Posted:
#201
FRIDAY
nba
ATL-CHA UNDER
GS-DET UNDER
MIN-LAL OVER
ncaab
STJ-NOTRE UNDER
PRINC-COLU UNDER
HARV-BROWN UNDER
PENN-CORN OVER
NCWIL-HOF OVER
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Basketball over / under system
Posted:
#206
Calin.... I've been reading your posts.
I see you changed the system a couple different times throughout the last couple of weeks. Can you tell me one last time what u are doing to come up with your plays?
Are you using the numbers from how these teams play on the road as compared to home?
Is this the formula: (Avg off home + Avg def home) for one team plus (avg def away + avg off away) for the other team divided by 2??? If there is a pretty big difference in the over/under then thats what you go with?
Am I missing a step? Much appreciated if you could let me know.
Thx, Calin.
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Posted:
#222
So, the final picks are:
NBA
New Orleans-Washington under 192.5
Chicago-Orlando over 204.5
New York-Detroit under 206.5
Memphis-Minnesota over 199.5
Lakers-Houston over 201
Dallas-Portland under 196
NCAAB
Stanford-Oregon State under 126.5
Seton Hall-Syracuse over 152.5
Oregon-Washington State under 121
Cal State Fullerton-UC Riverside under 130
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Posted:
#224
It's time to draw a conclusion:
I didn't find any formula based on numbers to pick winning totals because there is not such a thing.
The conclusion is that we should handicap the situation and not the game. The bookies wants us to handicap the games and pick what they want us to pick (most favoured result according to statistics). The most suitable approach is a particular approach for every matchup. That requires hard work, patience, inspiration and luck.
I've been trying all sorts of formulas using only the number so I can pick a big number of games with a pretty decent success rate, but my trials failed for every formula used.
So, I think I have no system based on numbers and I won't look for something like that no more.
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Posted:
#225
Quote Originally Posted by calinreddog:
I didn't find any formula based on numbers to pick winning totals because there is not such a thing.
The conclusion is that we should handicap the situation and not the game. The bookies wants us to handicap the games and pick what they want us to pick (most favoured result according to statistics). The most suitable approach is a particular approach for every matchup. That requires hard work, patience, inspiration and luck.
I've been trying all sorts of formulas using only the number so I can pick a big number of games with a pretty decent success rate, but my trials failed for every formula used.
So, I think I have no system based on numbers and I won't look for something like that no more.
eureka ! 
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