Fwd +2320
11/25 Day 47 level (2) $200Key is Atlanta with:
[A] Montreal 200/226
[B] San Jose 200/233
[C] Calgary 200/245
really thought MIN would be key here and not even in 1st 4 favorites.
0
Fwd +2320
11/25 Day 47 level (2) $200Key is Atlanta with:
[A] Montreal 200/226
[B] San Jose 200/233
[C] Calgary 200/245
really thought MIN would be key here and not even in 1st 4 favorites.
Inside the numbers:
Key is 35/12 @ 74.47%
(A) is 32/15 @ 68.09%
(B) is 30/16 @ 65.22%
(C) is 24/16 @ 60.00%
Key Parlays are:
Key/A 22/25 @ 46.81% + 634
Key/B 21/25 @ 45.65% +1304
Key/C 17/23 @ 42.50% + 215
This has no history for me, and I should go back to last year to determine where the win percentages for each "belongs" -- these percentages seem high to me right now, but still think it will grind a profit.
0
Inside the numbers:
Key is 35/12 @ 74.47%
(A) is 32/15 @ 68.09%
(B) is 30/16 @ 65.22%
(C) is 24/16 @ 60.00%
Key Parlays are:
Key/A 22/25 @ 46.81% + 634
Key/B 21/25 @ 45.65% +1304
Key/C 17/23 @ 42.50% + 215
This has no history for me, and I should go back to last year to determine where the win percentages for each "belongs" -- these percentages seem high to me right now, but still think it will grind a profit.
Fwd +2147
11/28 Day 50 level (2) $200
Key is Montreal with:
[A] Tampa Bay 200/235
[B] Vancouver 200/231
[C] San Jose 200/235
Fwd: +2147
Day 50
Key Won (with B & C)
Day +266
After 50 days 2413
level now (1) 100
0
Fwd +2147
11/28 Day 50 level (2) $200
Key is Montreal with:
[A] Tampa Bay 200/235
[B] Vancouver 200/231
[C] San Jose 200/235
Fwd: +2147
Day 50
Key Won (with B & C)
Day +266
After 50 days 2413
level now (1) 100
rickbrown86,
Not really a big hockey guy but looks like you have something pretty interesting here. I might jump on your banwagon here and try and make some money.
Keep up the great work and keep on posting.
Tuck
0
rickbrown86,
Not really a big hockey guy but looks like you have something pretty interesting here. I might jump on your banwagon here and try and make some money.
Keep up the great work and keep on posting.
Tuck
Tuck -- Thanks... Don't know how this will end up, but so far not looking bad. Check the 1st thread and you will see it struggled in 1st couple weeks of season. Thinking it may be better to wait until linesmakers get a feel for teams. Funny -- in this -- they are our allies LOL.
0
Tuck -- Thanks... Don't know how this will end up, but so far not looking bad. Check the 1st thread and you will see it struggled in 1st couple weeks of season. Thinking it may be better to wait until linesmakers get a feel for teams. Funny -- in this -- they are our allies LOL.
After 50 days tracking this at level (1) = $100
the results so far are:
[All based only on opening lines--Key higest juice, A next then B & C]
Key team -- 37W / 13L = 74%
(A) team -- 34W / 16L = 68%
(B) team -- 32W / 16L = 66.67%
(C) team -- 25W / 16L = 60.98%
In Parlays, Key with:
(A) team -- 22W/28L= 44% +$244
(B) team -- 23W/25L= 47.92% +$1729
(C) team -- 18W/23L= 43.90% +$450
----------------------------------
Total Keys --63W/76L= 45.32% +2423
0
After 50 days tracking this at level (1) = $100
the results so far are:
[All based only on opening lines--Key higest juice, A next then B & C]
Key team -- 37W / 13L = 74%
(A) team -- 34W / 16L = 68%
(B) team -- 32W / 16L = 66.67%
(C) team -- 25W / 16L = 60.98%
In Parlays, Key with:
(A) team -- 22W/28L= 44% +$244
(B) team -- 23W/25L= 47.92% +$1729
(C) team -- 18W/23L= 43.90% +$450
----------------------------------
Total Keys --63W/76L= 45.32% +2423
you are doing great so far but why not use an if bet wager for this system i know the payoff is smaller but if your key team must win for the bet to have any chance to make any money why parleys that all lose if key loses betting an if bet makes no further bet than your base bet saving you on bad night
0
you are doing great so far but why not use an if bet wager for this system i know the payoff is smaller but if your key team must win for the bet to have any chance to make any money why parleys that all lose if key loses betting an if bet makes no further bet than your base bet saving you on bad night
the money saved by if betting would have worked better early on when key bet was losing a lot and you would not have to increase base bet as often the big flaw in this system is when key goeson losing streak this way it makes that less likely maybe in ths system increases come only after 2 key losers instead of one
0
the money saved by if betting would have worked better early on when key bet was losing a lot and you would not have to increase base bet as often the big flaw in this system is when key goeson losing streak this way it makes that less likely maybe in ths system increases come only after 2 key losers instead of one
Fran 12,
Wouldn't a "if bet" only work if the key game was one of the first games of the night. What happens if the key game isn't until 10 but the other two are at 7?
Not bashing just asking, it sounds interesting and sounds like a good idea if the games could work out perfectly for the night.
Tuck
0
Fran 12,
Wouldn't a "if bet" only work if the key game was one of the first games of the night. What happens if the key game isn't until 10 but the other two are at 7?
Not bashing just asking, it sounds interesting and sounds like a good idea if the games could work out perfectly for the night.
Tuck