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All Forums | Systems & Strategies

Kelly Criterion put to the test.

«First Previous 456 ... 181920 Next Last»
mtp104
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mtp104
mtp104
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Joined: Nov, 2007
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Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 4:29 PM ET #76

Bankroll 2395.64

Record 5-3

 

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Bankroll 2395.64

Record 5-3

 

 
mtp104
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 6:18 PM ET #77

New England Moneyline Parlayed with Furman moneyline which equates to  -117 odds using the kelly criterion calculator this is the anticipated wager:

Risking $160.27 to win $137.16 

Good Luck

Im not a parlay kind of guy but like the value here!!!

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New England Moneyline Parlayed with Furman moneyline which equates to  -117 odds using the kelly criterion calculator this is the anticipated wager:

Risking $160.27 to win $137.16 

Good Luck

Im not a parlay kind of guy but like the value here!!!

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 6, 2010 - 11:02 PM ET #78

RECORD 6-3

BANKROLL 2532.80

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RECORD 6-3

BANKROLL 2532.80

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 5:17 PM ET #79

Overall Record 6-3

Winning Percentage-66.67%

Bankroll Start $2000.00

Current Bankroll- 2532.80

ROI- 25%

 

NCAAF-Boise State/Fresno State -Under 66.5 Risked 194.00 to win 176.36 WINNER

NCAAF-Miami Hurricanes +1.5 risked 211.11 to win 192.19 LOSER

NCAAF- Arkansas -3.5 risked 190.59 to win 165.73 WINNER

NFL- TEASER Pittsburg -1 and New England +2 Risked 206.67 to win 187.88 WINNER

NCAAB- New Mexico State +10 lOSER

NCAAF- Western Michigan -6.5 risked 203 to win 183 WINNER  

NCAAB- Cornell +16.5 risked 221 to win 200.91 WINNEER

NFL-Tennessee titans -3 -125 Risked 80.47 to win 64.38 LOSER

Parlay- New England/Furman Parlay moneyline- Risked 160.27 to win 137.16 WINNER

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Overall Record 6-3

Winning Percentage-66.67%

Bankroll Start $2000.00

Current Bankroll- 2532.80

ROI- 25%

 

NCAAF-Boise State/Fresno State -Under 66.5 Risked 194.00 to win 176.36 WINNER

NCAAF-Miami Hurricanes +1.5 risked 211.11 to win 192.19 LOSER

NCAAF- Arkansas -3.5 risked 190.59 to win 165.73 WINNER

NFL- TEASER Pittsburg -1 and New England +2 Risked 206.67 to win 187.88 WINNER

NCAAB- New Mexico State +10 lOSER

NCAAF- Western Michigan -6.5 risked 203 to win 183 WINNER  

NCAAB- Cornell +16.5 risked 221 to win 200.91 WINNEER

NFL-Tennessee titans -3 -125 Risked 80.47 to win 64.38 LOSER

Parlay- New England/Furman Parlay moneyline- Risked 160.27 to win 137.16 WINNER

 
dj_destroyer
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Posted: Dec. 7, 2010 - 6:32 PM ET #80

Keep it going 
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Keep it going 
 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 4:32 PM ET #81

NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100) NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110
NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100) NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110
Teaser-4 bk/6 fb pts
NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110) NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100)
Teaser-4 bk/6 fb pts
NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110) NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100)

12/9/2010

Titans +9.5 and Under 51 risking $245.68 to win $223.35

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NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100) NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110
NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100) NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110
Teaser-4 bk/6 fb pts
NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110) NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100)
Teaser-4 bk/6 fb pts
NFL/G- Indianapolis @ Tennessee Under 51 (-110) NFL/G- (Indianapolis @ Tennessee) Tennessee Point Spread 9.5 (+100)

12/9/2010

Titans +9.5 and Under 51 risking $245.68 to win $223.35

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 4:34 PM ET #82

wow I screwed that up.

Teaser

Titans plus 9.5 and under 51 risking 245.68 to win 223.35

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wow I screwed that up.

Teaser

Titans plus 9.5 and under 51 risking 245.68 to win 223.35

 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 4:38 PM ET #83

On Indy & Over.. hopefully we hit a middle somewhere so we both win!

I'll honestly just be happy for my Colts to win.. stop the bleeding boys!!

Good Luck!

