Let's Find a New NFL System

know its time for monday night....

in sunday night win favorite ,play dog on monday

in sunday night win dog,play favorite on monday

in sunday over ,play under in monday

in sunday under ,play over in monday ...........and now the number ????

I have one that may not show anything of value but I am curious

dogs of 4, 4.5, or 5 pts .

Thanks in advance

can you run the history of the modified JM system? I was told it has not lose the last two years, but I am interested in a longer history then that.

Bet on teams over .500 after losing two games in a row both straight up and against the spread. Bet that they will cover once out of the next 3 games, A B and C bets.

thanks

1. Teams with a winning record coming off a SU 7+ points loss at home as a Fav going into a road game the following week as a dog. Picking them ATS/SU ?

2. Teams coming off two home wins with 10+ points going into a road game as a 0-5 points favorite picking them ATS ?

79-76-4

2 would be 7-4

I'll get to the others when I have a bit more time.

I wonder if there could be a trend with the team losing the previous week by the largest margin covering the next week.

And if we could dissect that further and see if the said team is a larger dog...or smaller dog...or small fav etc...what the trends would be.

Even further...if the said team was on the road or home the previous week...if they were favs or dogs when they got slaughtered.

????

Nothing notable. A 56% play.

A, B, C, L

04: 4-1-1-2
05: 3-1-1-0
06: 5-3-3-0
07: 1-2-1-0
08: 2-2-1-1
09: 4-3-1-0

Total:
A= 19 (of 42)
B= 12 (of 23)
C= 8 (of 11)
L = 3

39-3*7 = +18 units without juice.

This doesn't count teams that have a bye week anywhere in the five week span.

System 1 doesn't work.

 NFL head coaches coming off a bye.........minimum 4 years.

This is a fairly good system. Good ROI, even with a martingale.

If you wanted to drop the .500 condition, you would need a Labby to make it profitable (there would be about 81 plays a year, and you would be, on average: 40-41. Played with a $10*10 Labby, you would clear 4 lines..but it wouldnt be pretty)

 hey jokeheads can u test this 1 out im curious if they have anything to do with each other cause i heard about this b4.... thanks in advance

Current head coaches that is.........me thinks some have pretty good records,IE Bill Belichick,Andy Reid.TIA,have a great day!

Joke what about teams coming off a game in which they covered by 20 or more pts.

fade any DOG that loses in OT and covers  the next game vs a healthy  team

or if dog was winning huge and winds up losing by 1 point  exactly

 

they also are bad bets next week 

 

also if a DD dog was winning whole game  and winds up losing by 3 points or less they also are fade material  next week 

i think it's very high %  in these situations like 98% 

 

Hey... good work so far.  I would like to know some stats if you don't mind:

Back to Back road games ATS % ( so 2nd week in a row on the road you would be 67-39-3 ATS) or whatever

After prime time win? (let down spot)

After division win?

A home underdog after upset win SU last week

ATS after overtime lose?

I know it seems like a lot but if you have time or are able/want to look at these I would love to see what you have.  Thanks in advance

Something else caught my mind:

Theres that trend working with the rested team off a bye thats under .111%

Try a favorite whos undefeated going into a bye week... im willing to bet they do not cover that often after their bye due the their lose of momentum. 

Thanks in advance.

I'll give you this golden nugget

Over the last 10 years (not including this year)

HomeFave 58-54 -140
HomeDog 22-30-1 -1100
RoadFave 43-12-1 +2980
RoadDog 38-46 -1260

Chicago and New York Giants this sunday

really???

 

Throw Year/Weeks in there and I'll check it out myself.

I got one.  If a team has a streak of atleast 3 wins ats and su or atleast 3 losses su and ats going into a bye week bet for the streak to end after the bye week.  Its 2-0 this year and We have a play on Denver this weekend

3 wins are 7-6 ATS after a bye.

3 losses are 11-4 ATS after a bye.
...7-1 is a dog
...4-3 if a fav
...4-0 if away
...7-4 if home.

Nice find.

Please check the following numbers  fav of 9.5 and 5.5 away/home and dogs +2.5.

Thanks