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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    MLB: Please don't sweep me

    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
    Thasian
    yanks21x
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    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2019 - 3:31 PM ET #176

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

    Reply

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 1, 2019 - 8:53 PM ET #177

    It's 3 am here, Saturday to Sunday and I'm still working. I have to change something..

     

    Just a quick thought: in Football I like to bet 2 great defense-teams clashing to go over the points. Taht might work in Baseball too. I donÄt know why I think about that now, was just a quick thought. The idea behind that in football is clear: both know the other defense is great an they have to be risky to get something going ALSO trusting THEIR defense to stop everything coming after a turnover. Same could be true at MLB -look at royals @rangers. Both know the other has great offensive power so the pitchers are ALERT as f..

    Reply

    It's 3 am here, Saturday to Sunday and I'm still working. I have to change something..

     

    Just a quick thought: in Football I like to bet 2 great defense-teams clashing to go over the points. Taht might work in Baseball too. I donÄt know why I think about that now, was just a quick thought. The idea behind that in football is clear: both know the other defense is great an they have to be risky to get something going ALSO trusting THEIR defense to stop everything coming after a turnover. Same could be true at MLB -look at royals @rangers. Both know the other has great offensive power so the pitchers are ALERT as f..

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 12:01 AM ET #178

    Crazy that series went under... Yankees may too pending tomorrow 

    these mets are ruining this...

    Reply

    Crazy that series went under... Yankees may too pending tomorrow 

    these mets are ruining this...

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 2:30 AM ET #179

    Dbacks with the come back.... cray

    Cubs facing sweep tomorrow  vs cardinals 

    Reply

    Dbacks with the come back.... cray

    Cubs facing sweep tomorrow  vs cardinals 

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 7:19 PM ET #180

    Astros, Twins, Philliesare the final 3 teams that have not been swept?

    Reply

    Astros, Twins, Philliesare the final 3 teams that have not been swept?

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 2, 2019 - 10:48 PM ET #181

    lets see if i can come up with same picks as you...

    dodgers, astros, phillies? but dodgers just swept them

    i guess now Astros, Twins are the only 2 teams now not to get swept...

    yanks over would have hit... poo, i guess it could kinda work if i do it right before game to make sure no pitching change...

    Reply

    lets see if i can come up with same picks as you...

    dodgers, astros, phillies? but dodgers just swept them

    i guess now Astros, Twins are the only 2 teams now not to get swept...

    yanks over would have hit... poo, i guess it could kinda work if i do it right before game to make sure no pitching change...

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 4, 2019 - 7:26 PM ET #182

    =/

    Reply

    =/

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 5:37 PM ET #183

    Sorry.

    Real life took over an I wasn't neither able to bet nor to report here.

     

    Back now, and with everything sorted out.

     

    So Today:

     

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

     

    I will update the record during the next days.

     

    Sorry for letting you wait yanks :/

    Reply

    Sorry.

    Real life took over an I wasn't neither able to bet nor to report here.

     

    Back now, and with everything sorted out.

     

    So Today:

     

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

     

    I will update the record during the next days.

     

    Sorry for letting you wait yanks :/

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 6:18 PM ET #184

    no worries, happy to see you back new_pleased

     

    dbacks, braves, cubs all overs. any thoughts?

    Reply

    no worries, happy to see you back new_pleased

     

    dbacks, braves, cubs all overs. any thoughts?

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 8:19 PM ET #185

    real life > sports betting for sure... don't let this get in the way

     

    i know dodgers are only 2 games but so tempting, especially tonight...

    Reply

    real life > sports betting for sure... don't let this get in the way

     

    i know dodgers are only 2 games but so tempting, especially tonight...

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2019 - 11:12 PM ET #186

    Kinda want to go Red Sox after I got Texas win tonight lol... I feel like pirates and Phillies should get one... especially Phillies. 

     

    Thinking to chase yankees for one tomorrow, just a double header though as it’s a two game series...

    Reply

    Kinda want to go Red Sox after I got Texas win tonight lol... I feel like pirates and Phillies should get one... especially Phillies. 

