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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB: Please don't sweep me

    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
    Thasian
    yanks21x
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    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2019 - 3:31 PM ET #176

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

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    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2019 - 8:53 PM ET #177

    It's 3 am here, Saturday to Sunday and I'm still working. I have to change something..

     

    Just a quick thought: in Football I like to bet 2 great defense-teams clashing to go over the points. Taht might work in Baseball too. I donÄt know why I think about that now, was just a quick thought. The idea behind that in football is clear: both know the other defense is great an they have to be risky to get something going ALSO trusting THEIR defense to stop everything coming after a turnover. Same could be true at MLB -look at royals @rangers. Both know the other has great offensive power so the pitchers are ALERT as f..

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    It's 3 am here, Saturday to Sunday and I'm still working. I have to change something..

     

    Just a quick thought: in Football I like to bet 2 great defense-teams clashing to go over the points. Taht might work in Baseball too. I donÄt know why I think about that now, was just a quick thought. The idea behind that in football is clear: both know the other defense is great an they have to be risky to get something going ALSO trusting THEIR defense to stop everything coming after a turnover. Same could be true at MLB -look at royals @rangers. Both know the other has great offensive power so the pitchers are ALERT as f..

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 12:01 AM ET #178

    Crazy that series went under... Yankees may too pending tomorrow 

    these mets are ruining this...

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    Crazy that series went under... Yankees may too pending tomorrow 

    these mets are ruining this...

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 2:30 AM ET #179

    Dbacks with the come back.... cray

    Cubs facing sweep tomorrow  vs cardinals 

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    Dbacks with the come back.... cray

    Cubs facing sweep tomorrow  vs cardinals 

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 7:19 PM ET #180

    Astros, Twins, Philliesare the final 3 teams that have not been swept?

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    Astros, Twins, Philliesare the final 3 teams that have not been swept?

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 10:48 PM ET #181

    lets see if i can come up with same picks as you...

    dodgers, astros, phillies? but dodgers just swept them

    i guess now Astros, Twins are the only 2 teams now not to get swept...

    yanks over would have hit... poo, i guess it could kinda work if i do it right before game to make sure no pitching change...

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    lets see if i can come up with same picks as you...

    dodgers, astros, phillies? but dodgers just swept them

    i guess now Astros, Twins are the only 2 teams now not to get swept...

    yanks over would have hit... poo, i guess it could kinda work if i do it right before game to make sure no pitching change...

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2019 - 7:26 PM ET #182

    =/

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    =/

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 5:37 PM ET #183

    Sorry.

    Real life took over an I wasn't neither able to bet nor to report here.

     

    Back now, and with everything sorted out.

     

    So Today:

     

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

     

    I will update the record during the next days.

     

    Sorry for letting you wait yanks :/

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    Sorry.

    Real life took over an I wasn't neither able to bet nor to report here.

     

    Back now, and with everything sorted out.

     

    So Today:

     

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

     

    I will update the record during the next days.

     

    Sorry for letting you wait yanks :/

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 6:18 PM ET #184

    no worries, happy to see you back new_pleased

     

    dbacks, braves, cubs all overs. any thoughts?

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    no worries, happy to see you back new_pleased

     

    dbacks, braves, cubs all overs. any thoughts?

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 8:19 PM ET #185

    real life > sports betting for sure... don't let this get in the way

     

    i know dodgers are only 2 games but so tempting, especially tonight...

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    real life > sports betting for sure... don't let this get in the way

     

    i know dodgers are only 2 games but so tempting, especially tonight...

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 11:12 PM ET #186

    Kinda want to go Red Sox after I got Texas win tonight lol... I feel like pirates and Phillies should get one... especially Phillies. 

     

    Thinking to chase yankees for one tomorrow, just a double header though as it’s a two game series...

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    Kinda want to go Red Sox after I got Texas win tonight lol... I feel like pirates and Phillies should get one... especially Phillies. 

     

    Thinking to chase yankees for one tomorrow, just a double header though as it’s a two game series...

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 6:29 AM ET #187

    I won't touch the Yankees. I like them to get a least one, but yet - not in the system.

    Red Sox just missed to be a bet VERY narrow, so that might be a good call.

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    I won't touch the Yankees. I like them to get a least one, but yet - not in the system.

    Red Sox just missed to be a bet VERY narrow, so that might be a good call.

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 9:48 AM ET #188

    Twin to beat Mariners will be added.

    Could also be a over by the look of it.

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    Twin to beat Mariners will be added.

    Could also be a over by the look of it.

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 5:21 PM ET #189

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

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    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 11:41 PM ET #190

     Nice late come back for twins and to put game total over...

    cubs sucked ehh, thought to it would be the winner

    yanks won game one...

    i couldn’t bet today, website was down :(

    i was quite happy with Monday results so thought I wouldn’t care but 3-1 I missed out on. Bothers me as I lost on Dodgers... 

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     Nice late come back for twins and to put game total over...

    cubs sucked ehh, thought to it would be the winner

    yanks won game one...

    i couldn’t bet today, website was down :(

    i was quite happy with Monday results so thought I wouldn’t care but 3-1 I missed out on. Bothers me as I lost on Dodgers... 

