Right now, it has been a good idea to go with the "Regulation" plays because overtimes (and subsquently shootouts) are down so far this season. I've done some of my own research as well as talked to a few members at another forum and it seems as if every season (since the lockout) that have started off slow in the OT column have picked up later in the season... so in other words, get them in while you can! GL
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Right now, it has been a good idea to go with the "Regulation" plays because overtimes (and subsquently shootouts) are down so far this season. I've done some of my own research as well as talked to a few members at another forum and it seems as if every season (since the lockout) that have started off slow in the OT column have picked up later in the season... so in other words, get them in while you can! GL
Looking forward to some more soccer today! Too bad Arsenal couldn't get it done, but hitting that Over 3 in Chelsea game with a 0-0 HT score was nice, as well as my hit on the -2 and -2.5 for Chelsea!
I'm starting to become quite hooked on these afternoon delights!
Cheers
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Looking forward to some more soccer today! Too bad Arsenal couldn't get it done, but hitting that Over 3 in Chelsea game with a 0-0 HT score was nice, as well as my hit on the -2 and -2.5 for Chelsea!
I'm starting to become quite hooked on these afternoon delights!
So many games and I couldn't find ONE I liked... My leans are to Lille [-101] and Atletico Madrid [+148] but nothing worth a bet. Be back around 6pm EST with hockey/basketball.
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So many games and I couldn't find ONE I liked... My leans are to Lille [-101] and Atletico Madrid [+148] but nothing worth a bet. Be back around 6pm EST with hockey/basketball.
The Islanders are just a pathetic all-around horrible team tho. Put Budaj in goal with them an they'll give up 8 a game. He has a pretty good young team in front of him in Colorado and he still gives up 4 every game.
Altho he is having one of his best games of the year tonight.. only 2 goals against past the half way point!
Nice easy winner with Knicks/Bulls Over!
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Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:
Anyone wearing an Islanders jersey...
HaHa! Good one.
The Islanders are just a pathetic all-around horrible team tho. Put Budaj in goal with them an they'll give up 8 a game. He has a pretty good young team in front of him in Colorado and he still gives up 4 every game.
Altho he is having one of his best games of the year tonight.. only 2 goals against past the half way point!
Have a bit of time so I'll explain what I have been tracking for soccer draws. All I have been doing is tracking games that fall into certain parameters. The parameters were disussed on a different forum and I simply have tracked games based on those parameters. Not taking credit for discovering something - only tracking some results!!
The games that I have been tracking in soccer have the following:
A Over/Under of 2 with a spread of pk to 0.5 - I have watched the range of this and one or the other.
The other games are an Over/Under of 2- 2.5 with a spread of pk.
So far with over 400 games since late August (there have been more but I have simply gotten too busy with work to catch them all) a profit has been shown. Something to the tune of +$2000 if betting $100. There have been some ups and down in that but on the plus as of right now. One Saturday went 3W-14L and just 2 weeks ago these plays went 7W-7L.
Typically I look on Pinny 1-3 times per day for soccer draws. Once a game meets the above criteria I record it and track the result. If over a day the draw amount moves I do not change. 1st time I see a game that fits is the amount I track. I say this because of the following - Consistency in my record keeping.
By doing this I have summarized my results so far and found what I think are some interesting points. Seems like games that have a draw range 200 to 210 (16 W - 44L)or 236-240 (5W - 25L )result in a draw much less frequently than games that are 211-215 (16W-20L) and games that are 221-225 (23W-25L) - the wins and loss are if it draws or not. This however may not be the best indicator as a game s draw line can shift as money comes in on the match.
Looking back at the games and only going with the ones (draw odds) that have a draw over 33% of the time and one would be up $5800. But that is looking back and I feel it still such a small sample size that things could head downhill quickly. All games are hitting about 35%. Getting selective on which draws to take based on the draw amount and the win rate is 38%. A 0.1% difference so far if the Over or Under is favoured.
Have wondered about tracking a wider variety of games but there are so many that I simply don't have the time to do so. Going to continue tracking and see if more angles turn up from this.
Drop a question if you want to know more. I was kinda long here.
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Nice call on the NYK/Chi OVER -
Have a bit of time so I'll explain what I have been tracking for soccer draws. All I have been doing is tracking games that fall into certain parameters. The parameters were disussed on a different forum and I simply have tracked games based on those parameters. Not taking credit for discovering something - only tracking some results!!
The games that I have been tracking in soccer have the following:
A Over/Under of 2 with a spread of pk to 0.5 - I have watched the range of this and one or the other.
The other games are an Over/Under of 2- 2.5 with a spread of pk.
So far with over 400 games since late August (there have been more but I have simply gotten too busy with work to catch them all) a profit has been shown. Something to the tune of +$2000 if betting $100. There have been some ups and down in that but on the plus as of right now. One Saturday went 3W-14L and just 2 weeks ago these plays went 7W-7L.
Typically I look on Pinny 1-3 times per day for soccer draws. Once a game meets the above criteria I record it and track the result. If over a day the draw amount moves I do not change. 1st time I see a game that fits is the amount I track. I say this because of the following - Consistency in my record keeping.
By doing this I have summarized my results so far and found what I think are some interesting points. Seems like games that have a draw range 200 to 210 (16 W - 44L)or 236-240 (5W - 25L )result in a draw much less frequently than games that are 211-215 (16W-20L) and games that are 221-225 (23W-25L) - the wins and loss are if it draws or not. This however may not be the best indicator as a game s draw line can shift as money comes in on the match.
Looking back at the games and only going with the ones (draw odds) that have a draw over 33% of the time and one would be up $5800. But that is looking back and I feel it still such a small sample size that things could head downhill quickly. All games are hitting about 35%. Getting selective on which draws to take based on the draw amount and the win rate is 38%. A 0.1% difference so far if the Over or Under is favoured.
Have wondered about tracking a wider variety of games but there are so many that I simply don't have the time to do so. Going to continue tracking and see if more angles turn up from this.
Drop a question if you want to know more. I was kinda long here.
GL
My leans are to Lille [-101] and Atletico Madrid [+148] but nothing worth a bet. Be back around 6pm EST with hockey/basketball.
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