Posted:
#501
18. Argentina / Korea - Over 2.5 +108 (1 unit)
Is this a typo? The pure O2.5 can be had for +13something.
Are you sure you don't have the O2 and 2.5?
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World Cup Preview and First Round Game picks thread.....
Posted:
#502
Solid writeups, and good work today Vanzack.
Gotta say Im against you on France/Mexico tomorrow. Two ML dogs I couldn't pass on, them and south korea.
Surprised you would be that high on a team (French) that is in shambles and turmoil with their manager.
Mexico still created chances in the first game. IMO they will be adjusted to the altitude and ball now, and get the 1-2 to get it done. They are a better team than they showed in first game, and I'm not sure France is.
Also took a flyer on South Korea +770, Maradona blessed with one of the best talent bases but he is one awful manager as we saw last game. Had to take a shot after today's epic upset, maybe a break goes the Koreans way and they steal one. Knowing Maradona he won't even start Milito again upfront with Messi because he's a dumbfuck.
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Posted:
#505
Quote Originally Posted by lbcake:
18. Argentina / Korea - Over 2.5 +108 (1 unit)
Is this a typo? The pure O2.5 can be had for +13something.
Are you sure you don't have the O2 and 2.5?
When I posted this, that was the line. It has sinced moved - and Ive averaged out a little bit, but I always try and post current lines when I post.
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Posted:
#509
Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:
Van, I know you would never lay this kind of juice but what do you feel about -.5 -185 Tina Im thinking to win 2.5 units and I know the risk is not worth the payout but I see Tina winning this.
Van, I know you would never lay this kind of juice but what do you feel about -.5 -185 Tina
Im thinking to win 2.5 units and I know the risk is not worth the payout but I see Tina winning this. Im not against laying that kind of juice in the right spot.
I think that Argentina will win today. I am a little concerned that S Korea will sit back and play for a draw, but even still Argentina should break them down.
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Posted:
#515
Quote Originally Posted by refuze2loze:
Great call on the over Van! My book has these lines for the next game:
Great call on the over Van! My book has these lines for the next game:
Greece +0.5 (-130)
Greece +300
Draw +230
Nigeria +100
I think it ends in a draw or Greece wins. I should put the same amount on Greece and the draw, right? Thanks in advance.
If you use the following ratio you will give yourself Greece +.5 for -123:
100 on Greece to win +300
121 on draw at +230
Great lines BTW....
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Posted:
#517
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
If you use the following ratio you will give yourself Greece +.5 for -123:
100 on Greece to win +300
121 on draw at +230
Great lines BTW....
If my goal is to win $100, I can play Greece +0.5 (-130) and I'll accomplish my goal. On the other hand, I can put $100 on both Greece and the draw, and the worst I can do is win $130. An extra $30 if I play the 3-way line. Am I missing something?
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Posted:
#518
Quote Originally Posted by refuze2loze:
If my goal is to win $100, I can play Greece +0.5 (-130) and I'll accomplish my goal. On the other hand, I can put $100 on both Greece and the draw, and the worst I can do is win $130. An extra $30 if I play the 3-way line. Am I missing something?
Option 1 - Risk 130 to win 100
Option 2 - Risk 200 to win 130 or 200.
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Posted:
#525
Some thoughts on Argentina.....
Im a little bit worried. As good as they looked from the midfield up, they had lapses on defenses and gave up WAY too much space and open play to the Koreans. If there was better finishing on the Korean side, the game would have been much different.
Im very worried about Walter Samuel's injury - after he was pulled at about 20 mins, the defense was disorganized. DeMichelis is very shaky back there - not just because of the goal he gave away today - but he has a habit of doing that - like the goal he gave up in the Champs League final where he got turned around like a top.
They will not win against the top teams unless they shore this up. We will see. Hopefully Samuel is back - if not for the last group game against Greece - at least for the first knockout game.
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