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 2:10 AM ET #191

    May 29

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks v Mets: 7.45 to win 6.50

     

    May 30

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks @Rockies (D): Clarke - Freeland: 11.74 to win 14.95

    Brewers @Pirates: Anderson - Musgrove: 1.24 to win 1.00

    Indians @White Sox: Carrasco - Banuelos: 1.76 to win 1.00

     

    May 31

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians @White Sox (B): Bauer - Covey: 6.39 to win 3.76

    Astros @Athletics: Peacock - Fiers: 1.26 to win 1.00

    Braves v Tigers: Foltynewicz - Turnbull: 1.82 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Mets: Duplantier - Wheeler: 0.94 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Phillies: Maeda - Arrieta: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Padres v Marlins: Lucchesi - Smith: 1.60 to win 1.00

    Rockies v Blue Jays: Marquez - Jackson: 2.63 to win 1.00

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    May 29

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks v Mets: 7.45 to win 6.50

     

    May 30

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks @Rockies (D): Clarke - Freeland: 11.74 to win 14.95

    Brewers @Pirates: Anderson - Musgrove: 1.24 to win 1.00

    Indians @White Sox: Carrasco - Banuelos: 1.76 to win 1.00

     

    May 31

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians @White Sox (B): Bauer - Covey: 6.39 to win 3.76

    Astros @Athletics: Peacock - Fiers: 1.26 to win 1.00

    Braves v Tigers: Foltynewicz - Turnbull: 1.82 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Mets: Duplantier - Wheeler: 0.94 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Phillies: Maeda - Arrieta: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Padres v Marlins: Lucchesi - Smith: 1.60 to win 1.00

    Rockies v Blue Jays: Marquez - Jackson: 2.63 to win 1.00

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 2:14 AM ET #192

    June 1

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

     

    June 10

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

    June 11

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

     

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    June 1

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

     

    June 10

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

    June 11

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

     

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 2:20 AM ET #193

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 11 (1 running)

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -10.01

     

    Still can't believe the D-bets.. I must be a god in hittign that 16.7% of series to get swept new_laugh_cry

     

    By the way: 73-46 in A-Bets, 61% could be worth a look, but I would have to check with the average odds to see if something works out here.

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    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 11 (1 running)

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -10.01

     

    Still can't believe the D-bets.. I must be a god in hittign that 16.7% of series to get swept new_laugh_cry

     

    By the way: 73-46 in A-Bets, 61% could be worth a look, but I would have to check with the average odds to see if something works out here.

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 12:23 PM ET #194

    Any thoughts then on just chasing game one and two? 

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    Any thoughts then on just chasing game one and two? 

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 1:56 PM ET #195

    Well.. Thought about it, but didn't check back with the odds yet.

    At -200 "standard odds" I would lose REALLY bad - with -75 Units at the moment.

    At -125 I'd end up at +18.75 so far. At - 110 I'd even be up +34.92.

     

    Breakeven this year would be -141.45 . out of my tummy I would say that I'm way above that on average.

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    Well.. Thought about it, but didn't check back with the odds yet.

    At -200 "standard odds" I would lose REALLY bad - with -75 Units at the moment.

    At -125 I'd end up at +18.75 so far. At - 110 I'd even be up +34.92.

     

    Breakeven this year would be -141.45 . out of my tummy I would say that I'm way above that on average.

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 3:18 PM ET #196

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

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    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 12:26 AM ET #197

    Lord help me I bet WNBA and lost lol I’m mad

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    Lord help me I bet WNBA and lost lol I’m mad

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 8:47 AM ET #198

    rockies padres a under series?

    mets cardinals a under series? line for game 1 so low though which i hate low lines, one error and it can be over... ill see what happens game one

    glad the cubs won...

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    rockies padres a under series?

    mets cardinals a under series? line for game 1 so low though which i hate low lines, one error and it can be over... ill see what happens game one

    glad the cubs won...

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 5:15 PM ET #199

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

     

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 12 

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -2.51

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    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

     

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 12 

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -2.51

     
     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 5:36 PM ET #200

    I have the Cardinals @Mets as a very open series, with a very slight advantage for St. Louis. Definitely no bet for me. Total is the same: a very very very small under-leaning, but no bet at all.

    For the Padres @Rockies: I would like to chase a Unter Teamtotal for the Pads. That might work. Yet, Colorados Offense is better than the pitching and a total "under" is no option for me.

     

    Todays A-Bets:

    Diamondbacks @Nationals: Greinke - Fedde: 1.13 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Cubs: Kershaw - Lester: 1.69 to win 1.00

    Rays v Angels: Yarbrough - Skaggs: 1.40 to win 1.00

    Yankees @White Sox: Happ - Nova: 1.67 to win 1.00

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    I have the Cardinals @Mets as a very open series, with a very slight advantage for St. Louis. Definitely no bet for me. Total is the same: a very very very small under-leaning, but no bet at all.

    For the Padres @Rockies: I would like to chase a Unter Teamtotal for the Pads. That might work. Yet, Colorados Offense is better than the pitching and a total "under" is no option for me.

     

    Todays A-Bets:

    Diamondbacks @Nationals: Greinke - Fedde: 1.13 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Cubs: Kershaw - Lester: 1.69 to win 1.00

    Rays v Angels: Yarbrough - Skaggs: 1.40 to win 1.00

    Yankees @White Sox: Happ - Nova: 1.67 to win 1.00

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