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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2013 Automated Buddah system spreadsheet

    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
    BuckeyeKaptn
    King Creole42
    DegenGamble
    RommiRommi
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 10306
    Posts: 70
    «First Previous 123 Next Last»
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 26, 2013 - 6:54 PM ET #26

    5/26: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 8-3 +4.22u
    2-0 2u
    Det Win +100
    Tb  Win +100

    Reply
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    5/26: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 8-3 +4.22u
    2-0 2u
    Det Win +100
    Tb  Win +100

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 27, 2013 - 10:14 AM ET #27

    5/27: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 8-3 +4.22u
    Det (1)...(Yes, again)


    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

    Reply
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    5/27: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 8-3 +4.22u
    Det (1)...(Yes, again)


    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 27, 2013 - 5:11 PM ET #28

    5/27: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 9-3 +5.22u
    Det Win
    Reply
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    5/27: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 9-3 +5.22u
    Det Win
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 28, 2013 - 6:16 PM ET #29

    5/28: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 9-3 +5.22u
    Nym (2)
    Lad (2)


    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    5/28: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 9-3 +5.22u
    Nym (2)
    Lad (2)


    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

     
    King Creole42
    King Creole42
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    Posts: 774
    Posted: May. 28, 2013 - 7:17 PM ET #30

    thanks for the system!
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    thanks for the system!
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 29, 2013 - 4:44 PM ET #31

    5/28: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 11-3 +7.22u
    2-0 +2.00u
    Nym Win
    Lad Win
    Reply
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    5/28: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 11-3 +7.22u
    2-0 +2.00u
    Nym Win
    Lad Win
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 29, 2013 - 4:47 PM ET #32

    5/27: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 11-3 +7.22u
    Phi (1)

    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    5/27: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 11-3 +7.22u
    Phi (1)

    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 6:52 AM ET #33

    5/29: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
    Phi WIN

    Reply
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    5/29: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
    Phi WIN

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 6:54 AM ET #34

    5/30: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
    Laa (1)
    Det (1)
    Stl (1)

    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    5/30: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
    Laa (1)
    Det (1)
    Stl (1)

    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 6:55 AM ET #35

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    5/29: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
    Phi WIN

    Philly was a +1.26 unit win
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    5/29: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
    Phi WIN

    Philly was a +1.26 unit win
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 1150
    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 10:05 AM ET #36

    Very promising on unofficial plays - hitting at 80% - we just need more data to get official plays - imagine if we had 5 years worth? 

    So that got me to thinking on how we could replicate it - we can't calculate NPERA - but we could use ERA and rank the pitchers that way - after further examination you can calculate MOB and RICKEY.

    I'll look into it further.
    Reply
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    Very promising on unofficial plays - hitting at 80% - we just need more data to get official plays - imagine if we had 5 years worth? 

    So that got me to thinking on how we could replicate it - we can't calculate NPERA - but we could use ERA and rank the pitchers that way - after further examination you can calculate MOB and RICKEY.

    I'll look into it further.
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 1:30 PM ET #37

    What about WHIP?
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    What about WHIP?
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 3:26 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    What about WHIP?

    Yeah - I could rank by WHIP rather than ERA.

    It "appears" that pitchers are ranked in each TIER in Sagarin's Rankings by NPERA.  If you look at the players ERA right next to it can be way out of whack - so I have to figure out a way to rank the players that mirrors normalized ERA
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    What about WHIP?

    Yeah - I could rank by WHIP rather than ERA.

    It "appears" that pitchers are ranked in each TIER in Sagarin's Rankings by NPERA.  If you look at the players ERA right next to it can be way out of whack - so I have to figure out a way to rank the players that mirrors normalized ERA
     
    DegenGamble
    DegenGamble
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    Posted: May. 30, 2013 - 3:45 PM ET #39

    Any ideas?
    Reply
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    Any ideas?
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 31, 2013 - 6:56 AM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Any ideas?
    Not at the moment, just woke up,lol!  I've never followed baseball like I have this year, from a bettor perspective.  Before this year, I was more of a casual fan, so while Saragin, RPI, WHIP etc. I knew, I didn't bother with. 
    As far as with Excel, I'm still learning about Macros and formulas etc.  Could you copy into a sheet, and then do the sort function from lowest to highest?
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

