @Red Sox: Cole - Porcello: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Giants: Kelly - Samardzija: 1.41 to win 1.00

    Dodgers @Reds: Hill - Desclafani: 1.42 to win 1.00

    Mets @Marlins: deGrom - Richards: 2.28 to win 1.00

    Rays @Yankees: Stanek - Sabathia: 1.04 to win 1.00

    A: 43

    B: 20 (2 running)

    C: 9

    D: 0

    Lost: 5+1

    +44.84

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Astros @Red Sox: Cole - Porcello: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Giants: Kelly - Samardzija: 1.41 to win 1.00

    Dodgers @Reds: Hill - Desclafani: 1.42 to win 1.00

    Mets @Marlins: deGrom - Richards: 2.28 to win 1.00

    Rays @Yankees: Stanek - Sabathia: 1.04 to win 1.00

    A: 43

    B: 20 (2 running)

    C: 9

    D: 0

    Lost: 5+1

    +44.84

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 18, 2019 - 6:43 AM ET #106

    For you, yanks:

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Over: MIL @ATL, STL @TEX, COL @PHI, KC @LAA

    Under: OAK @DET (B), BAL @CLE (B), LAD @CIN, NYM @MIA, TB @NYY

    Reply

    For you, yanks:

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Over: MIL @ATL, STL @TEX, COL @PHI, KC @LAA

    Under: OAK @DET (B), BAL @CLE (B), LAD @CIN, NYM @MIA, TB @NYY

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 18, 2019 - 10:26 AM ET #107

    Mets @Marlins: Matz - Lopez: 5.00 to win 4.28

    Rays @Yankees: Snell - Tanaka: 3.68 to win 3.04

    Reply

    Mets @Marlins: Matz - Lopez: 5.00 to win 4.28

    Rays @Yankees: Snell - Tanaka: 3.68 to win 3.04

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: May. 18, 2019 - 2:46 PM ET #108

    Thanks, will be interesting to see how the over underived does... 

    Reply

    Thanks, will be interesting to see how the over underived does... 

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: May. 18, 2019 - 8:30 PM ET #109

    Oh boy  like 17 plus to win 8 plus tomorrow on the mets.... this is kinda scary... could give a decent chunk back over this eh...

    Reply

    Oh boy  like 17 plus to win 8 plus tomorrow on the mets.... this is kinda scary... could give a decent chunk back over this eh...

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 19, 2019 - 3:22 AM ET #110

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Mets @Marlins: Matz - Lopez: 5.00 to win 4.28

    Rays @Yankees: Snell - Tanaka: 3.68 to win 3.04

    A: 43

    B: 21

    C: 9 (1 running)

    D: 0

    Lost: 5+1

    +42.88

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Mets @Marlins: Matz - Lopez: 5.00 to win 4.28

    Rays @Yankees: Snell - Tanaka: 3.68 to win 3.04

    A: 43

    B: 21

    C: 9 (1 running)

    D: 0

    Lost: 5+1

    +42.88

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 19, 2019 - 3:24 AM ET #111

    Mets @Marlins: Syndergaard - Alcantara: 25.18 to win 10.28

     

    Keep your fingers crossed ;)

    Reply

    Mets @Marlins: Syndergaard - Alcantara: 25.18 to win 10.28

     

    Keep your fingers crossed ;)

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: May. 19, 2019 - 2:49 PM ET #112

    Any thing for bucks game lol? Mets omg...

    Reply

    Any thing for bucks game lol? Mets omg...

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 19, 2019 - 3:21 PM ET #113

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Mets @Marlins: Syndergaard - Alcantara: 25.18 to win 10.28

    A: 43

    B: 21

    C: 9

    D: 0

    Lost: 6+1

    +17.70

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Mets @Marlins: Syndergaard - Alcantara: 25.18 to win 10.28

    A: 43

    B: 21

    C: 9

    D: 0

    Lost: 6+1

    +17.70

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: May. 19, 2019 - 8:13 PM ET #114

    Thinking 2 overs would have got swept? Just estimating off my head I think...

     

    Texas mariners.... over if 3 games, I'd assume you would call it an over swries?

     

    Mariners would game 4 to not be swept... poo I figured. Vegas dave went mariners +1.5 could have been people's whole bank roll...

