Posted:
#701
Quote Originally Posted by Leprechaun:
As I numbers guy, and a neutral observer, I thought I'd briefly weigh in on this topic and try to help out a little. The fact of the matter is, you're both right. Yes, you will eventually lose 7 in a row...there is no doubt about that. It's a certainty. Eagle, for record purposes...what you post is what matters. What you "would have" posted means absolutely nothing. You lost 7 straight. Not much more to say there so quit trying to qualify it. But your point is still made as you are still in the black. That gets me to what you are missing DJ...losing 7 in a row does not necessarily equal going broke. It definitely means you profit slowly...and it might mean that the risk vs. reward doesn't make the whole thing worth it (for some), but it does not mean you will lose money. If people who follow eagle understand that and are comfortable with the slow long grind of profiting, that is their perogative. They could probably do the same on their own, but if they want to pay a few bucks for it, who cares. Eagle isn't cheating anyone or trying to fool anyone. He very well could profit in the long term, albeit slowly, even though you don't like his premise. I also think 6 or 7 game chases is too many to make it worth it (and almost inevitably people will chicken out before it gets that far), but I acknowledge that the strategy can work if you manage your bankroll right. You won't be buying any new houses anytime soon though.
Leprechaun
As I numbers guy, and a neutral observer, I thought I'd briefly weigh in on this topic and try to help out a little. The fact of the matter is, you're both right. Yes, you will eventually lose 7 in a row...there is no doubt about that. It's a certainty. Eagle, for record purposes...what you post is what matters. What you "would have" posted means absolutely nothing. You lost 7 straight. Not much more to say there so quit trying to qualify it. But your point is still made as you are still in the black. That gets me to what you are missing DJ...losing 7 in a row does not necessarily equal going broke. It definitely means you profit slowly...and it might mean that the risk vs. reward doesn't make the whole thing worth it (for some), but it does not mean you will lose money. If people who follow eagle understand that and are comfortable with the slow long grind of profiting, that is their perogative. They could probably do the same on their own, but if they want to pay a few bucks for it, who cares. Eagle isn't cheating anyone or trying to fool anyone. He very well could profit in the long term, albeit slowly, even though you don't like his premise. I also think 6 or 7 game chases is too many to make it worth it (and almost inevitably people will chicken out before it gets that far), but I acknowledge that the strategy can work if you manage your bankroll right. You won't be buying any new houses anytime soon though.
Leprechaun
i totally agree, unposted picks should never even be mentioned. had he chosed a 7th game that wouldve lost but wasnt able to get it posted, and then wound up winning, would he be on here saying "wow im lucky my true 7th pick wasnt able to be posted because it wouldve been a loser"? hell no, we would never have even known that unposted pick existed.
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