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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Kelly Criterion put to the test.

    «First Previous 171819 ... 181920 Next Last»
    mtp104
    mikiey97
    wizzy69
    WendysRox
    dj_destroyer
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 63035
    Posts: 484
    «First Previous 171819 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
    Veteran
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    Joined: Nov, 2007
    Posts: 1390
    Posted: Apr. 10, 2011 - 11:47 AM ET #401

    Bankroll: $3,635

    Record 41-28-1

    59% Winners the past 4.5 Months!!!

    Hopefully some of you profited from the plays yesterday!!

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    Bankroll: $3,635

    Record 41-28-1

    59% Winners the past 4.5 Months!!!

    Hopefully some of you profited from the plays yesterday!!

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posts: 1390
    Posted: Apr. 10, 2011 - 9:15 PM ET #402

     I have been following baseball pretty closely and would expect a play this week so if you regularly follow stay tuned!

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     I have been following baseball pretty closely and would expect a play this week so if you regularly follow stay tuned!

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2011 - 9:08 PM ET #403

    NBA

    Oklahoma City Thunder -6

    55% Kelly wager

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    NBA

    Oklahoma City Thunder -6

    55% Kelly wager

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2011 - 9:16 PM ET #404

    Risking 200 to win 180
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    Risking 200 to win 180
     
    mikiey97
    mikiey97
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    Posts: 821
    Posted: Apr. 12, 2011 - 1:17 PM ET #405

    thanks for the pick,was on it with ya,
    got any pick for today,I know there isn't many to pick from

     g/l

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    thanks for the pick,was on it with ya,
    got any pick for today,I know there isn't many to pick from

     g/l

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2011 - 4:18 PM ET #406

    Record 42-28-1

    Bankroll 3,815

    60% winner!

    Nice streak we are on!!!

     

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    Record 42-28-1

    Bankroll 3,815

    60% winner!

    Nice streak we are on!!!

     

     
    wizzy69
    wizzy69
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2011 - 5:20 PM ET #407

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    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #408

    I like Memphis tonight may decide to make it a play still looking over a few things.  I do think their is some value at +5 still.  Hold tight!
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    I like Memphis tonight may decide to make it a play still looking over a few things.  I do think their is some value at +5 still.  Hold tight!
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2011 - 7:31 PM ET #409

    MLB

    Twins Royals

    Over 8 -110 beted 

    53% kelly wager Risking 50 to win 45

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    MLB

    Twins Royals

    Over 8 -110 beted 

    53% kelly wager Risking 50 to win 45

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2011 - 7:31 PM ET #410

    Listed Pitchers Francis and Duensing!
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    Listed Pitchers Francis and Duensing!
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2011 - 7:40 PM ET #411

    Record 42-29-1

    Bankroll: 3765

     

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    Record 42-29-1

    Bankroll: 3765

     

     
    WendysRox
    WendysRox
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    Posts: 3823
    Posted: Apr. 14, 2011 - 2:12 PM ET #412

    congratulations on your winning.  and, you do realize that you are not using kelly correctly, right?

    how can every game you bet have the same odds of winning?  The answer, of course, is that it can't.
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    congratulations on your winning.  and, you do realize that you are not using kelly correctly, right?

    how can every game you bet have the same odds of winning?  The answer, of course, is that it can't.
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2011 - 5:22 PM ET #413

    Obi Juan,

    Please enlighten me.  I cap a game at a certain win % and base my wager on that expected outcome and I'm using kelly wrong?  Absolutely not!  I said 57% winning when I started i'm actually above that at this point.  I have lowered my bets on numerous accounts because the expected outcome for that event was lower.  If you follow closely my thread would demonstate a professional way to manage money but only if you know what your doing.  MONEY MANAGEMENT is more important than picking games in my opinion.  I would challenge you to disagree with my style anyday!  I mean no disrespect I find it ignorant to tell me I'm doing something wrong when you seem to have no idea what Im even doing!

    Mtp104

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    Obi Juan,

    Please enlighten me.  I cap a game at a certain win % and base my wager on that expected outcome and I'm using kelly wrong?  Absolutely not!  I said 57% winning when I started i'm actually above that at this point.  I have lowered my bets on numerous accounts because the expected outcome for that event was lower.  If you follow closely my thread would demonstate a professional way to manage money but only if you know what your doing.  MONEY MANAGEMENT is more important than picking games in my opinion.  I would challenge you to disagree with my style anyday!  I mean no disrespect I find it ignorant to tell me I'm doing something wrong when you seem to have no idea what Im even doing!

    Mtp104

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posts: 1390
    Posted: Apr. 15, 2011 - 6:01 PM ET #414

    MLB

    Oakland Athletics run line +155

    41% kelly wager

    Risking 111 to win 172.5

     

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    MLB

    Oakland Athletics run line +155

    41% kelly wager

    Risking 111 to win 172.5

     

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 6:31 PM ET #415

    Record 42-30-1

    Bankroll: 3654

    Under 193 Chicago Indiana Pacers 55 % Kelly wager!

    Risking 201 to win 180

    Good Luck!

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    Record 42-30-1

    Bankroll: 3654

    Under 193 Chicago Indiana Pacers 55 % Kelly wager!

    Risking 201 to win 180

    Good Luck!

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2011 - 12:33 AM ET #416

    Record 43-30-1

    Bankroll 3,834

    Nice win!

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    Record 43-30-1

    Bankroll 3,834

    Nice win!

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 19, 2011 - 7:01 PM ET #417

    NBA

    53% kelly wager

    Knicks +6.5

    Magic -9.5

    Risking 49 to win 44 on both wagers!!!  Good Luck

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    NBA

    53% kelly wager

    Knicks +6.5

    Magic -9.5

    Risking 49 to win 44 on both wagers!!!  Good Luck

     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 3144
    Posted: Apr. 19, 2011 - 7:17 PM ET #418

    4/18: One 55% Kelly wager results in $201 wagered
    4/19: Two 53% Kelly wagers result in $98 wagered

    ???
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    4/18: One 55% Kelly wager results in $201 wagered
    4/19: Two 53% Kelly wagers result in $98 wagered

    ???
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Joined: Nov, 2007
    Posts: 1390
    Posted: Apr. 19, 2011 - 9:02 PM ET #419

    DJ,

    That is the stake!  My total stake this evening is 98!  Does that answer your question or are you intending on meaning something else by the above post?

    Mtp104

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    DJ,

    That is the stake!  My total stake this evening is 98!  Does that answer your question or are you intending on meaning something else by the above post?

    Mtp104

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2011 - 10:23 AM ET #420

    Record 44-31-1

    58.6% winners!

    Bankroll 3829

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    Record 44-31-1

    58.6% winners!

    Bankroll 3829

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posts: 1390
    Posted: Apr. 22, 2011 - 11:28 AM ET #421

    NBA

    Orlando -2

    Risking 130 to win 127

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    NBA

    Orlando -2

    Risking 130 to win 127

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 22, 2011 - 11:29 AM ET #422

    54% kelly wager
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    54% kelly wager
     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2011 - 9:39 AM ET #423

    Bankroll 3699

    Record 44-32-1

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    Bankroll 3699

    Record 44-32-1

     
    mtp104
    mtp104
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    Posted: Apr. 23, 2011 - 12:17 PM ET #424

    NBA

    Dallas Mavericks Moneyline +155

    50% kelly wager

    Risking 617 to win 956

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    NBA

    Dallas Mavericks Moneyline +155

    50% kelly wager

    Risking 617 to win 956

     
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posts: 3144
    Posted: Apr. 23, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #425

    Nice big bet ^^
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    Nice big bet ^^
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