WORLD CUP TODAY PLAYS (6/23)

Someone please tell me that the second half will be 0-0….

Fuck unders. Not saying it as a knock. Everytime I take an under it loses lol. 

@vaas187

 Yeah unders are tough even when only one offense is dynamic they are tough.  All good..onto the next and im sure he will bounce back

FIFA is so damn hard to cap cause it’s international. Any small little changes can change players mind before and during the game : weather , temperature, horoscopes, stock market, crowd, debts , the other teams players, getting boo’ed, family members sick … I just want to say, enjoy the bet, don’t bet too much you can’t afford to lose because there’s way better bettings with higher probability like MLB or CFL. FIFA it’s max 100$ for me. Thanks for the picks !

On to the next 

Just had to get one more fucking goal with 5 min left sorry ass fuckers

@OneADayJ

 Tell me about it i had it at under 4 just for extra insurance and they had to squeeze that unnnecissary goal

I feel you, I had under 4.5 live too 

Next….

With all that said….ENG/GHANA probably ends 1-0. Winner clinches so both probably sit there tugging. 

At least this didn't end with only 4 goals but the Portugal game played out a lot like the Spain game.  Not going to use the early start time anymore as an omen and LOADS of really tasty games set for tomorrow.

England come into this clash on a huge high but are playing a Ghana team who have many players in the English Premier League and therefore will know the opponent.  The shitty thing is that I can see THIS game going under but that's juiced to -170 and I have zero intention of playing another under right out the gate, though as I said I do think it will cash.

One main reason I think the UNDER comes in is that England typically plays games that tally less than 4 goals in the game after they had one with over 4 goals.  Ghana on the other hand rarely if ever plays a game which has 4 total goals.  I do not see a way Ghana gets the win here but the question is how many will England win by.

Ghana haven’t scored before half-time in any of their last eight games and eight of Ghana’s last ten fixtures saw more goals after half-time than before.  I can't ignore that and even though England is juiced rather high for a half time result, I can take an Asian handicap and circumvent that juice which I think will at worst push given the just mentioned stat.  Then maybe a half time wager if things are going according to plan.

ENGLAND FH -1 (+104):  In the case they come up as fired up as last game and take it to Ghana this will cash.  I am not sure dropping -195 for a halftime play is smart so I opted for the goal line.  If oddsmakers think England can win the FH with that much certainty, then I feel better pushing this at worst and not losing more than the bet.

YES BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (GHANA/ENGLAND) +140:  I am not a fool I know that England has played many games where they do not give a goal, and many leading up to the World Cup.  But England's issue has been defensively and also a big reason I did not take the under.  Ghana has enough quality up front to get one in the back of the net and with odds like this I believe this is a good spot to recover the money we just lost.

I'm going to stay with both of these and hopefully roll into the next game with some profit.  Would be great to sweep both of these and I will be posting the Croatia/Panama play in a short bit when I update the numbers with the most recent loss.  

Congrats to all of those who profited on this game there was only one side to wager on but I tried to get cute and that cost me.  

@LAGameofInches

 Thank you for your picks

Yup lol...but at 1-0 you should put some solid cash on that b/c you can get back +650 or +3000.

Mann thnkfully Cr7 came thru but i threw winnings on 4-0 at half right before i was going cash out at double my money they score!!! Oh well I'm smash both to score with you LAGAMEOFINCHES!!!! THE BEST 

Also guys I'm sure you know this but Ghana is playing with their second choice GK.  Their top guy is/was really good but he's out with injury so that was a big reason I didn't try to go under here.  Could be worth a shot playing England over 2.5 and everyone is going to expect Kane to score.  

Another interesting read is that Ghana is only +105 to score so unless you think England will not get a goal the BTTS seems of much better value though that too has come down a bit.  

Any way you look at it, this is sports wagering and it's never going to be as easy as we tend to think.

@vaas187

 Seems to be way it has been going one blowout and everybody ready for next and tram just lays down.

BOL 

nice catch with the line comparison and seeing btts has more value

 I will also put harry Kane to score 2 its a real Gamble but fuck it world cup, I'm pretty sure he's been watching thz games n want some in on the party! Along with Croatia and Columbia to win 

Bang on UnrankedChamp.

Thanks for that valuable input to correct LAgameofInches stats … as he continues to SLAY with his insight.

So helpful to this thread.

Keep it up … can hardly wait for your analytical summary of FOK U totals.

Go 3 Lions.

Tuchel is the perfect manager for this team.

England -1.

I like your pick a lot LA I think Ghana can rattle one in the net Croatia is not some super power offensive team and they had 2 Croatia is a really good all around team from goalie to defense to midfield and the value like you said is both to score! You’re a smart capper! Thank you for the picks and your time and let’s win and have a fun game!!!

good value play

england fh/ england game with btts   pays +396

That really is solid it's just so crazy how juiced Harry Kane is b/c if England scores he's got a serious chance of being the guy.  If it's a penalty, he takes them and doesn't miss.

I personally think Anthony Gordon can score as I believe Ghana will be putting two guys on Kane especially their fullbacks with size since he is great in the air using his head.  I believe that will create additional chances for Gordon.

But that's just how I see it and I will have to start to put aside personal feelings on certain teams like Portugal moving forward or else I limit my opportunities and we don't want that when we wager.