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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    DegenGamble's NFL handicapping method

    «First Previous 123456
    DegenGamble
    SteveBOL
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    «First Previous 123456
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:07 AM ET #126

    Atlanta Falcons 1.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers          -4

    Indianapolis Colts             -2.5

    Tennessee Titans             -1.5

    San Francisco 49ers         6.5

    New Orleans Saints         -9.5

    kansas City Chiefs            6.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars         -3

    Buffalo Bills         7.5

    Kansas City Chiefs            3.5

    Dallas Cowboys 3

    Arizona Cardinals             -1

    Denver Broncos -3

    Chicago Bears    7.5

    Detroit Lions      -6.5

    Los Angeles Rams            -4

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    Atlanta Falcons 1.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers          -4

    Indianapolis Colts             -2.5

    Tennessee Titans             -1.5

    San Francisco 49ers         6.5

    New Orleans Saints         -9.5

    kansas City Chiefs            6.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars         -3

    Buffalo Bills         7.5

    Kansas City Chiefs            3.5

    Dallas Cowboys 3

    Arizona Cardinals             -1

    Denver Broncos -3

    Chicago Bears    7.5

    Detroit Lions      -6.5

    Los Angeles Rams            -4

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:33 AM ET #127

    Ok so put the spreadsheet on g-drive.  Here is the link - I usually put preliminary leans on Tuesday as that's when the week's projections are available on the site I use.  I will then update again on Thursday for the Thursday night game and Saturday before the Sunday games.

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    Ok so put the spreadsheet on g-drive.  Here is the link - I usually put preliminary leans on Tuesday as that's when the week's projections are available on the site I use.  I will then update again on Thursday for the Thursday night game and Saturday before the Sunday games.

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:35 AM ET #128

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     

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    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:36 AM ET #129

    crap i can't past anything that looks like a link

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    crap i can't past anything that looks like a link

     
    SteveBOL
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 12:53 AM ET #130

    Hmm twitter or dm on here?
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    Hmm twitter or dm on here?
     
    rivermonsterz
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    Posted: Sep. 7, 2018 - 7:44 PM ET #131

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.

     

    bOL this season, last year was great!

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    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.

     

    bOL this season, last year was great!

     
    therealdutch
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    Posted: Sep. 9, 2018 - 11:09 AM ET #132

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

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    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 9:44 PM ET #133

    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

    Cut & Paste Error - it was HOU +6.5 - KC was listed twice

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    Quote Originally Posted by therealdutch:

    Don’t see the HOU v NE game up there degen. Just FYI. Didn’t know if that was intentional or accident

    Cut & Paste Error - it was HOU +6.5 - KC was listed twice

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 9:49 PM ET #134

    So 1 word for week 1 - DISGUSTING!!!!

    I don't want to even talk about it - I just want to forget about it and move to week 2.

    4-11-1   - 31.25%    an_brick

     

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    So 1 word for week 1 - DISGUSTING!!!!

    I don't want to even talk about it - I just want to forget about it and move to week 2.

    4-11-1   - 31.25%    an_brick

     

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 9:50 PM ET #135

    Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.   bOL this season, last year was great!

     

    I don't want to say the exact site since I scrape their site for their data and just in case - you know - but its one of the top 4 fantasy football sites

    ESPN, YAHOO, CBS SPORTS, NFL

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    Quote Originally Posted by rivermonsterz:

    Hey degen, just wondering what site you use. I want to tinker with this method and report the results back to thread to add to our collective knowledge.   bOL this season, last year was great!

     

    I don't want to say the exact site since I scrape their site for their data and just in case - you know - but its one of the top 4 fantasy football sites

    ESPN, YAHOO, CBS SPORTS, NFL

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 12, 2018 - 10:11 PM ET #136

    WEEK 2 - THURSDAY

    BAL - PK

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    WEEK 2 - THURSDAY

    BAL - PK

     
    fullback22
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    Posted: Sep. 14, 2018 - 5:47 PM ET #137

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     


    Would love to see the spreadsheet maybe DM?
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

     

    Wont let me post a link - so use the text above but make sure to add "h t t p s" in front no spaces

     


    Would love to see the spreadsheet maybe DM?
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 15, 2018 - 5:08 PM ET #138

    Week 2

     

    Baltimore Ravens -0.5 L

     

    Atlanta Falcons -5.5

     

    Los Angeles Chargers -7.5

     

    Minnesota Vikings 0.5

     

    New Orleans Saints -8.5

     

    New York Jets -2.5

     

    Houston Texans -3

     

    Kansas City Chiefs +5.5

     

    Philadelphia Eagles -3

     