     

    Thinking to chase yankees for one tomorrow, just a double header though as it’s a two game series...

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 6:29 AM ET #187

    I won't touch the Yankees. I like them to get a least one, but yet - not in the system.

    Red Sox just missed to be a bet VERY narrow, so that might be a good call.

    Reply

    I won't touch the Yankees. I like them to get a least one, but yet - not in the system.

    Red Sox just missed to be a bet VERY narrow, so that might be a good call.

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 9:48 AM ET #188

    Twin to beat Mariners will be added.

    Could also be a over by the look of it.

    Reply

    Twin to beat Mariners will be added.

    Could also be a over by the look of it.

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 5:21 PM ET #189

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

    Reply

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

     
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 11, 2019 - 11:41 PM ET #190

     Nice late come back for twins and to put game total over...

    cubs sucked ehh, thought to it would be the winner

    yanks won game one...

    i couldn’t bet today, website was down :(

    i was quite happy with Monday results so thought I wouldn’t care but 3-1 I missed out on. Bothers me as I lost on Dodgers... 

    Reply

     Nice late come back for twins and to put game total over...

    cubs sucked ehh, thought to it would be the winner

    yanks won game one...

    i couldn’t bet today, website was down :(

    i was quite happy with Monday results so thought I wouldn’t care but 3-1 I missed out on. Bothers me as I lost on Dodgers... 

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 2:10 AM ET #191

    May 29

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks v Mets: 7.45 to win 6.50

     

    May 30

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks @Rockies (D): Clarke - Freeland: 11.74 to win 14.95

    Brewers @Pirates: Anderson - Musgrove: 1.24 to win 1.00

    Indians @White Sox: Carrasco - Banuelos: 1.76 to win 1.00

     

    May 31

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians @White Sox (B): Bauer - Covey: 6.39 to win 3.76

    Astros @Athletics: Peacock - Fiers: 1.26 to win 1.00

    Braves v Tigers: Foltynewicz - Turnbull: 1.82 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Mets: Duplantier - Wheeler: 0.94 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Phillies: Maeda - Arrieta: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Padres v Marlins: Lucchesi - Smith: 1.60 to win 1.00

    Rockies v Blue Jays: Marquez - Jackson: 2.63 to win 1.00

    Reply

    May 29

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks v Mets: 7.45 to win 6.50

     

    May 30

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Diamondbacks @Rockies (D): Clarke - Freeland: 11.74 to win 14.95

    Brewers @Pirates: Anderson - Musgrove: 1.24 to win 1.00

    Indians @White Sox: Carrasco - Banuelos: 1.76 to win 1.00

     

    May 31

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians @White Sox (B): Bauer - Covey: 6.39 to win 3.76

    Astros @Athletics: Peacock - Fiers: 1.26 to win 1.00

    Braves v Tigers: Foltynewicz - Turnbull: 1.82 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks v Mets: Duplantier - Wheeler: 0.94 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Phillies: Maeda - Arrieta: 1.44 to win 1.00

    Padres v Marlins: Lucchesi - Smith: 1.60 to win 1.00

    Rockies v Blue Jays: Marquez - Jackson: 2.63 to win 1.00

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 2:14 AM ET #192

    June 1

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

     

    June 10

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

    June 11

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

     

    Reply

    June 1

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Indians: 13.20

    Dbacks: 3.32

    Braves: 9.94

     

    June 10

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Braves v Pirates: Gausman - Musgrove: 1.37 to win 1.00

    Cardinals @Marlins: Wacha - Alcantara: 1.29 to win 1.00

    Cubs @Rockies: Darvish - Marquez: 0.86 to win 1.00

    Diamondbacks @Phillies: Clarke - Eickhoff: 0.83 to win 1.00

    Rays v Athletics: Morton - Anders: 2.19 to win 1.00

     

    June 11

     

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (B): Quintana - Lambert: 3.64 to win 2.86

    Twins v Mariners (A): Perez - Leake: 1.96 to win 1.00

     

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 2:20 AM ET #193

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 11 (1 running)

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -10.01

     

    Still can't believe the D-bets.. I must be a god in hittign that 16.7% of series to get swept new_laugh_cry

     

    By the way: 73-46 in A-Bets, 61% could be worth a look, but I would have to check with the average odds to see if something works out here.