    Any ideas?
    Not at the moment, just woke up,lol!  I've never followed baseball like I have this year, from a bettor perspective.  Before this year, I was more of a casual fan, so while Saragin, RPI, WHIP etc. I knew, I didn't bother with. 
    As far as with Excel, I'm still learning about Macros and formulas etc.  Could you copy into a sheet, and then do the sort function from lowest to highest?
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 31, 2013 - 7:01 AM ET #41

    5/30: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 13-5  +6.55u
    1-2  -1.93
    Laa WIN  +100
    Det LOSS  -123
    Stl LOSS  -170
    Reply
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    5/30: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 13-5  +6.55u
    1-2  -1.93
    Laa WIN  +100
    Det LOSS  -123
    Stl LOSS  -170
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 31, 2013 - 1:40 PM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Not at the moment, just woke up,lol!  I've never followed baseball like I have this year, from a bettor perspective.  Before this year, I was more of a casual fan, so while Saragin, RPI, WHIP etc. I knew, I didn't bother with. 
    As far as with Excel, I'm still learning about Macros and formulas etc.  Could you copy into a sheet, and then do the sort function from lowest to highest?
    What I meant to say is....Is it possible to copy then sort?
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Not at the moment, just woke up,lol!  I've never followed baseball like I have this year, from a bettor perspective.  Before this year, I was more of a casual fan, so while Saragin, RPI, WHIP etc. I knew, I didn't bother with. 
    As far as with Excel, I'm still learning about Macros and formulas etc.  Could you copy into a sheet, and then do the sort function from lowest to highest?
    What I meant to say is....Is it possible to copy then sort?
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Posts: 1447
    Posted: May. 31, 2013 - 5:23 PM ET #43

    5/31: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 13-5  +6.55u
    Oak (1)
    Cin (1)


    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    5/31: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 13-5  +6.55u
    Oak (1)
    Cin (1)


    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: Jun. 1, 2013 - 6:52 AM ET #44

    I have to work, so I won't have any possible 1pm games for you, maybe even the 4pm games.

    5/31: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 15-5  +8.55u
    2-0 2u
    Oak WIN
    Cin WIN
    Reply
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    I have to work, so I won't have any possible 1pm games for you, maybe even the 4pm games.

    5/31: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: YTD 15-5  +8.55u
    2-0 2u
    Oak WIN
    Cin WIN
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: Jun. 1, 2013 - 6:57 AM ET #45

    6/1: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: 15-5  +8.55u
    Chc (1)



    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

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    6/1: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: 15-5  +8.55u
    Chc (1)



    *Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

    **In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

    Units are based on Covers closing Line.

    All information on the system is located on the system tab.

     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: Jun. 1, 2013 - 6:58 AM ET #46

    Pitchers and odds were available.  That's your game
    GL
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    Pitchers and odds were available.  That's your game
    GL
     
    RommiRommi
    RommiRommi
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    Posts: 58
    Posted: Jun. 1, 2013 - 9:24 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Pitchers and odds were available.  That's your game
    GL
    can you share MLB DB please?
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    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

    Pitchers and odds were available.  That's your game
    GL
    can you share MLB DB please?
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: Jun. 1, 2013 - 1:31 PM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    can you share MLB DB please?

    https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5Zd2thUGhibEhuRWM/edit?usp=sharing

    Up to date through yesterday's games and today's play.
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    Quote Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

    can you share MLB DB please?

    https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5Zd2thUGhibEhuRWM/edit?usp=sharing

    Up to date through yesterday's games and today's play.
     
    RommiRommi
    RommiRommi
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2013
    Posts: 58
    Posted: Jun. 1, 2013 - 2:09 PM ET #49

    thank you
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    thank you
     
     
    BuckeyeKaptn
    BuckeyeKaptn
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    Joined: Jan, 2013
    Posts: 1447
    Posted: Jun. 2, 2013 - 12:42 PM ET #50

    6/1: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: 15-6  +7.13u

    Chc LOSS -1.42

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    6/1: 0-0 0units

    No Official Plays

    Unofficial Plays*: 15-6  +7.13u

    Chc LOSS -1.42

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