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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Key Parlays (continued)

    123 ... 567 Next Last»
    rickbrown86
    NEO - THE ONE
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    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2006 - 3:15 AM ET #1

    So far after 34 days system has shown positive results, but this is a small sample & will continue tracking here so those that have any interest can follow. After 34 days it is +1852 The internal numbers: Key (34 plays)is now 26-8 76.47% (A) (34 plays)is now 23-11 67.65% (B) (33 plays)is now 22-11 66.67% (C) (31 plays)is now 17-14 54.84% _________________________________ Parlays: Key/A (34 plays is 17-17 50.00% +974 Key/B (33 plays) is 15-18 45.45% +977 Key/C (31 plays) is 13-18 41.94% <99>
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    So far after 34 days system has shown positive results, but this is a small sample & will continue tracking here so those that have any interest can follow. After 34 days it is +1852 The internal numbers: Key (34 plays)is now 26-8 76.47% (A) (34 plays)is now 23-11 67.65% (B) (33 plays)is now 22-11 66.67% (C) (31 plays)is now 17-14 54.84% _________________________________ Parlays: Key/A (34 plays is 17-17 50.00% +974 Key/B (33 plays) is 15-18 45.45% +977 Key/C (31 plays) is 13-18 41.94% <99>
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2006 - 3:30 AM ET #2

    The Rules of the Key System are "keying" the opening line highest juice team in 2-team parlays with next 3 opening line teams with highest juice. If there is a tie -- ist tie-break is total points of teams (a little leeway here..if a team with 27 point playing a team wit 10 and team with 29 points playing team with 25 -- go with larger diff in points) 2nd tie-break is Home over Away. These will become parlays (A) (B) and (C). The other rule is the unit level we bet, and this is determined only by the "key" We start at a base unit (never go under whatever base is) after a loss we increase 1 unit & after a win we decrease 1 unit. There are streaks in any system or even straight plays, and by only using whether the "key" wins or loses -- we will be at base level most of the time as it is winning at about 70%. Hope that didn't bore anyone -- hope this continues.
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    The Rules of the Key System are "keying" the opening line highest juice team in 2-team parlays with next 3 opening line teams with highest juice. If there is a tie -- ist tie-break is total points of teams (a little leeway here..if a team with 27 point playing a team wit 10 and team with 29 points playing team with 25 -- go with larger diff in points) 2nd tie-break is Home over Away. These will become parlays (A) (B) and (C). The other rule is the unit level we bet, and this is determined only by the "key" We start at a base unit (never go under whatever base is) after a loss we increase 1 unit & after a win we decrease 1 unit. There are streaks in any system or even straight plays, and by only using whether the "key" wins or loses -- we will be at base level most of the time as it is winning at about 70%. Hope that didn't bore anyone -- hope this continues.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2006 - 2:01 PM ET #3

    Fwd +1852 11/12 Day 35 (level 100) Key is Anaheim with: [A] Edmonton 100/163 [B] Chicago100/220 [C] no game Col--Chi opened as -105 pk --both 11 points--Chi Home team
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    Fwd +1852 11/12 Day 35 (level 100) Key is Anaheim with: [A] Edmonton 100/163 [B] Chicago100/220 [C] no game Col--Chi opened as -105 pk --both 11 points--Chi Home team
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2006 - 12:54 AM ET #4

    Fwd: +1852 Day 35 Key Won (with B) Day +120 After 35 days +1972 level now 100
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    Fwd: +1852 Day 35 Key Won (with B) Day +120 After 35 days +1972 level now 100
     
    NEO - THE ONE
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2006 - 1:30 AM ET #5

    Hey Rick, I'll tag along here till next MLB , when we'll get the Cappers together again. GL with the KEY
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    Hey Rick, I'll tag along here till next MLB , when we'll get the Cappers together again. GL with the KEY
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2006 - 1:35 AM ET #6

    Cool NEO -- Hoping you would! LOL - there's an echo in here it's so empty. At least there is no expiration date. looking better now -- key at 77.14% (due for a loss soon)lot better than 1st couple weeks around 50% lol. Also -- (C) has come back to near positive <99> now. (A) +874 (B) +1197
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    Cool NEO -- Hoping you would! LOL - there's an echo in here it's so empty. At least there is no expiration date. looking better now -- key at 77.14% (due for a loss soon)lot better than 1st couple weeks around 50% lol. Also -- (C) has come back to near positive <99> now. (A) +874 (B) +1197
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2006 - 7:40 PM ET #7

