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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Key Parlays (continued)

    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
    rickbrown86
    NEO - THE ONE
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    «First Previous 345 ... 567 Next Last»
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2006 - 3:08 AM ET #51

    Only one game Thursday -- so nothing to key. No Play
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    Only one game Thursday -- so nothing to key. No Play
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2006 - 4:02 PM ET #52

    11/24 Day 46 (level 1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Dallas 100/85 [B] Edmonton 100/84 [C] Minnesota 100/93
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    11/24 Day 46 (level 1) $100 Key is Detroit with: [A] Dallas 100/85 [B] Edmonton 100/84 [C] Minnesota 100/93
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 25, 2006 - 1:32 AM ET #53

    Fwd: +2620 Day 46 Key Lost (ABC all won) Day -300 After 46 days +2320 level now (2) $200
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    Fwd: +2620 Day 46 Key Lost (ABC all won) Day -300 After 46 days +2320 level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 25, 2006 - 1:51 PM ET #54

    Fwd +2320 11/25 Day 47 level (2) $200 Key is Atlanta with: [A] Montreal 200/226 [B] San Jose 200/233 [C] Calgary 200/245 really thought MIN would be key here and not even in 1st 4 favorites.
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    Fwd +2320 11/25 Day 47 level (2) $200 Key is Atlanta with: [A] Montreal 200/226 [B] San Jose 200/233 [C] Calgary 200/245 really thought MIN would be key here and not even in 1st 4 favorites.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 26, 2006 - 1:50 AM ET #55

    Fwd: +2320 Day 47 Key Won (with B) Day <167> After 47 days +2153 level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: +2320 Day 47 Key Won (with B) Day <167> After 47 days +2153 level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 26, 2006 - 2:47 AM ET #56

    Inside the numbers: Key is 35/12 @ 74.47% (A) is 32/15 @ 68.09% (B) is 30/16 @ 65.22% (C) is 24/16 @ 60.00% Key Parlays are: Key/A 22/25 @ 46.81% + 634 Key/B 21/25 @ 45.65% +1304 Key/C 17/23 @ 42.50% + 215 This has no history for me, and I should go back to last year to determine where the win percentages for each "belongs" -- these percentages seem high to me right now, but still think it will grind a profit.
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    Inside the numbers: Key is 35/12 @ 74.47% (A) is 32/15 @ 68.09% (B) is 30/16 @ 65.22% (C) is 24/16 @ 60.00% Key Parlays are: Key/A 22/25 @ 46.81% + 634 Key/B 21/25 @ 45.65% +1304 Key/C 17/23 @ 42.50% + 215 This has no history for me, and I should go back to last year to determine where the win percentages for each "belongs" -- these percentages seem high to me right now, but still think it will grind a profit.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 26, 2006 - 1:43 PM ET #57

    Fwd +2153 11/25 Day 48 level (1) $100 Key is Anaheim with: [A] Ottawa 100/171 [B] Buffalo 100/194 [C] short card—no game
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    Fwd +2153 11/25 Day 48 level (1) $100 Key is Anaheim with: [A] Ottawa 100/171 [B] Buffalo 100/194 [C] short card—no game
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 27, 2006 - 1:23 AM ET #58

    Fwd: +2153 Day 48 Key Won (with B) Day +94 After 48 days +2247 level now (1) 100
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    Fwd: +2153 Day 48 Key Won (with B) Day +94 After 48 days +2247 level now (1) 100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 27, 2006 - 9:47 AM ET #59

    Fwd +2247 11/27 Day 49 level (1) $100 Key is New Jersey with: [A] Detroit 100/ [B] short card—no game [C] short card—no game
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    Fwd +2247 11/27 Day 49 level (1) $100 Key is New Jersey with: [A] Detroit 100/ [B] short card—no game [C] short card—no game
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 27, 2006 - 7:52 PM ET #60

    Fwd +2247 11/27 Day 49 level (1) $100 Key is New Jersey with: [A] Detroit 100/187 [B] short card—no game [C] short card—no game
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    Fwd +2247 11/27 Day 49 level (1) $100 Key is New Jersey with: [A] Detroit 100/187 [B] short card—no game [C] short card—no game
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2006 - 2:00 AM ET #61

    Fwd: +2247 Day 49 Key Lost Day <100> After 49 days +2147 level now (2) 200
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    Fwd: +2247 Day 49 Key Lost Day <100> After 49 days +2147 level now (2) 200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2006 - 2:05 AM ET #62

    Fwd +2147 11/28 Day 50 level (2) $200 Key is Montreal with: [A] Tampa Bay 200/ [B] Vancouver 200/ [C] San Jose 200/ Parlay prices not up yet
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    Fwd +2147 11/28 Day 50 level (2) $200 Key is Montreal with: [A] Tampa Bay 200/ [B] Vancouver 200/ [C] San Jose 200/ Parlay prices not up yet
     
    NEO - THE ONE
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2006 - 4:04 AM ET #63

    ||reallyhappy.gif' border=0>
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    ||reallyhappy.gif' border=0>
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 12:36 AM ET #64

