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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    DegenGamble's NFL handicapping method

    «First Previous 123456
    DegenGamble
    SteveBOL
    rivermonsterz
    therealdutch
    fullback22
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    Search
    Views: 13422
    Posts: 142
    «First Previous 123456
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:07 AM ET #126

    Atlanta Falcons 1.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers          -4

    Indianapolis Colts             -2.5

    Tennessee Titans             -1.5

    San Francisco 49ers         6.5

    New Orleans Saints         -9.5

    kansas City Chiefs            6.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars         -3

    Buffalo Bills         7.5

    Kansas City Chiefs            3.5

    Dallas Cowboys 3

    Arizona Cardinals             -1

    Denver Broncos -3

    Chicago Bears    7.5

    Detroit Lions      -6.5

    Los Angeles Rams            -4

    Reply

    Atlanta Falcons 1.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers          -4

    Indianapolis Colts             -2.5

    Tennessee Titans             -1.5

    San Francisco 49ers         6.5

    New Orleans Saints         -9.5

    kansas City Chiefs            6.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars         -3

    Buffalo Bills         7.5

    Kansas City Chiefs            3.5

    Dallas Cowboys 3

    Arizona Cardinals             -1

    Denver Broncos -3

    Chicago Bears    7.5

    Detroit Lions      -6.5

    Los Angeles Rams            -4

     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:33 AM ET #127

    Ok so put the spreadsheet on g-drive.  Here is the link - I usually put preliminary leans on Tuesday as that's when the week's projections are available on the site I use.  I will then update again on Thursday for the Thursday night game and Saturday before the Sunday games.

    Reply

    Ok so put the spreadsheet on g-drive.  Here is the link - I usually put preliminary leans on Tuesday as that's when the week's projections are available on the site I use.  I will then update again on Thursday for the Thursday night game and Saturday before the Sunday games.

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:35 AM ET #128

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     

    Reply

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     

     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:36 AM ET #129

    crap i can't past anything that looks like a link

    Reply

    crap i can't past anything that looks like a link

     
    SteveBOL
    SteveBOL
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:53 AM ET #130

    Hmm twitter or dm on here?
    Reply
    Hmm twitter or dm on here?
     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 7:44 PM ET #131

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.

     

    bOL this season, last year was great!

    Reply

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.

     

    bOL this season, last year was great!

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2018 - 11:09 AM ET #132

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

    Reply

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 9:44 PM ET #133

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

    Cut & Paste Error - it was HOU +6.5 - KC was listed twice

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

    Cut & Paste Error - it was HOU +6.5 - KC was listed twice

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 9:49 PM ET #134

    So 1 word for week 1 - DISGUSTING!!!!

    I don't want to even talk about it - I just want to forget about it and move to week 2.

    4-11-1   - 31.25%    an_brick

     

    Reply

    So 1 word for week 1 - DISGUSTING!!!!

    I don't want to even talk about it - I just want to forget about it and move to week 2.

    4-11-1   - 31.25%    an_brick

     

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 9:50 PM ET #135

    Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.   bOL this season, last year was great!

     

    I don't want to say the exact site since I scrape their site for their data and just in case - you know - but its one of the top 4 fantasy football sites

    ESPN, YAHOO, CBS SPORTS, NFL

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.   bOL this season, last year was great!

     

    I don't want to say the exact site since I scrape their site for their data and just in case - you know - but its one of the top 4 fantasy football sites

    ESPN, YAHOO, CBS SPORTS, NFL

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 10:11 PM ET #136

    WEEK 2 - THURSDAY

    BAL - PK

    Reply

    WEEK 2 - THURSDAY

    BAL - PK

     
    fullback22
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 5:47 PM ET #137

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     


    Would love to see the spreadsheet maybe DM?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     


    Would love to see the spreadsheet maybe DM?
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2018 - 5:08 PM ET #138

    Week 2

     

    Baltimore Ravens -0.5 L

     

    Atlanta Falcons -5.5

     

    Los Angeles Chargers -7.5

     

    Minnesota Vikings 0.5

     

    New Orleans Saints -8.5

     

    New York Jets -2.5

     

    Houston Texans -3

     

    Kansas City Chiefs +5.5

     

    Philadelphia Eagles -3

     

    Indianapolis Colts +6

     

    Arizona Cardinals +13.5

     

    Detroit Lions +6

     

    Denver Broncos -5.5

     

    New England Patriots -1

     