    Fwd +1972 11/13 Day 36 (level 100) Key is San Jose with: [A] Pittsburgh 100/135 [B] Ottawa 100/146 [C] Colorado 100/152
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    Fwd +1972 11/13 Day 36 (level 100) Key is San Jose with: [A] Pittsburgh 100/135 [B] Ottawa 100/146 [C] Colorado 100/152
     
    NEO - THE ONE
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2006 - 2:57 AM ET #8

    hey rick, just watching. no sense me picking any NHL right now as I don't hockey!!! NBA currently. GL this week!
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    hey rick, just watching. no sense me picking any NHL right now as I don't hockey!!! NBA currently. GL this week!
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2006 - 7:24 AM ET #9

    Fwd: +1972 Day 35 Key Lost (all lost) Day <300> After 35 days +1672 level now 200
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    Fwd: +1972 Day 35 Key Lost (all lost) Day <300> After 35 days +1672 level now 200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2006 - 7:27 AM ET #10

    Thanks NEO - have been playing these for awhile also - been expecting the hit. Had CAR in NFL, so only lost 200 today.
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    Thanks NEO - have been playing these for awhile also - been expecting the hit. Had CAR in NFL, so only lost 200 today.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2006 - 9:20 AM ET #11

    Fwd +1672 11/14 Day 37 (level 200) Key is Calgary with: [A] Minnesota 200/262 [B] Detroit 200/287 [C] NY Rangers 200/325
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    Fwd +1672 11/14 Day 37 (level 200) Key is Calgary with: [A] Minnesota 200/262 [B] Detroit 200/287 [C] NY Rangers 200/325
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2006 - 4:56 PM ET #12

    Juice went up--actual is: Key is Calgary with: [A] Minnesota 200/258 [B] Detroit 200/278 [C] NY Rangers 200/314
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    Juice went up--actual is: Key is Calgary with: [A] Minnesota 200/258 [B] Detroit 200/278 [C] NY Rangers 200/314
     
    polkaface
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2006 - 5:02 PM ET #13

    Seems very interesting. GL with this. I will be following your progress.
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    Seems very interesting. GL with this. I will be following your progress.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 15, 2006 - 12:59 AM ET #14

    Fwd: +1672 Day 37 Key Won (with B&C) Day +392 After 37 days +2064 level now 100 forgot to change results total days to 36 yesterday before copy & paste. It is now 37 days. Also -- I really think the "Key" can't end up at the high percentage it's at right now -- 28W 9L for 75.68% wins. I also think that it will drop a little at a time & not have a long streak. May roller-coaster a bit. Just a gut feel of course -- as this is still in infancy as a system ..only 37 days so far. Hope it continues to produce profits. Can be a nice grind out at a lower level at least.
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    Fwd: +1672 Day 37 Key Won (with B&C) Day +392 After 37 days +2064 level now 100 forgot to change results total days to 36 yesterday before copy & paste. It is now 37 days. Also -- I really think the "Key" can't end up at the high percentage it's at right now -- 28W 9L for 75.68% wins. I also think that it will drop a little at a time & not have a long streak. May roller-coaster a bit. Just a gut feel of course -- as this is still in infancy as a system ..only 37 days so far. Hope it continues to produce profits. Can be a nice grind out at a lower level at least.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 15, 2006 - 1:03 AM ET #15

    polkaface---Welcome aboard the "lazy-looking-for-an-easy-way train LOL NEO & I have been tracking high juice parlays since the last couple months of baseball--had positive results in bases also.
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    polkaface---Welcome aboard the "lazy-looking-for-an-easy-way train LOL NEO & I have been tracking high juice parlays since the last couple months of baseball--had positive results in bases also.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 15, 2006 - 4:49 PM ET #16

    Really some heavy chalk today. Fwd +2064 11/15 Day 38 (level 100) Key is Anaheim with: [A] Dallas 100/89 [B] Buffalo 100/109 [C] Carolina 100/109
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    Really some heavy chalk today. Fwd +2064 11/15 Day 38 (level 100) Key is Anaheim with: [A] Dallas 100/89 [B] Buffalo 100/109 [C] Carolina 100/109
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2006 - 12:39 AM ET #17

    Fwd: +2064 Day 38 Key Lost (only C won) Day -300 After 38 days +1764 level now 200
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    Fwd: +2064 Day 38 Key Lost (only C won) Day -300 After 38 days +1764 level now 200
     
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2006 - 12:59 AM ET #18

    Fwd +1764 11/16 Day 39 (level 200) Key is Edmonton with: [A] Los Angeles 200/xxx ? [B] Nashville 200/xxx ? [C] Phoenix 200/xxx ? Parlays not available yet, but this is the "Key" play for Thursday.
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    Fwd +1764 11/16 Day 39 (level 200) Key is Edmonton with: [A] Los Angeles 200/xxx ? [B] Nashville 200/xxx ? [C] Phoenix 200/xxx ? Parlays not available yet, but this is the "Key" play for Thursday.
     
