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OVER / UNDER picks

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Posted: #126
 
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Posted: #127
12.02.09
Today no soccer. And today is mostly UNDER day in european hockey. I picked 6 unders and 2 overs for today's hockey in Europe (starting 16:30 GMT). I think they're all good plays (both overs and unders) at odds of -145 or higher.
 

saipa-karpat under 5.5 Finland SM

ilves-kalpa under 5.5 Finland SM

djurgarden-lulea under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien

byrnas-linkopings under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien

frolunda-rogle under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien

sodertalje-farjestad under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien

 

sparta sarpsborg-lorenskrog over 5.5 Norway GET

stavanger-stjernen over 5.5 Norway GET

 

 and God help us with the unders!

 
 
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Posted: #128
Bookmaker has the total set at 6.5 with EVEN and +105 on these two Norway League OVERS. Would you still consider these plays?
 
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Posted: #129
Quote Originally Posted by Flaggy03:

Bookmaker has the total set at 6.5 with EVEN and +105 on these two Norway League OVERS. Would you still consider these plays?

Stavanger-Stjernen could be a play at 6.5 total line. Stavanger scores at home 2 goals for each goal conceded and Stjernen are scoring away as much as they concede (over 3). The average between their goals scored and conceded is 6.8 so mathematically it would be a good play at 6.5 and -110 at least.

The average for the other 2 teams is around 6.2 so that's not a good over play at 6.5 total line.

But the in Norway scoring is very inconsistent. If it's going to be over we'll see something like 8-1, 7-2, 9-0 or something like that ( a team scores a lot and the other concedes) but if it's going to be under we'll probably see a 2-1, 2-0, 3-0... The goals tend to jump far from their averages.

 

 
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Posted: #130

saipa-karpat under 5.5 Finland SM 2-5

ilves-kalpa under 5.5 Finland SM 3-2

djurgarden-lulea under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien 5-2

byrnas-linkopings under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien 6-1

frolunda-rogle under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien 4-1

sodertalje-farjestad under 5.5 Sweden Elitserien 3-2

 

sparta sarpsborg-lorenskrog over 5.5 Norway GET 4-3

stavanger-stjernen over 5.5 Norway GET 1-3

 

4-4 today , f_ckin' unders, they hate me.

 
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Posted: #131
I hope Friday 13 it's going to be a very lucky day. My picks are:
 
Hockey:

bars kazan-niznekamsk over 5.5 Russia KHL

pardubice-viktovice over 5.5 Czech Extraliga

vaxjo lakers-mora over 5.5 Sweden Allsvenskan

mannheim-iserlohn over 5.5 Germany DEL

 

Soccer:

metz-monpellier over 2.5

oberhausen-st pauli over 2.5

zwolle-roosendaal over 2.5

excelsior-mvv maastricht over 2.5

 

 
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Posted: #132

Since the hockey totals are already a disaster, I'll try to get even ( I know it's not recommended) with some more soccer totals:

sedan-guingamp under 2.5

omniworld-top oss over 2.5

haarlem-eindhoven over 2.5

bari-vicenza under 2.5

They have value so they should be good picks.

 
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Posted: #133
Hockey:

bars kazan-niznekamsk over 5.5 Russia KHL 2-1

pardubice-viktovice over 5.5 Czech Extraliga 2-1

vaxjo lakers-mora over 5.5 Sweden Allsvenskan 1-4

mannheim-iserlohn over 5.5 Germany DEL 3-4

Hockey 1-3  

 

Soccer:

metz-monpellier over 2.5 3-1

oberhausen-st pauli over 2.5 3-2

zwolle-roosendaal over 2.5 0-2

excelsior-mvv maastricht over 2.5 1-1

sedan-guingamp under 2.5 1-0

omniworld-top oss over 2.5 0-2

haarlem-eindhoven over 2.5 2-1

bari-vicenza under 2.5 1-1

Soccer: 5-3

 

See you later with tomorrow's soccer totals. Starting with the last four picks (3-1) I have been using a new criteria for selecting the totals and I think I'm going to improve the results a little both for soccer and hockey (hockey picks really need that).