     

    I don't think I'd back the mets again this year.   I think them to lose and under are very good beta though

    Reply

    Thinking 2 overs would have got swept? Just estimating off my head I think...

     

    Texas mariners.... over if 3 games, I'd assume you would call it an over swries?

     

    Mariners would game 4 to not be swept... poo I figured. Vegas dave went mariners +1.5 could have been people's whole bank roll...

     

    I don't think I'd back the mets again this year.   I think them to lose and under are very good beta though

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 9:17 AM ET #115

    Well. It was the allmighty Marlins-pitching who already at exactly one game prior with 0 opp-Runs.. but yeah, Mets sucked.

    They were a bad Team against a much worse one. I stated above that I don't like this situations, so yeah, won't probably happen again. But Marlins were much worse in my ratings.

     

    [Quote]Totals for Saturday:

    Over: STL @TEX (B), COL @PHI (B), KC @LAA (B)

    Under: OAK @DET (C?), NYM @MIA (B)[/quote]

    [Quote]Totals for Sunday:

    Over: STL @TEX (C), COL @PHI (C), KC @LAA (C?)[/quote]

     

    With average odds of -125 (lets assume some juice) would -15.7 Units approx. So, bad Weekend and I know why I don't like totals ..

    Reply

    Well. It was the allmighty Marlins-pitching who already at exactly one game prior with 0 opp-Runs.. but yeah, Mets sucked.

    They were a bad Team against a much worse one. I stated above that I don't like this situations, so yeah, won't probably happen again. But Marlins were much worse in my ratings.

     

    [Quote]Totals for Saturday:

    Over: STL @TEX (B), COL @PHI (B), KC @LAA (B)

    Under: OAK @DET (C?), NYM @MIA (B)[/quote]

    [Quote]Totals for Sunday:

    Over: STL @TEX (C), COL @PHI (C), KC @LAA (C?)[/quote]

     

    With average odds of -125 (lets assume some juice) would -15.7 Units approx. So, bad Weekend and I know why I don't like totals ..

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 9:19 AM ET #116

    Red Sox will be a Play. More to follow. 

    I'll also tweaked the total Approach a bit and will track "just on paper" here. Please be Aware, this is live-testing and I won't put money up!

    Reply

    Red Sox will be a Play. More to follow. 

    I'll also tweaked the total Approach a bit and will track "just on paper" here. Please be Aware, this is live-testing and I won't put money up!

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 9:33 AM ET #117

    Starting today:

    Astros v White Sox

    Braves @Giants

    Cubs v Phillies

    Diamondbacks @Padres

    Nationals @Mets

    Red Sox @Blue Jays

    Twins @Angels

    Yankees @Orioles

     

     

    Total live-test:

    Over: MIN @LAA, SEA @TEX

    Under: BOS @TOR, OAK @CLE

     

    I will be buying half a run at even lines. In the old system NYY @BAL and CWS @HOU would be overs too,

     

     

    Reply

    Starting today:

    Astros v White Sox

    Braves @Giants

    Cubs v Phillies

    Diamondbacks @Padres

    Nationals @Mets

    Red Sox @Blue Jays

    Twins @Angels

    Yankees @Orioles

     

     

    Total live-test:

    Over: MIN @LAA, SEA @TEX

    Under: BOS @TOR, OAK @CLE

     

    I will be buying half a run at even lines. In the old system NYY @BAL and CWS @HOU would be overs too,

     

     

     
    esposito10304
    esposito10304
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    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 9:48 AM ET #118

    Big juice incoming tonight!...your thread made me sweat yesterday even if I don't chase anymore (some custom conservative labby but I'm done with martingale).

    Good luck! clover

    Reply

    Big juice incoming tonight!...your thread made me sweat yesterday even if I don't chase anymore (some custom conservative labby but I'm done with martingale).

    Good luck! clover

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 12:28 PM ET #119

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: 2.10 to win 1.00

     

     

     

    Totals: PLEASE BE AWARE THAT NO REAL MONEY IS WAGERED

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: Under 8.5: 0.87 to win 1.00

    Reply

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: 2.10 to win 1.00

     

     

     

    Totals: PLEASE BE AWARE THAT NO REAL MONEY IS WAGERED

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: Under 8.5: 0.87 to win 1.00

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 12:29 PM ET #120

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    Big juice incoming tonight!...your thread made me sweat yesterday even if I don't chase anymore (some custom conservative labby but I'm done with martingale). Good luck!