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On Indy & Over.. hopefully we hit a middle somewhere so we both win!

I'll honestly just be happy for my Colts to win.. stop the bleeding boys!!

Good Luck!

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 4:49 PM ET #84

I believe Titans win this outright and should be favored.  This is a huge  public line with Indy being favored absolutely no reason for it.  Titans suck I get it but they are home and still playing good defense.  Manning what doesnt have the weapons this year.  both offenses stuggle tonite and total goes under 40 while Titans win.  Thats the plan.  Good luck Kreature

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I believe Titans win this outright and should be favored.  This is a huge  public line with Indy being favored absolutely no reason for it.  Titans suck I get it but they are home and still playing good defense.  Manning what doesnt have the weapons this year.  both offenses stuggle tonite and total goes under 40 while Titans win.  Thats the plan.  Good luck Kreature

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 5:05 PM ET #85

Projected score Titans 20 Colts 17

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Projected score Titans 20 Colts 17

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 11:30 PM ET #86

Record 6-4

Terrible play on me tonight.  I was going to take Titans and would have backdoored either way what a crap game to bet on.  NFL is just sick to watch I this will be my final NFL bet of the season.  Lots of Hoops though. 

Balance $2267.00

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Record 6-4

Terrible play on me tonight.  I was going to take Titans and would have backdoored either way what a crap game to bet on.  NFL is just sick to watch I this will be my final NFL bet of the season.  Lots of Hoops though. 

Balance $2267.00

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 9, 2010 - 11:32 PM ET #87

Betting the NFL just gets harder and harder. 
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Betting the NFL just gets harder and harder. 
 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 6:36 PM ET #88

Dallas maverick -5.5

Risking 220.00 to win 200.00

Good Luck

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Dallas maverick -5.5

Risking 220.00 to win 200.00

Good Luck

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 11, 2010 - 11:50 PM ET #89

Record 7-4

Bankroll $2467.00

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Record 7-4

Bankroll $2467.00

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 10:20 AM ET #90

Two Plays today.  Putting them in at same time.

Redskins +1 Risking 216 to win 196.36

New Orleans -9 Risking 216 to win 196.36 

You could also wait till after skins game to determine how much to play on second game depending on who wins. I did this to ensure I got the lines I wanted.

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Two Plays today.  Putting them in at same time.

Redskins +1 Risking 216 to win 196.36

New Orleans -9 Risking 216 to win 196.36 

You could also wait till after skins game to determine how much to play on second game depending on who wins. I did this to ensure I got the lines I wanted.

 
mtp104
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 1:45 PM ET #91

Anyone know how Gano has missed two close field goals in the Washington game? I havent been watching it and just saw this.  I cant believe it!
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Anyone know how Gano has missed two close field goals in the Washington game? I havent been watching it and just saw this.  I cant believe it!
 
dj_destroyer
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 2:56 PM ET #92

I was on Washington myself... very tight game. Maybe I'll tail you for a unit on the Saints. GL
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I was on Washington myself... very tight game. Maybe I'll tail you for a unit on the Saints. GL
 
mickjam
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 8:03 PM ET #93

Great thread.  I would love to tail you on chump change, if you don't mind.

Only problem is the graphics are all botched up.  Everything is too far to the right, so I can't read everything that is posted.

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Great thread.  I would love to tail you on chump change, if you don't mind.

Only problem is the graphics are all botched up.  Everything is too far to the right, so I can't read everything that is posted.

 
dj_destroyer
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:31 PM ET #94

Ya what's up with that?
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Ya what's up with that?
 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:36 PM ET #95

We just need to get to a new page..
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We just need to get to a new page..
 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:37 PM ET #96

..so if we just make a few more posts..
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..so if we just make a few more posts..
 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:38 PM ET #97

..we can finish this page off....
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..we can finish this page off....
 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:39 PM ET #98

Nice win with the Saints today.
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Nice win with the Saints today.
 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:41 PM ET #99

The push with Washington should have been pleasing, as well, considering.. they suck!
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The push with Washington should have been pleasing, as well, considering.. they suck!
 
 
kreatture
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Posted: Dec. 12, 2010 - 9:42 PM ET #100

OK next post will start a new page.. don't copy & paste anymore mtp
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OK next post will start a new page.. don't copy & paste anymore mtp
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