OVER / UNDER picks

Quote Originally Posted by hansivonmueller:

GL reddog. Missed your hockey plays, as I just got up. However. I will have a go at capping a few games in the future. Can you tell me of any leagues that are relatively consistent regarding scoring? Cheers reddog.

The leagues with most goals are Switzerland NLA, Austria EHL, Germany DEL, Denmark Al Bank Ligaen and Slovakia. But beause of the high scoring nature of the game, if your bookie keeps the total line at 5.5 you can't find value there. Most of the time over 5.5 is at -220 for swiss NLA games and it doesn't worth the risk.

I prefere taking overs in Czech Extraliga, in Slovakia but only when odds are not lower than 130.

If you're hunting for unders you'll find manny good opportunities at good odds in Russian Kontinental Hockey League (KHL).

If you're hunting for overs try Slovakia, Czech Republic and Norway or your bookie has 6.5 lines go for overs in Switzerland NLA, Austria EHL and Denmark Al Bank. But the regular seasons ended in most of the european countries and they entered the playoffs.

From time to time you can find good over bets in low scoring leagues (like Karpat-Ilves today, in Finland they score few goals and the under is the favoured in most of the games).

Sure, why not? If you're interested I'll post them next to soccer overs but only when I find good ones...

That sounds great, thanks again for the picks.

My profession is heavily math based so I enjoyed your talk about the Poisson distribution earlier in the thread.

I meant "CSKA scores 3.03/game away so I  think it will be a tight game, with both teams scoring, let's hope at least 6."

Russian game starts at 14:00 GMT and Czech game starts at 16:00 GMT.

Quote Originally Posted by savagethug54:

I CAN DEFINITELY UNDERSTAND HOW BORING IT MAY GET TO POST ALL OF YOUR OVERS! I THANK YOU FOR YOUR HELP AND FEEDBACK TO HELP ME AND OTHERS UNDERSTAND BETTER. AGAIN MY FRIEND CALINREDDOG THANK YOU! 

You're welcome, but I really hope you're not making fun of me...

This soccer section is my favourite in this Covers Forum and I like the people who post here. I watch what others post and tail them on side plays. I'm not at all good at handicapping sides so I'm staying to my favourite and that's hunting for overs. When I feel confident about a play and put my money on it I also post it here so it's not boring because anyway I analyse those games to play them myself. I also hate unders, I don't know exactly why but I can't watch a game where I have an under bet, you are under pressure 'till the 90th minute but when you're going for the over it often comes out the 1st period and the pressure is off. I do take unders from time to time but if I have an under bet going I turn off the TV, the computer and try to do something else for 90 minutes.

I didn't know you meant the posts in Strategies section...Sorry!

But I explained in detail what I did and what was my system, I posted over 100 ncaab games and had 59% success rate and in fact it's not really a system it's about common sense. I think every body can compute by him or her self the averages and choose the numbers that are most far away from their averages. I didn't think is necessary to post when everyone can pick their own plays.

Finally, a pretty good day for hockey overs:

Magnitogorsk-CSKA Moscow over 5.5 5-4

Zlin-Trinec over 5.5 2-1

Litvinov-Slavia Prague over 5.5 2-5

Malmo Redhawks-Bofors over 5.5 3-4.

 

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