Posted:
#7651
Bama-Maybe it's good thing you weren't able to pick Florida since you have them playing the wrong team. Murray St was already eliminated. 
Serious Streak Survivor Strategies
My only hope looking at my rivals is that Kentucky and North Carolina get knocked off in the next round but not this round I still need points. 
Posted:
#7654
Wow, just wow. Michigan St. just out hustled by Louisville....Was climbing the ladder in the bracket contest and had all of my final four teams still alive until Michigan st. last night... Oh well.
The Orange didn't cover the game, They were lucky to come away with a win as Wisconsin was shooting lights out with the 3 ball. But I was able to win some on the moneyline.....
I want to thank my book I use here in Vegas for coming out with In-game betting for this tournament. I just happened to notice it when I was scrolling through the lines on my phone. As I was watching Michigan St getting whooped on, the line kept going from michigan st +6, to +7 to +8 and I kept biting! 
Thinking they would make a little run to make it tight toward the end. PUT THE PHONE DOWN! PUT THE PHONE DOWN! 
That's O.K. Bama, I think Florida is ready to Chomp through whoever they run across. They are looking good.
Posted:
#7655
Bama called it right. I must admit I underestimated Florida. I thought because they have had it relatively easy so far that the battle tested Marquette would beat them. That's what I get for thinking.
My streak is over on Bovada. I have had a relatively good week on Survivor and Bovada. I had my longest streak on Survivor since Xmas, one win away from Captown before I was shot down by the Coyotes-Stars going over. My run on Bovada has replenished all my earlier winnings from the Super Bowl so I'm back in the saddle again. With a little discipline maybe I can take that balance even higher. Good luck to everyone this weekend!
My streak is over on Bovada. I have had a relatively good week on Survivor and Bovada. I had my longest streak on Survivor since Xmas, one win away from Captown before I was shot down by the Coyotes-Stars going over. My run on Bovada has replenished all my earlier winnings from the Super Bowl so I'm back in the saddle again. With a little discipline maybe I can take that balance even higher. Good luck to everyone this weekend!
Posted:
#7656
Just a thought and a observation about myself and to see if anybody else experiences this as well. When I'm playing the streaks. I pretty much look at a few games and go with my basic formula of going against a really cold team or going with a hot team in a given circumstance. I also rely on historical data dating back to last season sometimes 2 years it just depends. But once my streak hits 6 I start to look deeper as the pressure mounts. I tend to over analyze and start second and third guessing myself. Inevitably I seem to pick the wrong game and the other games l looked at turn out to be right. Very frustrating because it seems that if I just trust my gut more in that situation my streaks would last longer. Perhaps Crush or Whitesmith can share their thoughts on this and how they handled the pressure of high streaks since you guys have the highest streaks of $25 Dime Club Members.
Posted:
#7657
It definately gets harder to press the submit button the longer your streak is. And if you get past the 17 mark, all that is on your mind is how close the 25,000 is.... My streak ended at 18. So I know thewhitesmith at 20 was feeling the weight of that money.
I waited 5 days before taking that final pick to end my streak, and there were plenty of games I loved that I just couldn't pull the trigger on. Arizona had a nice run at that time, and I came so close, but no.
I don't put a lot of time into stats and past performances against certain matchups just for the fact I feel a manager, team, or pitcher are going to adjust for their previous failures. That's why I say stats are only as true as the game that is about to be played.
My streak ended on a gut play with the St. Louis Cardinals that of course ended up winning the World Series. The only reason why I bring that up is a couple of people couldn't understand why I took them at the time, as they were playing the mighty Milwaukee Brewers. The Cards had just gotten Edwin Jackson from the White Sox. He got whooped on by the Brewers at Milwaukee, and 6 days later would be making his home debut in front of the crowd at St. Louis. I knew the Brew Crew were hot, but I felt St Louis was ready for some payback. Jackson got down a couple of runs, but held his own. St Louis just wasn't hitting the ball that well. Especially PUJOLS, that went 0-5 or 0-6. And had multiple opportunities with men on base. The game did end up going to extra innings which made my heart race like crazy again just to ache after they gave up 2 runs in the 10th, then lost.
I would have taken them again in that spot. But I do wish I would have trusted myself to take a few other games that I balked on before that one. I say if you have a feeling, go for it. Then you won't have the feeling of regret for what you feel you should have done. NO GUTS, NO GLORY!!!!
Ahhh, I love Baseball. I don't think I've ever passed 8 on any other sport.
Posted:
#7662
Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:
Bama-Maybe it's good thing you weren't able to pick Florida since you have them playing the wrong team. Murray St was already eliminated.
Bama-Maybe it's good thing you weren't able to pick Florida since you have them playing the wrong team. Murray St was already eliminated.
Oops! I meant Marquette the whole time! Really...lol - I had been poring over the last 10 games for each squad and somehow got Murray State on the brain. At any rate, The Gators came through for me as I did get them on Streak Survivor and SFTC. I waited, but I had to settle for +1 as the line shifted Florida's way as the night wore on closer to tip.These Gators are tough to put down.I really needed the Survivor win to break out of a mini 5 game slump. I was sorry to see you on the other side and regret that they bit you. That made their win bittersweet for me, since I knew you had real world money riding on the outcome.