    Thanks!

    And yeah.. I'd like larger lines too, but unfortunately I cannot change them :)

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by esposito10304:

    Big juice incoming tonight!...your thread made me sweat yesterday even if I don't chase anymore (some custom conservative labby but I'm done with martingale). Good luck!

    Thanks!

    And yeah.. I'd like larger lines too, but unfortunately I cannot change them :)

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 2616
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 3:25 PM ET #121

    Ever have any success trying to chase dogs instead lol

    Reply

    Ever have any success trying to chase dogs instead lol

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
    Prospect
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    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 207
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 4:09 PM ET #122

    Astros v White Sox (A): Peacock - Burr: 2.31 to win 1.00

    Braves @Giants (A): Soroka - Suarez: 1.35 to win 1.00

    Cubs v Phillies (A): Darvish - Arrieta: 1.14 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Padres (A): Weaver - Paddack: 0.75 to win 1.00

    Nationals @Mets (A): Corbin - Font: 1.58 to win 1.00

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: 2.10 to win 1.00

    Twins @Angels (A): Odorizzi - Cole: 0.88 to win 1.00

    Yankees @Orioles (A): Happ - Cashner: 1.75 to win 1.00

     

     

     

     

     

    Totals - PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THIS IS A LIVE TEST AND NO REAL MONEY IS WAGERED

     

    Over: 

    Mariners @Rangers (A): Leake - Minor: Over 10.5: 1.22 to win 1.00

    Twins @Angels (A): Odorizzi - Cole: Over 8.5: 1.33 to win 1.00

     

    Under: 

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: Under 8.5: 0.87 to win 1.00

    Athletics @Indians (A): Anderson - Carrasco: Under 8.5: 1.25 to win 1.00

    Reply

    Astros v White Sox (A): Peacock - Burr: 2.31 to win 1.00

    Braves @Giants (A): Soroka - Suarez: 1.35 to win 1.00

    Cubs v Phillies (A): Darvish - Arrieta: 1.14 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Padres (A): Weaver - Paddack: 0.75 to win 1.00

    Nationals @Mets (A): Corbin - Font: 1.58 to win 1.00

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: 2.10 to win 1.00

    Twins @Angels (A): Odorizzi - Cole: 0.88 to win 1.00

    Yankees @Orioles (A): Happ - Cashner: 1.75 to win 1.00

     

     

     

     

     

    Totals - PLEASE BE AWARE THAT THIS IS A LIVE TEST AND NO REAL MONEY IS WAGERED

     

    Over: 

    Mariners @Rangers (A): Leake - Minor: Over 10.5: 1.22 to win 1.00

    Twins @Angels (A): Odorizzi - Cole: Over 8.5: 1.33 to win 1.00

     

    Under: 

    Red Sox @Blue Jays (A): Price - Jackson: Under 8.5: 0.87 to win 1.00

    Athletics @Indians (A): Anderson - Carrasco: Under 8.5: 1.25 to win 1.00

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 207
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 4:11 PM ET #123

    Quote Originally Posted by yanks21x:

    Ever have any success trying to chase dogs instead lol

    Works quite okay if you pick your places in NHL and MLB. Yet, it can be a killer for the mindset. Losing three in a row with a fav is annoying. Seeing a dog play 0-7 in seven games is a killer. Even if you stop the sweep at 3, I always ask myself what the heck I saw in that team ^^

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by yanks21x:

    Ever have any success trying to chase dogs instead lol

    Works quite okay if you pick your places in NHL and MLB. Yet, it can be a killer for the mindset. Losing three in a row with a fav is annoying. Seeing a dog play 0-7 in seven games is a killer. Even if you stop the sweep at 3, I always ask myself what the heck I saw in that team ^^

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 2616
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 10:49 PM ET #124

    Tell me about it... if mets sweep nats I will quit... what a joke

    Reply

    Tell me about it... if mets sweep nats I will quit... what a joke

     
     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 2616
    Posted: May. 20, 2019 - 10:49 PM ET #125

    Texas overy ez...

    Reply

    Texas overy ez...

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