I know what you´re gonna say, its just another chase system...

Call 82,

I will be keeping an eye on those games.  Will also be interesting to see once the tiers are updated.  Will let you know in a week or so how it is going.

C82 where did the FLO (Florida) game for 2U come from?
Game 1 lost on the 9th and game 2 won on the 10th.

Never mind. Found it in post 132 or 133.

tigers tigers

wow florida has no bullpen if there not up 6 runs they wont win   myself Iam moveing florida to a #2 and min to a 1     I wont bet the O's anymore they have no bullpen  

nice

 

NICE TUESDAY.THANKS CALL82  BOL TODAY

YTD 30-15

+18.56 UNITS

Yesterday 6-2

+ 6.2 UNITS

Wow, that was a wild ride yesterday....was watching the Tigers game until the end of the 6th inning and I was pissed badly...went to bed then (was around 10pm in germany) and when I woke up I check the scores and was like "HELL YEAH"

Both losses came in the extra innings, that sucks but I hope they will be able to turn things around, especially Florida since they are the first 4 UNIT game of the season...last year, the 4 UNIT games went 16-2 in the whole season so hopefully the statistics wont let us down here...dont feel like playing a 8 UNIT one tomorrow...

Anyway, here are the games for today:

BAL +136 Risking 2 UNITS to win 2.72 UNITS

CLE +104 Risking 1 UNIT to win 1.04 UNITS

FLO -127 Risking 5.08 UNITS to win 4 UNITS

BOL everyone, I wont be around for the rest of the day, wish you all the best of luck

 

 

You said that and you were right in this case, you argued with the non-existent bullpen and said the same about Florida, I really hope you played them though

 

Anyway, when I look at this play from a statistical/value perspective and I see BAL in a spot of having lost the first 2 games of a series and getting them in the thirs at home for +130, I would always play them again, history tells you that they will win more than 50% of those games and +130 is definately a big value play there...

 

Anyway, in total it was a plus day again so I wont complain

YTD 31-17

+19.56 UNITS

Yesterday 1-2

+ 1.0 UNITS

 

Another day, another UNIT made

 

Things are really going well right now, just checked the history and have to say this was the best start of a season ever since I backtested...

 

Todays games will follow...

YTD 31-16 +20.56 UNITS Yesterday 1-1 + 2.0 UNITS   Made a mistake, havent been checking my account before the write-up, just found out that the listed starter for Texas didnt show up due to sickness...therfore the pick was a no action and I didnt lose the UNIT there   Today will be OAk for 1 UNIT and CLE for only 1 UNIT then, have to wait for the CLE line though...will be back later with details...

if u are doing these plays it cle schould still be a loss and be 31-17

 

Well obviously I didnt bet it but you are free to count it as you want...I will just bet 1 UNIT since I didnt lose a UNIT on them yet.

 

BOL everyone

Todays Picks:

OAK -145 Risking 1.45 UNITS to win 1 UNIT

CLE even Risking 1 UNIT to win 1 UNIT

 

BOL everyone

 BOL Call

wow where did u get okland at 145 last nite it was 160 and i bet it last night today its 170 its cool but it was a loss if you are keeping a recordmoney can be more gl today

I just got OAK at -148.

Call 82, I really love your system.  I hope you don't mind me posting this here but I am a numbers guy so I backtested your system (well sort of...)

Here is what I found.  Last year in the AL I found 82 sweeps. 63 of these were by the Home Team.  In instances where one team was going for a sweep in the last game of the series they were 82-66 (55.4%).  If every team plays about 50 series per year, there was a sweep in about 11% of series.  I ran this until 9/15.

Here are the home teams that were swept by the visiting team

Home Team             Swept by:

BAL (tier 3)--        BOS (1), NYY (1)

TB (2)---              DET(2)

TOR (3)--             FLA (2), BOS (1)

CLE (3)--             DET (2), CHW (2), TEX (1)

DET (2)--            BOS (1)

KC (3)--              TB (2), LAA (1), MIN (2), LAA (1)

MIN (2)---            NYY (1), LAA (1)

OAK (3)--           SEA (2), CLE (3), NYY (1)

TEX (1)--            OAK (3)

**Tier 3 team at home against a visiting tier 1 team= 33/33**

 

As you can see only 1 team (OAK) would have beaten a team on higher tier at home. 

Playing all home teams = 303-19

Playing all home teams + tier 1 on road vs 3 = 336-19

Playing all Tier 1/2 teams at home = 207-5

"   "  with Tier 1 vs Tier 3 at home =   240-5

Playing all Tier 1 teams at home and road vs 3 = 125-1

 

Obviously, selection of the tiers is key.  These are some great numbers and this is only accounting for AL games.  Just wanted to send a congrats.  Since I crunched all these numbers I figured I would share them.

All but two of the tier 1 plays would have covered the RL regardless of the odds except for one road plays and one home play -140, -160 respectively.  I also forgot to mention that I excluded interleague plays when doing the previous analysis.