Milkman, your calculation is correct. Upon review I had an error in my excel formula. With yesterday's win we would now be up 7.4 units for the month of August.
Mark
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Milkman, your calculation is correct. Upon review I had an error in my excel formula. With yesterday's win we would now be up 7.4 units for the month of August.
Help me figure this out please. If my normal play is for $40, then what is my play on game 2, after losing game 1? Using your own personal money management. Also, what amount for games 3, 4, and 5.
Thanks pdi, I appreciate any feedback.
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Help me figure this out please. If my normal play is for $40, then what is my play on game 2, after losing game 1? Using your own personal money management. Also, what amount for games 3, 4, and 5.
Help me figure this out please. If my normal play is for $40, then what is my play on game 2, after losing game 1? Using your own personal money management. Also, what amount for games 3, 4, and 5.
Thanks pdi, I appreciate any feedback.
The easy way to determine your bet size is to divide your normal unit amount by the amount of the ML. So if you normally bet $40 and the ML is 150 and you're following a loss, you would do this: 40/150=$26.7
Therefore you are betting $26.7 to win $40 and break even. If there are multiple losses in a row, you add up your cummulative losses and then repeat, so let's say in the above scenario you lost game 2, you would then add $40 plus $26.7=$66.7. If the ML is 150, you do this: $66.7/150=$44.7 so that would be your new amount.
The objective here is to offset the losses with the least risk possible.
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Quote Originally Posted by eppy224:
Help me figure this out please. If my normal play is for $40, then what is my play on game 2, after losing game 1? Using your own personal money management. Also, what amount for games 3, 4, and 5.
Thanks pdi, I appreciate any feedback.
The easy way to determine your bet size is to divide your normal unit amount by the amount of the ML. So if you normally bet $40 and the ML is 150 and you're following a loss, you would do this: 40/150=$26.7
Therefore you are betting $26.7 to win $40 and break even. If there are multiple losses in a row, you add up your cummulative losses and then repeat, so let's say in the above scenario you lost game 2, you would then add $40 plus $26.7=$66.7. If the ML is 150, you do this: $66.7/150=$44.7 so that would be your new amount.
The objective here is to offset the losses with the least risk possible.
The easy way to determine your bet size is to divide your normal unit amount by the amount of the ML. So if you normally bet $40 and the ML is 150 and you're following a loss, you would do this: 40/150=$26.7
Therefore you are betting $26.7 to win $40 and break even. If there are multiple losses in a row, you add up your cummulative losses and then repeat, so let's say in the above scenario you lost game 2, you would then add $40 plus $26.7=$66.7. If the ML is 150, you do this: $66.7/150=$44.7 so that would be your new amount.
The objective here is to offset the losses with the least risk possible.
Thanks for the info. You too Boonrassi. By the way sdi, what are your plans for football and basketball?
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Quote Originally Posted by sdiinc:
The easy way to determine your bet size is to divide your normal unit amount by the amount of the ML. So if you normally bet $40 and the ML is 150 and you're following a loss, you would do this: 40/150=$26.7
Therefore you are betting $26.7 to win $40 and break even. If there are multiple losses in a row, you add up your cummulative losses and then repeat, so let's say in the above scenario you lost game 2, you would then add $40 plus $26.7=$66.7. If the ML is 150, you do this: $66.7/150=$44.7 so that would be your new amount.
The objective here is to offset the losses with the least risk possible.
Thanks for the info. You too Boonrassi. By the way sdi, what are your plans for football and basketball?
do u think it is possible to do with NHL? since it is also a moneyline sport like baseball, but the formula will need to be modified as there are no listed pitchers...goalies?
looking forward to your nfl picks as well. GL
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do u think it is possible to do with NHL? since it is also a moneyline sport like baseball, but the formula will need to be modified as there are no listed pitchers...goalies?
do u think it is possible to do with NHL? since it is also a moneyline sport like baseball, but the formula will need to be modified as there are no listed pitchers...goalies?
looking forward to your nfl picks as well. GL
Yes, a similar approach works with NHL, obviously the factors are different but identifying dogs with a better change of winning than the ML value is still an opportunity. I only did half the season last year so I don't have as much experience with that.
I do make NFL picks but they are based on a very different formula, and it is not necessarily dogs.
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Quote Originally Posted by twoface:
do u think it is possible to do with NHL? since it is also a moneyline sport like baseball, but the formula will need to be modified as there are no listed pitchers...goalies?
looking forward to your nfl picks as well. GL
Yes, a similar approach works with NHL, obviously the factors are different but identifying dogs with a better change of winning than the ML value is still an opportunity. I only did half the season last year so I don't have as much experience with that.
I do make NFL picks but they are based on a very different formula, and it is not necessarily dogs.
cool. do u think u can tell me how u come up with the nhl picks? cuz i would love to try it this season. i know there are tons of baseball and football systems out there, but i have yet to come across a system/approach to a profitable nhl season.
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cool. do u think u can tell me how u come up with the nhl picks? cuz i would love to try it this season. i know there are tons of baseball and football systems out there, but i have yet to come across a system/approach to a profitable nhl season.
Something that should be kept in mind is the "HUMAN ELEMENT". I bet only on games I fully understand. I have been looking for patterns in games using a database. I have found several patterns that consistantly pay off. For MLB it happens for a very short period between mid June and end of July.
Anyway the point what your talk about is not new. Each capper has their own feel for games. I can only offer 2 pieces of adivce. Never be with emotion and learn as much as you can about the game your betting on.
The key to winning is easy. Your going to win and your going to lose, the trick is to bet bigger on the days you win.
Good luck
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Something that should be kept in mind is the "HUMAN ELEMENT". I bet only on games I fully understand. I have been looking for patterns in games using a database. I have found several patterns that consistantly pay off. For MLB it happens for a very short period between mid June and end of July.
Anyway the point what your talk about is not new. Each capper has their own feel for games. I can only offer 2 pieces of adivce. Never be with emotion and learn as much as you can about the game your betting on.
The key to winning is easy. Your going to win and your going to lose, the trick is to bet bigger on the days you win.
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