    Reply

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 11 (1 running)

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -10.01

     

    Still can't believe the D-bets.. I must be a god in hittign that 16.7% of series to get swept new_laugh_cry

     

    By the way: 73-46 in A-Bets, 61% could be worth a look, but I would have to check with the average odds to see if something works out here.

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 12:23 PM ET #194

    Any thoughts then on just chasing game one and two? 

    Reply

    Any thoughts then on just chasing game one and two? 

     
    Thasian
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 1:56 PM ET #195

    Well.. Thought about it, but didn't check back with the odds yet.

    At -200 "standard odds" I would lose REALLY bad - with -75 Units at the moment.

    At -125 I'd end up at +18.75 so far. At - 110 I'd even be up +34.92.

     

    Breakeven this year would be -141.45 . out of my tummy I would say that I'm way above that on average.

    Reply

    Well.. Thought about it, but didn't check back with the odds yet.

    At -200 "standard odds" I would lose REALLY bad - with -75 Units at the moment.

    At -125 I'd end up at +18.75 so far. At - 110 I'd even be up +34.92.

     

    Breakeven this year would be -141.45 . out of my tummy I would say that I'm way above that on average.

     
    Thasian
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    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 207
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2019 - 3:18 PM ET #196

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

    Reply

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
    Veteran
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    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 2616
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 12:26 AM ET #197

    Lord help me I bet WNBA and lost lol I’m mad

    Reply

    Lord help me I bet WNBA and lost lol I’m mad

     
    yanks21x
    yanks21x
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    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 2616
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 8:47 AM ET #198

    rockies padres a under series?

    mets cardinals a under series? line for game 1 so low though which i hate low lines, one error and it can be over... ill see what happens game one

    glad the cubs won...

    Reply

    rockies padres a under series?

    mets cardinals a under series? line for game 1 so low though which i hate low lines, one error and it can be over... ill see what happens game one

    glad the cubs won...

     
    Thasian
    Thasian
    Prospect
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    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 207
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 5:15 PM ET #199

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

     

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 12 

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -2.51

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

    Cubs @Rockies (C): Hamels - Senzatela:  8.70 to win 7.50

     

    A: 73

    B: 26

    C: 12 

    D: 0

    Lost: 9+1 

     

    -2.51

     
     
    Thasian
    Thasian
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2012
    Posts: 207
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2019 - 5:36 PM ET #200

    I have the Cardinals @Mets as a very open series, with a very slight advantage for St. Louis. Definitely no bet for me. Total is the same: a very very very small under-leaning, but no bet at all.

    For the Padres @Rockies: I would like to chase a Unter Teamtotal for the Pads. That might work. Yet, Colorados Offense is better than the pitching and a total "under" is no option for me.

     

    Todays A-Bets:

    Diamondbacks @Nationals: Greinke - Fedde: 1.13 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Cubs: Kershaw - Lester: 1.69 to win 1.00

    Rays v Angels: Yarbrough - Skaggs: 1.40 to win 1.00

    Yankees @White Sox: Happ - Nova: 1.67 to win 1.00

    Reply

    I have the Cardinals @Mets as a very open series, with a very slight advantage for St. Louis. Definitely no bet for me. Total is the same: a very very very small under-leaning, but no bet at all.

    For the Padres @Rockies: I would like to chase a Unter Teamtotal for the Pads. That might work. Yet, Colorados Offense is better than the pitching and a total "under" is no option for me.

     

    Todays A-Bets:

    Diamondbacks @Nationals: Greinke - Fedde: 1.13 to win 1.00

    Dodgers v Cubs: Kershaw - Lester: 1.69 to win 1.00

    Rays v Angels: Yarbrough - Skaggs: 1.40 to win 1.00

    Yankees @White Sox: Happ - Nova: 1.67 to win 1.00

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