    NEO - THE ONE
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2006 - 3:34 AM ET #19

    GO RICK GO !!!!
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    GO RICK GO !!!!
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 16, 2006 - 7:01 PM ET #20

    Fwd +1764 11/16 Day 39 (level 200) Key is Edmonton with: [A] Los Angeles 200/274 [B] Nashville 200/304 [C] Phoenix 200/296
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    Fwd +1764 11/16 Day 39 (level 200) Key is Edmonton with: [A] Los Angeles 200/274 [B] Nashville 200/304 [C] Phoenix 200/296
     
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 1:06 AM ET #21

    Fwd: +1764 Day 39 Key Won (with C) Day <104> After 39 days +1660 level now 100
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    Fwd: +1764 Day 39 Key Won (with C) Day <104> After 39 days +1660 level now 100
     
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 1:17 AM ET #22

    After 39 days it is +1660 The internal numbers: Key (39 plays)is now.. 29-10.. 74.36% (A) (39 plays)is now.. 23-16.. 58.97% (B) (38 plays)is now.. 24-14.. 63.16% (C) (35 plays)is now.. 20-15.. 57.14% _________________________________ Parlays: Key/A (39 plays is.. 17-22..43.59%.. +274 Key/B (38 plays)is.. 17-21.. 44.74%.. +1075 Key/C (35 plays)is.. 15-20.. 42.86%.. +311
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    After 39 days it is +1660 The internal numbers: Key (39 plays)is now.. 29-10.. 74.36% (A) (39 plays)is now.. 23-16.. 58.97% (B) (38 plays)is now.. 24-14.. 63.16% (C) (35 plays)is now.. 20-15.. 57.14% _________________________________ Parlays: Key/A (39 plays is.. 17-22..43.59%.. +274 Key/B (38 plays)is.. 17-21.. 44.74%.. +1075 Key/C (35 plays)is.. 15-20.. 42.86%.. +311
     
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 1:37 AM ET #23

    This is just a "feel" -- but think percentage values should reach approx avg levels of: Key - 71-72 percent (A) 61-63 percent (B) 60-62% (C) 59-61% if this is by luck anywhere near reality - then Parlays should be approx: Key with (A) .715x.62= 44.33% Key with (B) .715x.61= 43.62% Key with (C) .715x.60= 42.90% If all this guessing is anywhere near true, then so far: Key/(A) is 00.74% under its level (tiny bit due to hit) Key/(B) is 01.12% over its level (tiny bit due to miss) Key/(C) is 00.04% under its level (just about even)
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    This is just a "feel" -- but think percentage values should reach approx avg levels of: Key - 71-72 percent (A) 61-63 percent (B) 60-62% (C) 59-61% if this is by luck anywhere near reality - then Parlays should be approx: Key with (A) .715x.62= 44.33% Key with (B) .715x.61= 43.62% Key with (C) .715x.60= 42.90% If all this guessing is anywhere near true, then so far: Key/(A) is 00.74% under its level (tiny bit due to hit) Key/(B) is 01.12% over its level (tiny bit due to miss) Key/(C) is 00.04% under its level (just about even)
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 1:46 AM ET #24

    I have been using this for all size cards---unless, of course, only one game. Some of the smaller cards have a lot less defined favorites, and larger cards may or may not be at a higher percentage. I like playing them all and think the higher payouts probably match the higher risk. Just throwing stuff out there in case some would like to "tweak" a little more.
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    I have been using this for all size cards---unless, of course, only one game. Some of the smaller cards have a lot less defined favorites, and larger cards may or may not be at a higher percentage. I like playing them all and think the higher payouts probably match the higher risk. Just throwing stuff out there in case some would like to "tweak" a little more.
     
     
    rickbrown86
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Nov. 17, 2006 - 2:20 AM ET #25

    Friday (parlays not yet available) Fwd +1660 11/17 Day 40 (level 100) Key is Anaheim with: [A] Buffalo 100/xxx [B] Vancouver 100/xxx [C] Tampa Bay 100/xxx
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    Friday (parlays not yet available) Fwd +1660 11/17 Day 40 (level 100) Key is Anaheim with: [A] Buffalo 100/xxx [B] Vancouver 100/xxx [C] Tampa Bay 100/xxx
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