Posted:
#226
Good goal
OVAA 3 for me in that one is a push now I feel Real Mou will get another one
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Tuesday 09/15/2026
Congrats 
Posted:
#233
Daily Results Recap — Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Seven tips settled today across La Liga, the Eredivisie and the Scottish Premiership. Final record: 2W-5L (29% strike rate), for a net of -2.20 units on flat 1-unit stakes. A tough night overall, with three of the five losses coming from La Liga fixtures that all broke the wrong way late or were simply outscored. Full breakdown below.
1) Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol (La Liga) — LOSS. Pick: Away to Win @ 3.35. Final score: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Espanyol. Espanyol actually led the underlying process for spells but a two-goal first-half burst from Rayo (3' and 26') was enough, even after Espanyol pulled one back through Roberto Fernandez in the 54th. The market had this closer to a coin flip pre-match; Rayo's home edge held up.
2) Alaves vs Valencia (La Liga) — LOSS. Pick: Home to Win @ 1.94. Final score: Alaves 0-1 Valencia. Alaves came in unbeaten in four with a +7 goal difference and were favourites for good reason, but Valencia — bottom of the table and previously without a win — nicked it through a 78th-minute Luis Rioja strike against the run of the underlying form. A reminder that a struggling side's underlying numbers can turn on one moment of quality.
3) Ajax vs Willem II (Eredivisie) — LOSS. Pick: BTTS: No @ 1.98. Final score: Ajax 5-1 Willem II. Ajax cruised, which was expected, but a stoppage-adjacent goal from Ciranni in the 76th kept Willem II on the scoresheet and cost this one. BTTS: No always carries the risk of exactly this scenario — a routine landslide with one late consolation goal.
4) Motherwell vs Aberdeen (Scottish Premiership) — WIN. Pick: BTTS: No @ 2.10. Final score: Motherwell 0-4 Aberdeen. Aberdeen ended a four-match losing streak in emphatic fashion, and Motherwell never got on the board. Clean cover for BTTS: No.
5) Falkirk vs Hearts (Scottish Premiership) — LOSS. Pick: Away to Win @ 1.95. Final score: Falkirk 2-1 Hearts. Hearts equalised early (James Wilson, 22') after going behind inside ten minutes, but Falkirk restored the lead just after the break and held on, snapping their own five-match losing run in the process. This was one of the closer misses of the day.
6) Hibernian vs Kilmarnock (Scottish Premiership) — WIN. Pick: Under 2.5 @ 2.70. Final score: Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock. A single George Stanger goal in the 40th minute settled a tight, low-event match at Easter Road.
7) Elche vs Real Madrid (La Liga) — LOSS. Pick: Under 2.5 @ 3.35. Final score: Elche 2-3 Real Madrid. Real Madrid looked in control at 0-2 through an own goal and a Mbappe strike, but Elche staged a real fightback (Osorio 71', Nino 83') to level it, before a stoppage-time own goal (Espi, 90+1') restored Real's lead. Five goals in a match we'd priced as a likely low-scoring affair — a genuine shootout at the end.
Day in numbers:
record 2W-5L (28.6%);
net -2.20u on 1u flat stakes (-31.4% ROI);
winning odds 2.10 and 2.70 (avg 2.40);
losing odds 3.35, 1.94, 1.98, 1.95, 3.35.
The two winners were both goal-suppression markets (BTTS: No, Under 2.5) in the Scottish Premiership, while every La Liga pick this round went against us — including two matches (Alaves-Valencia, Elche-Real Madrid) where the underdog scored a decisive goal in the final 15 minutes. Nothing here points to a systemic issue with the picks themselves so much as a night where several matches broke late.
Back soon with a fresh card.
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