I just saw that Marquette had only beaten BYU ( they were the winners of the play-in game) and then Murray State pushed them. The win over Murray State failed to impress me because Marquette should have blown them out of the gym if they were real. Florida, on the other hand, won both games by 30+ points each. Virginia, an ACC team, had everyone bragging about their tough defense and the Gators completely demoralized them in embarassing fashion. Norfolk State surprised Final Four candidate Missouri, proving they were a good team in the process, and yet again the Gators beat them like they stole something precious.
How far will these Gators go? I anticipate a really intense battle tomorrow with Louisville and Coach Pitino. When pressed, I believe that Coach Donovan and his Gators will prevail against his mentor. I'm not recommending this play for anyone else, but I may just take a shot with Florida -1.5 tomorrow.
I was also sorry to see you shot down in the outskirts of Captown. We must rally together and ride in as the Band of Streaking Outlaws that we are! There is strenght in numbers. My fortunes have been bare this month as I have endured a series of slumps. Good luck, Smooth! Good luck $25 Dime Club - We ride!
Posted:
#7663
@ Crushalot - That is so funny in a way and so not funny in another! PUT THE PHONE DOWN! NOW! I wish that one had worked out better for you.
I respected Wisconsin, but still thought that the 'Cuse would win by five or more. That was a tough game to cap with Melo out due to his troubles. I'm glad you collected on the ML and I thought that they would cover you Survivor pick. Tomorrow, I think the road ends for Syracuse after seeing Ohio State manhandle a physical Cincinnati bunch.
I agree with you about Florida. They were flying under the radar a bit. They have now proven that they will be a force to be reckoned with. Everyone is certainly on notice now and the word is out. Protect your ass! There are Gators chomping in these parts!I can't believe a Bama fan like me is so high on them! They have earned my admiration.
I respected Wisconsin, but still thought that the 'Cuse would win by five or more. That was a tough game to cap with Melo out due to his troubles. I'm glad you collected on the ML and I thought that they would cover you Survivor pick. Tomorrow, I think the road ends for Syracuse after seeing Ohio State manhandle a physical Cincinnati bunch.
I agree with you about Florida. They were flying under the radar a bit. They have now proven that they will be a force to be reckoned with. Everyone is certainly on notice now and the word is out. Protect your ass! There are Gators chomping in these parts!
I can't believe a Bama fan like me is so high on them! They have earned my admiration.
Posted:
#7665
I'm alive for yet another parlay as I took all the dogs in the tournament. Xavier pulled it out ATS now Ohio is winning straight up. This would be great because so many people have NC in their brackets. I want everybody's bracket busted just like mine. LOL. At any rate I have a lot bets going tonight so If I can eeek out a profit that would be good. The way I see it I'm playing with house money anyways. 
Posted:
#7666
Quote Originally Posted by Dblazed:
NBA Boston Celtics +6.5, holla @ a playa when u see him in tha street
NBA Boston Celtics +6.5, holla @ a playa when u see him in tha street
We see you playa! Welcome to our house. This is the $25 Dime Club. We all about stacking dollas and burning the books. The only requirement is you gotta ride if you really down with us. 
Let's ride padna!
Let's ride padna!
Posted:
#7667
It is a tough night to cap. The numbers seem close to what the outcomes should be. I passed on my favorite gut pick of the night which would have been a winner with the Milwaukee Bucks -7. My first instinct usually wins more often than not, but when you are slumping you begin to doubt yourself. Don't act as if you guys didn't see my 12 game losing streak on SFTC this month! Epic!
After doing some quality research, I finally settled on the Utah Jazz -1.5. I feel that this line offers tremendous value for the streaking home Jazz here against Denver who will be without Gallinari and Fernandez with Miller also npt one hundred percent. Utah won the last meeting earlier this season at Denver by 10 after losing the other meeting, also in Denver. Utah, meanwhile, is looking for their sixth win in a row and seventh straight home win.
UTAH JAZZ -1.5
After doing some quality research, I finally settled on the Utah Jazz -1.5. I feel that this line offers tremendous value for the streaking home Jazz here against Denver who will be without Gallinari and Fernandez with Miller also npt one hundred percent. Utah won the last meeting earlier this season at Denver by 10 after losing the other meeting, also in Denver. Utah, meanwhile, is looking for their sixth win in a row and seventh straight home win.
UTAH JAZZ -1.5
Posted:
#7669
Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:
I'm alive for yet another parlay as I took all the dogs in the tournament. Xavier pulled it out ATS now Ohio is winning straight up. This would be great because so many people have NC in their brackets. I want everybody's bracket busted just like mine. LOL. At any rate I have a lot bets going tonight so If I can eeek out a profit that would be good. The way I see it I'm playing with house money anyways.
