All Forums | Systems & Strategies

DegenGamble's NFL handicapping method

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 13420
Posts: 142
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #101

Saturday picks per the method

DET -4.5

SDG -1

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #102

NOR -15.5

JAX -10.5

PHI -7.5

MIA +3.5

BAL -6.5

MIN -11.5

ARI +4.5

CAR -2.5

LAR +1.5

PIT +3

TEN +2.5

DAL -2.5

ATL -6.5

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #103

Was hoping for a little better week 15 - 9-5-1 (60%)

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #104
Season results:
 
Week 1: 8-7 53%
Week 2: 9-7 56%
Week 3: 12-4 75%
Week 4: 11-5 69%
Week 5: 7-7 50%
Week 6: 9-5 64%
Week 7: 6-8-1 43%
Week 8: 10-3 77%
Week 9: 8-4-1 67%
Week 10: 8-6 57%
Week 11: 9-5 64%
Week 12: 13-3 81%
Week 13: 8-8 50%
Week 14 6-10 37%
Week 15 9-5-1 60%
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2017
Posts: 46
Posted: #105

Hello Degen, I'm all new to NBA-betting. Can I PM you about the excel-file NBA CHASE SYSTEMS V4 please.

I'm a 61 years old from Belgium. Sorry to post it here.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #106

Quote Originally Posted by peetee9:

Hello Degen, I'm all new to NBA-betting. Can I PM you about the excel-file NBA CHASE SYSTEMS V4 please. I'm a 61 years old from Belgium. Sorry to post it here.

sorry Peetee - I really don’t have the time to update any spreadsheets - in fact I don’t really have time to post on the forum but I felt this method was very revealing and was hoping folks would take it, and develop it over time

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #107

Saturday picks per the method

BAL -12.5

MIN -8

also if your interested - I have been experimenting using the projections for leans on O/U - it’s projecting MIN/GB over 40.5

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 198
Posted: #108
good luck this week
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2017
Posts: 46
Posted: #109

Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

QUOTE Originally Posted by peetee9: Hello Degen, I'm all new to NBA-betting. Can I PM you about the excel-file NBA CHASE SYSTEMS V4 please. I'm a 61 years old from Belgium. Sorry to post it here. sorry Peetee - I really don’t have the time to update any spreadsheets - in fact I don’t really have time to post on the forum but I felt this method was very revealing and was hoping folks would take it, and develop it over time

Hi DegenGamble, thanks for your answer. I'll see what I can do with the spreadsheet. Looked fine to me indeed. Sorry to disturb. 

Wish you al the best and Merry Christmas !!!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #110

Week 16 Picks per the method

DEN +3.5

NOR -5.5

LAC -6.5

CHI -6.5

BUF +12.5

CAR -9.5

DET -3.5

TEN +6.5

KC -10.5

SF +4.5

NYG +4.5

SEA +5

PIT -9.5

OAK +8.5

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 1304
Posted: #111
Degen
What site do you use to set up your Fantasy Football League?

Thanks for your contribution and great results.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #112

I’m getting really sick of these blown covers in the last moments of a game - this OAK one hurt - I was hoping for a 10-6 week

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #113

Week 16 results

9-7 56%

Really pissed about OAK - should have been a 10-6 week.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #114
Season results:
 
Week 1: 8-7 53%
Week 2: 9-7 56%
Week 3: 12-4 75%
Week 4: 11-5 69%
Week 5: 7-7 50%
Week 6: 9-5 64%
Week 7: 6-8-1 43%
Week 8: 10-3 77%
Week 9: 8-4-1 67%
Week 10: 8-6 57%
Week 11: 9-5 64%
Week 12: 13-3 81%
Week 13: 8-8 50%
Week 14 6-10 37%
Week 15 9-5-1 60%
Week 16 9-7 56%
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #115
Week 17 Picks per the method

JAX +3
ATL -3.5
BAL -9
WAS -3
DET -6.5
MIN -12
CLE +6.5
NOR -6
DAL -2.5
IND -4.5
NE -15
BUF -2.5
SF -3
SEA -8.5
LAC -7.5
DEN -3.5

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #116

Week 17 results

10-6  62.5%

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #117
Season results:  overall 152-100-3 60.3% win rate for the season
 
Week 1: 8-7 53%
Week 2: 9-7 56%
Week 3: 12-4 75%
Week 4: 11-5 69%
Week 5: 7-7 50%
Week 6: 9-5 64%
Week 7: 6-8-1 43%
Week 8: 10-3 77%
Week 9: 8-4-1 67%
Week 10: 8-6 57%
Week 11: 9-5 64%
Week 12: 13-3 81%
Week 13: 8-8 50%
Week 14 6-10 37%
Week 15 9-6-1 60%
Week 16 9-7 56%
Week 17 10-6 62.5%
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #118
So that's all folks - I hope this thread inspires some creative handicapping methods using fantasy football predictive scores to help handicap NFL games.

It's far from perfect - I would love to see some folks track the predictive scores / stats and come up with a better way to translate how many fantasy points equates to real live points.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 8426
Posted: #119

bottom line: 60%  (152 WINS)

the thread produced the winning edge

week #12 (13-3)

good job DG

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2017
Posts: 498
Posted: #120

we going to revive this again this season?

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2005
Posts: 777
Posted: #121
that was an awesome season!!! looking forward to another great year
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2015
Posts: 6453
Posted: #122
Absolutely amazing!

I'd tip my hat, but that is hard to do over the Internet.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #123

Hey fellow system/handicapping enthusiasts,

So its tough to post and track every week but i'll try to figure out a way to post my spreadsheet with my picks.  Maybe make it available on G-Drive and provide a link for folks to check it and maybe whoever is using it ca help post the plays from the spreadsheet.

I'll see what I can do.  Either way Thursday's pick is.....

ATL+3.5 - you can go down to ATL+1.5 and ATL is still the play.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2017
Posts: 339
Posted: #124
Glad to see you back!
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1150
Posted: #125

Picks for this weekend until I figure out the best way to share the picks via spreadsheet and g-drive

All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.