    New York Giants +3

     

    Seattle Seahawks 3.5

     

    Just some side notes - I like the KC pick - good value there.  Thinkin' parlay KC and UNDER.  Other picks the method made that I like are MIN & NYJ

    As always - these are just leans the method produced.  I don't bet every game and a lot of times I will make various bets based on Value - ie. Sides, Parlays, Teasers.  For example -I like a 6pt 3 team tease - MIN, NYJ, KC

    Best of luck this weekend

     

     

    Reply

    Week 2

     

    Baltimore Ravens -0.5 L

     

    Atlanta Falcons -5.5

     

    Los Angeles Chargers -7.5

     

    Minnesota Vikings 0.5

     

    New Orleans Saints -8.5

     

    New York Jets -2.5

     

    Houston Texans -3

     

    Kansas City Chiefs +5.5

     

    Philadelphia Eagles -3

     

    Indianapolis Colts +6

     

    Arizona Cardinals +13.5

     

    Detroit Lions +6

     

    Denver Broncos -5.5

     

    New England Patriots -1

     

    New York Giants +3

     

    Seattle Seahawks 3.5

     

    Just some side notes - I like the KC pick - good value there.  Thinkin' parlay KC and UNDER.  Other picks the method made that I like are MIN & NYJ

    As always - these are just leans the method produced.  I don't bet every game and a lot of times I will make various bets based on Value - ie. Sides, Parlays, Teasers.  For example -I like a 6pt 3 team tease - MIN, NYJ, KC

    Best of luck this weekend

     

     

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2018 - 6:19 PM ET #139

    WEEK 2 - More DISGUSTING - 6-10 37.5%

    Taking a deep dive into the numbers to see what may be wrong.  Only good news is bets are working out as I don't bet all the plays from the method - but I expect the method to be 55% + on the season - so something is wrong.

     

    Thursdays Pick

    CLE-3

    Reply

    WEEK 2 - More DISGUSTING - 6-10 37.5%

    Taking a deep dive into the numbers to see what may be wrong.  Only good news is bets are working out as I don't bet all the plays from the method - but I expect the method to be 55% + on the season - so something is wrong.

     

    Thursdays Pick

    CLE-3

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2018 - 5:20 PM ET #140

    Cleveland Browns -3 W

    New Orleans Saints 3.5

    Cincinnati Bengals 3.5

    Housten Texans -5.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5

    Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

    Oakland Raiders3.5

    Minnesota Vikings -16.5

    Indianapolis Colts +7

    Denver Broncos 5.5

    Washington Redskins +3

    Los Angeles Rams -7

    Chicago Bears -4.5

    Dallas Cowboys +2.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5

    Reply

    Cleveland Browns -3 W

    New Orleans Saints 3.5

    Cincinnati Bengals 3.5

    Housten Texans -5.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5

    Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

    Oakland Raiders3.5

    Minnesota Vikings -16.5

    Indianapolis Colts +7

    Denver Broncos 5.5

    Washington Redskins +3

    Los Angeles Rams -7

    Chicago Bears -4.5

    Dallas Cowboys +2.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2018 - 6:17 PM ET #141

    Week 3 - more of the same - i'll post one more week and then I think I have to go back to the lab and do a deep dive in the numbers.

    7 - 9  (43.75%)

    Reply

    Week 3 - more of the same - i'll post one more week and then I think I have to go back to the lab and do a deep dive in the numbers.

    7 - 9  (43.75%)

     
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2018 - 6:17 PM ET #142

    Los Angeles Rams -6.5 - W

    Atlanta Falcons -4

    Chicago Bears -2.5

    Houston Texans +1.5

    Dallas Cowboys -3

    Green Bay Packers -9.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Philadelphia Eagles -3.5

    Arizona Cardinals +3.5

    Oakland Raiders -2.5

    New York Giants +3.5

    Los Angeles Chargers -10

    Pittsburgh Steelers -3

    Denver Broncos +4.5

    Reply

    Los Angeles Rams -6.5 - W

    Atlanta Falcons -4

    Chicago Bears -2.5

    Houston Texans +1.5

    Dallas Cowboys -3

    Green Bay Packers -9.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Philadelphia Eagles -3.5

    Arizona Cardinals +3.5

    Oakland Raiders -2.5

    New York Giants +3.5

    Los Angeles Chargers -10

    Pittsburgh Steelers -3

    Denver Broncos +4.5

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