    Indianapolis Colts +6

     

    Arizona Cardinals +13.5

     

    Detroit Lions +6

     

    Denver Broncos -5.5

     

    New England Patriots -1

     

    New York Giants +3

     

    Seattle Seahawks 3.5

     

    Just some side notes - I like the KC pick - good value there.  Thinkin' parlay KC and UNDER.  Other picks the method made that I like are MIN & NYJ

    As always - these are just leans the method produced.  I don't bet every game and a lot of times I will make various bets based on Value - ie. Sides, Parlays, Teasers.  For example -I like a 6pt 3 team tease - MIN, NYJ, KC

    Best of luck this weekend

     

     

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    Week 2

     

    Baltimore Ravens -0.5 L

     

    Atlanta Falcons -5.5

     

    Los Angeles Chargers -7.5

     

    Minnesota Vikings 0.5

     

    New Orleans Saints -8.5

     

    New York Jets -2.5

     

    Houston Texans -3

     

    Kansas City Chiefs +5.5

     

    Philadelphia Eagles -3

     

    Indianapolis Colts +6

     

    Arizona Cardinals +13.5

     

    Detroit Lions +6

     

    Denver Broncos -5.5

     

    New England Patriots -1

     

    New York Giants +3

     

    Seattle Seahawks 3.5

     

    Just some side notes - I like the KC pick - good value there.  Thinkin' parlay KC and UNDER.  Other picks the method made that I like are MIN & NYJ

    As always - these are just leans the method produced.  I don't bet every game and a lot of times I will make various bets based on Value - ie. Sides, Parlays, Teasers.  For example -I like a 6pt 3 team tease - MIN, NYJ, KC

    Best of luck this weekend

     

     

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2018 - 6:19 PM ET #139

    WEEK 2 - More DISGUSTING - 6-10 37.5%

    Taking a deep dive into the numbers to see what may be wrong.  Only good news is bets are working out as I don't bet all the plays from the method - but I expect the method to be 55% + on the season - so something is wrong.

     

    Thursdays Pick

    CLE-3

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    WEEK 2 - More DISGUSTING - 6-10 37.5%

    Taking a deep dive into the numbers to see what may be wrong.  Only good news is bets are working out as I don't bet all the plays from the method - but I expect the method to be 55% + on the season - so something is wrong.

     

    Thursdays Pick

    CLE-3

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 22, 2018 - 5:20 PM ET #140

    Cleveland Browns -3 W

    New Orleans Saints 3.5

    Cincinnati Bengals 3.5

    Housten Texans -5.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5

    Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

    Oakland Raiders3.5

    Minnesota Vikings -16.5

    Indianapolis Colts +7

    Denver Broncos 5.5

    Washington Redskins +3

    Los Angeles Rams -7

    Chicago Bears -4.5

    Dallas Cowboys +2.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5

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    Cleveland Browns -3 W

    New Orleans Saints 3.5

    Cincinnati Bengals 3.5

    Housten Texans -5.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5

    Kansas City Chiefs -6.5

    Oakland Raiders3.5

    Minnesota Vikings -16.5

    Indianapolis Colts +7

    Denver Broncos 5.5

    Washington Redskins +3

    Los Angeles Rams -7

    Chicago Bears -4.5

    Dallas Cowboys +2.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5

     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2018 - 6:17 PM ET #141

    Week 3 - more of the same - i'll post one more week and then I think I have to go back to the lab and do a deep dive in the numbers.

    7 - 9  (43.75%)

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    Week 3 - more of the same - i'll post one more week and then I think I have to go back to the lab and do a deep dive in the numbers.

    7 - 9  (43.75%)

     
     
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: Sep. 29, 2018 - 6:17 PM ET #142

    Los Angeles Rams -6.5 - W

    Atlanta Falcons -4

    Chicago Bears -2.5

    Houston Texans +1.5

    Dallas Cowboys -3

    Green Bay Packers -9.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Philadelphia Eagles -3.5

    Arizona Cardinals +3.5

    Oakland Raiders -2.5

    New York Giants +3.5

    Los Angeles Chargers -10

    Pittsburgh Steelers -3

    Denver Broncos +4.5

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    Los Angeles Rams -6.5 - W

    Atlanta Falcons -4

    Chicago Bears -2.5

    Houston Texans +1.5

    Dallas Cowboys -3

    Green Bay Packers -9.5

    Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5

    New England Patriots -6.5

    Philadelphia Eagles -3.5

    Arizona Cardinals +3.5

    Oakland Raiders -2.5

    New York Giants +3.5

    Los Angeles Chargers -10

    Pittsburgh Steelers -3

    Denver Broncos +4.5

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