Struggling to keep up with my updates and research... much easier without responsibility. this is the time of year where teams will start to get desperate and do things a little crazy.
mentioned before i like looking for overs, but the basic scenario i'd ideally find is a game that i'm expecting to be a 4-8 point outcome. the main factors i look for are my perceived tempo (possessions per game), 3-point attempts and at least some level of respectability in knocking them down, and at least free-throw shooting on the team I expect to be in front.
additional factors are tempo numbers on the team i expect to be in front (I want them to keep pace up when they get a 6-point lead), individual guard play where someone can go off for big games (hot hand tends to shoot a little quicker), and peripheral numbers that i can use to logically explain why a line is lower than i would expect (i.e. they just played a run of teams that prefer low-scoring games and recent biases are skewed to fewer points).
if i get the time, i'll be posting the thoughts. if not, good luck all 
Va Tech/Miami over 137.5 today.
Both of their previous games have gone well over that number. they combine to make on average about 18 3's a game (I'm looking for ~15/game minimum on average combined), Va Tech is pretty heavily favored, and most money is on Va Tech covering the ~-8, so it's a little beyond the range i would normally like, but if the game ends near that number i can see Miami forcing the issue and/or fouling earlier. Va Tech is pretty good from the line as well in those circumstances.
Welcome to the NBA Finals- After doing some research I'm taking the Over in this game. Despite the Raptors Defensive prowess these teams have gone over the Total in 7 of their last 12 games. I expect Curry and Thompson to be on point for what should be an easy Over. Good Luck to everybody.
I finally got a streak above 2 going. It's been awhile for Smoothd to get some traction. So with all that being said I say take the Under in the Stanley Cup tonight. Despite the fact Boston blew out St.Louis in Game 3 I'm expecting a much closer game and in traditional Stanley Cup action, I'm expecting a low scoring game. Both have excellent Goallies. St. Louis Goaltender Binnington is a Rookie and will surely look to make up for the disaster that was Game 3 when he gave up 7 goals. Also the last 7 times that the Total was set at 5.5 the Under has come in 6 times. So the Under should be a good play for tonight. Good Luck and I see you at the Cashier's window.
As some of you know I've made a killing on the CFL the last few Summers. I like Ottawa tonight -4.5 over Saskatchewan. At this time Covers took it off the board for Survivor but they may put it back up. You guys know how the game is played. At any rate take Ottawa on your streaks if you can and definitely bet it with your Books. Good Luck to everybody! 
Mctrap has made his choice for his W22. He's going with the Over tomorrow in San Diego-Pittsburgh game. The line is 8.5. San Diego has been extremely hot with the bats lately and Pittsburgh is also hot. Both teams have going over the Total consistently. The bottomline is it looks like a good pick for Mctrap, so ride his train while we can make some money.
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