Good luck, Smooth! OVERTIME! Unreal, Baby! I'm alive for yet another parlay as I took all the dogs in the tournament. Xavier pulled it out ATS now Ohio is winning straight up. This would be great because so many people have NC in their brackets. I want everybody's bracket busted just like mine. LOL. At any rate I have a lot bets going tonight so If I can eeek out a profit that would be good. The way I see it I'm playing with house money anyways.
The loss of a point guard can be devastating so I am not surprised, but it is still shocking to see this happen to the Heels.
Posted:
#7670
Crush-That was a great post with terrific insight into the psychic when you have big streaks. I can only imagine the pressure you feel once you get past 17. I can't get past 10 and I like I said I start feeling it at 6 and it really amps up at 8 for me. But I think you're spot on when you say you just have to go with your gut. Too much analysis just isn't good. That post you put up should be bookmarked for anyone that gets a high streak. 
Posted:
#7672
I'm beginning to feel like I'm living I'm Vegas again. I'm betting everything. I'm out of control.
I can't believe I lost on both NHL games to inferior teams. New Jersey fell apart and lost to Toronto in OT after tying the game and the Caps are just horrific lately. Winnipeg is a decent team but the Caps have gone downhill fast this year just like my Sharks. So those 2 games cost me. I'm thinking about going with Bama on the Jazz and I do like them in this spot. Oh hell let's do it. I have the fever now!!!
I can't believe I lost on both NHL games to inferior teams. New Jersey fell apart and lost to Toronto in OT after tying the game and the Caps are just horrific lately. Winnipeg is a decent team but the Caps have gone downhill fast this year just like my Sharks. So those 2 games cost me. I'm thinking about going with Bama on the Jazz and I do like them in this spot. Oh hell let's do it. I have the fever now!!!
Posted:
#7673
Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:
Just a thought and a observation about myself and to see if anybody else experiences this as well. When I'm playing the streaks. I pretty much look at a few games and go with my basic formula of going against a really cold team or going with a hot team in a given circumstance. I also rely on historical data dating back to last season sometimes 2 years it just depends. But once my streak hits 6 I start to look deeper as the pressure mounts. I tend to over analyze and start second and third guessing myself. Inevitably I seem to pick the wrong game and the other games l looked at turn out to be right. Very frustrating because it seems that if I just trust my gut more in that situation my streaks would last longer. Perhaps Crush or Whitesmith can share their thoughts on this and how they handled the pressure of high streaks since you guys have the highest streaks of $25 Dime Club Members.
Just a thought and a observation about myself and to see if anybody else experiences this as well. When I'm playing the streaks. I pretty much look at a few games and go with my basic formula of going against a really cold team or going with a hot team in a given circumstance. I also rely on historical data dating back to last season sometimes 2 years it just depends. But once my streak hits 6 I start to look deeper as the pressure mounts. I tend to over analyze and start second and third guessing myself. Inevitably I seem to pick the wrong game and the other games l looked at turn out to be right. Very frustrating because it seems that if I just trust my gut more in that situation my streaks would last longer. Perhaps Crush or Whitesmith can share their thoughts on this and how they handled the pressure of high streaks since you guys have the highest streaks of $25 Dime Club Members.
Smooth, my approach to these Streak contests is very much the same as yours. I can't emphasize enough how much I LOVE to pick the hot teams against the cold teams. This is not always possible in moneyline sports due to the premium, but it can be especially effective in spread based sports like basketball and football. Like you, I also have a tendency to overlook the best matchups when I have a nice streak going. It is as if I look the gift horse in the mouth and find things not to like about the very best picks on the board, often forsaking them for some obscure, overthought, "overlooked gem" that winds up losing. I can only imagine the pressure Crush and theWhitesmith must have faced every day when they were on the hotseat; not to mention the extra pressure from the haters that always seem to come out of the woodwork whenever someone has an exceptional run. I really enjoyed Crushalot's perspective on this topic. He has confirmed that it is difficult to narrow your selection when you are looking down the crosshairs at the prize. I can almost hear the agony in his voice as he reminisces about that fun and trying time; and also how he still remembers clearly the minute details of every single at bat. The thing I take from this is what I agree with the most: that we should pick what we want based on our feelings rather than on what some statistical factors are telling us. If and when we lose a pick that we made with our hunches, it is far more easy to accept that loss than when we just throw something together because the stats tell us it is wise. There are other factors at work that our minds calculate for us in the background without us even knowing it. Things like revenge, emotion, and the streakiness of the teams involved, for instance.I will stop here because carpal tunnel syndrome is setting in.
It's a great topic, though.Good luck on your streaks!
Posted:
#7674
Alright now so I put $22 on Utah and and went $33 on my Lakers-Portland going over so right now I'm chasing. This isn't good but like I said I'm playing with house money so WTF! I'm out of control and have had a few beers and I'm just getting started. These are the kind of nights I would find myself in trouble in Vegas. It's a good thing I'm 900 miles away tonight.
These are the kind of nights I would find myself in trouble in Vegas. It's a good thing I'm 900 miles away tonight.
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