    Fwd +2147 11/28 Day 50 level (2) $200 Key is Montreal with: [A] Tampa Bay 200/235 [B] Vancouver 200/231 [C] San Jose 200/235 Fwd: +2147 Day 50 Key Won (with B & C) Day +266 After 50 days 2413 level now (1) 100
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    Fwd +2147 11/28 Day 50 level (2) $200 Key is Montreal with: [A] Tampa Bay 200/235 [B] Vancouver 200/231 [C] San Jose 200/235 Fwd: +2147 Day 50 Key Won (with B & C) Day +266 After 50 days 2413 level now (1) 100
     
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 11:02 AM ET #65

    rickbrown86, Not really a big hockey guy but looks like you have something pretty interesting here. I might jump on your banwagon here and try and make some money. Keep up the great work and keep on posting. Tuck
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    rickbrown86, Not really a big hockey guy but looks like you have something pretty interesting here. I might jump on your banwagon here and try and make some money. Keep up the great work and keep on posting. Tuck
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 2:09 PM ET #66

    Tuck -- Thanks... Don't know how this will end up, but so far not looking bad. Check the 1st thread and you will see it struggled in 1st couple weeks of season. Thinking it may be better to wait until linesmakers get a feel for teams. Funny -- in this -- they are our allies LOL.
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    Tuck -- Thanks... Don't know how this will end up, but so far not looking bad. Check the 1st thread and you will see it struggled in 1st couple weeks of season. Thinking it may be better to wait until linesmakers get a feel for teams. Funny -- in this -- they are our allies LOL.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 2:16 PM ET #67

    After 50 days tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: [All based only on opening lines--Key higest juice, A next then B & C] Key team -- 37W / 13L = 74% (A) team -- 34W / 16L = 68% (B) team -- 32W / 16L = 66.67% (C) team -- 25W / 16L = 60.98% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 22W/28L= 44% +$244 (B) team -- 23W/25L= 47.92% +$1729 (C) team -- 18W/23L= 43.90% +$450 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --63W/76L= 45.32% +2423
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    After 50 days tracking this at level (1) = $100 the results so far are: [All based only on opening lines--Key higest juice, A next then B & C] Key team -- 37W / 13L = 74% (A) team -- 34W / 16L = 68% (B) team -- 32W / 16L = 66.67% (C) team -- 25W / 16L = 60.98% In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 22W/28L= 44% +$244 (B) team -- 23W/25L= 47.92% +$1729 (C) team -- 18W/23L= 43.90% +$450 ---------------------------------- Total Keys --63W/76L= 45.32% +2423
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 2:17 PM ET #68

    Fwd +2413 11/29 Day 51 level (1) $100 Key is Dallas with: [A] Nashville 100/153 [B] San Jose 100/208 [C] short card—no game
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    Fwd +2413 11/29 Day 51 level (1) $100 Key is Dallas with: [A] Nashville 100/153 [B] San Jose 100/208 [C] short card—no game
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 3:09 PM ET #69

    In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 22W/28L= 44% +$244 this should be +234 (typo) total is +2413 not +2423
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    In Parlays, Key with: (A) team -- 22W/28L= 44% +$244 this should be +234 (typo) total is +2413 not +2423
     
    fran12
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 5:59 PM ET #70

    you are doing great so far but why not use an if bet wager for this system i know the payoff is smaller but if your key team must win for the bet to have any chance to make any money why parleys that all lose if key loses betting an if bet makes no further bet than your base bet saving you on bad night
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    you are doing great so far but why not use an if bet wager for this system i know the payoff is smaller but if your key team must win for the bet to have any chance to make any money why parleys that all lose if key loses betting an if bet makes no further bet than your base bet saving you on bad night
     
    fran12
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 6:06 PM ET #71

    the money saved by if betting would have worked better early on when key bet was losing a lot and you would not have to increase base bet as often the big flaw in this system is when key goeson losing streak this way it makes that less likely maybe in ths system increases come only after 2 key losers instead of one
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    the money saved by if betting would have worked better early on when key bet was losing a lot and you would not have to increase base bet as often the big flaw in this system is when key goeson losing streak this way it makes that less likely maybe in ths system increases come only after 2 key losers instead of one
     
    Tuck Money
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2006 - 11:12 PM ET #72

    Fran 12, Wouldn't a "if bet" only work if the key game was one of the first games of the night. What happens if the key game isn't until 10 but the other two are at 7? Not bashing just asking, it sounds interesting and sounds like a good idea if the games could work out perfectly for the night. Tuck
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    Fran 12, Wouldn't a "if bet" only work if the key game was one of the first games of the night. What happens if the key game isn't until 10 but the other two are at 7? Not bashing just asking, it sounds interesting and sounds like a good idea if the games could work out perfectly for the night. Tuck
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2006 - 12:24 AM ET #73

    Fwd: +2413 Day 51 Key Lost Day <200> After 51 days +2213 level now (2) $200
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    Fwd: +2413 Day 51 Key Lost Day <200> After 51 days +2213 level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2006 - 12:32 AM ET #74

    Well -- it was a nice 1st day for Denis Savard at least.
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    Well -- it was a nice 1st day for Denis Savard at least.
     
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2006 - 1:05 AM ET #75

    Fwd +2213 11/30 Day 52 level (2) $200 Key is Ottawa with: [A] NY Islanders 200/ [B] Edmonton 200/ [C] Nashville 200/ Parlays not up yet – prices later
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    Fwd +2213 11/30 Day 52 level (2) $200 Key is Ottawa with: [A] NY Islanders 200/ [B] Edmonton 200/ [C] Nashville 200/ Parlays not up yet – prices later
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