 

 
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Posted: #134

14.02.2009

Only soccer totals today:

Levadiakos-PAOK Saloniki under 2.5

Ipswich-Blackpool under 2.5

Walsall-Colchester over 2.5

Bradford-Wycombe under 2.5

Ascoli-Brescia under 2.5

Salernitana-Modena over 2.5

Germinal Beerschot-Cercle Brugge over 2.5

Murcia Real-San Sebastian Real under 2.5

Girona-Albacete under 2.5

Braga-Leixoes under 2.5

Le Mans-Nice under 2.5

Standard Liege-Tubize AFC over 2.5

Valencia-Malaga over 2.5

They all have value, despite the low prices.

 
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Posted: #135
Good luck!
 
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Posted: #136
I decided to do a little experiment with 10 soccer picks today. I am pretty sure I can hit 70% so I will write them now and check tomorrow to see how I did. So I want to hit 7 of:
 
1. levadiakos-paok saloniki under 2.5
2. ascoli-brescia under 2.5
3. ipswich-blackpool under 2.5
4. walsall-colchester over 2.5
5. germinal beerschot-cercle brugge over 2.5
6. murcia-real sociedad under 2.5
7. braga-leixoes under 2.5
8. le mans-nice under 2.5
9. standard liege-tubize over 2.5
10. valencia-malaga over 2.5
 
 
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Posted: #137
dont know about ipswich. My bookie offers that under at 1.65, which has no value. stats point at the under, i know, but imo both teams play  too arrhthymically to see a pattern which would justify such a cheap under price.

best of luck!!!

 
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Posted: #138
 calin!
 
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Posted: #139
Yesterday 5-5 .
 
Today:
 
Celtic-Rangers over 2.5
Kocaelispor-Konyaspor over 2.5
Kaiserslautern-Ingolstadt over 2.5
 
 
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Posted: #140
The turkish game is Kocaelispor-Kaiserispor over 2.5.
 
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Posted: #141
Hey Kalin, just wondering where you get your info on the Euro Hockey. I've been trying to do some research this morning, but am having trouble finding a good site....thanks in advance.
 
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Posted: #142
Quote Originally Posted by Livan33:

Hey Kalin, just wondering where you get your info on the Euro Hockey. I've been trying to do some research this morning, but am having trouble finding a good site....thanks in advance.

You're welcome.

https://www.sfstats.net/hockey/

 
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Posted: #143
17.02.09
 
doncaster-bristol under 2.5
mansfield-kettering under 2.5
kidderminster-cambridge under 2.5
southend-crewe over 2.5
stockport-cheltenham over 2.5
rochdale-morecambe under 2.5
shrewsbury-chester under 2.5
nancy-nice under 2.5
citadella-treviso under 2.5
triestina-salernitana under 2.5
livorno-bari under 2.5
rimini-piacenza under 2.5
cambuur-zwolle over 2.5
 
 
 
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Posted: #144
doncaster-bristol under 2.5
mansfield-kettering under 2.5
kidderminster-cambridge under 2.5
southend-crewe over 2.5
stockport-cheltenham over 2.5
rochdale-morecambe under 2.5
shrewsbury-chester under 2.5
nancy-nice under 2.5
citadella-treviso under 2.5
triestina-salernitana under 2.5
livorno-bari under 2.5
rimini-piacenza under 2.5
cambuur-zwolle over 2.5
 
8-5 today.
 
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Posted: #145
do u play all your soccer bets single or do u parley any of them?
which league is better to bet on eng. euro  or?  thnx
 
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Posted: #146
I play only singles and I bet on every league I can find promissing over/under bets.
 
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Posted: #147

18.02.09

Today I only found one over that seems easy:

Oostende - Tienen (Belgium 2nd division) over 2.5

 
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Posted: #148
...G/L Calin!!!
 
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Good luck!
 
 
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