All Forums | Soccer

November Mixed Sports Pick in Soccer Forum

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 4913
Posts: 121
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #51
Sunderland +110

November: 5-2-1 +6.43 units


 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #52
Thomas Jones o80.5 Rushing Yards +115

I love this line - really think there should be juice on this and would probably take it as low as even money.  Thomas Jones has been an unsung hero of this Kansas City rushing attack - letting Jamaal Charles get the spotlight for his flashy, long runs while he just pounds away.  His rushing logs have been fairly good - eclipsing this total in 4 of the 7 games thus far (39, 83, 95, 19, 100, 125, 77).  In 3 of his first 4 games his YPC was below 4.0, but over the last 3 games it has been much better at around 5.21 YPC.  Now the Chiefs travel into Oakland whose run defense is suspect to say the least.  As if being 25th in league against the run wasn't bad enough, I found an angle that even more supports my play.  They are that low in terms of yards, despite facing only 27 carrier per game thus far.  The Chiefs average 37 rushing attempts per game and should really put that rushing defense to the test.  I could throw out stats like this all day but the bottom line is this - Oakland's run defense is bad against average to good run offenses, how bad will they be against the best rushing offense in the league?  My opinion is apparent in the play - good luck folks.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2010
Posts: 150
Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by arkadymo:

Thomas Jones o80.5 Rushing Yards +115

I love this line - really think there should be juice on this and would probably take it as low as even money.  Thomas Jones has been an unsung hero of this Kansas City rushing attack - letting Jamaal Charles get the spotlight for his flashy, long runs while he just pounds away.  His rushing logs have been fairly good - eclipsing this total in 4 of the 7 games thus far (39, 83, 95, 19, 100, 125, 77).  In 3 of his first 4 games his YPC was below 4.0, but over the last 3 games it has been much better at around 5.21 YPC.  Now the Chiefs travel into Oakland whose run defense is suspect to say the least.  As if being 25th in league against the run wasn't bad enough, I found an angle that even more supports my play.  They are that low in terms of yards, despite facing only 27 carrier per game thus far.  The Chiefs average 37 rushing attempts per game and should really put that rushing defense to the test.  I could throw out stats like this all day but the bottom line is this - Oakland's run defense is bad against average to good run offenses, how bad will they be against the best rushing offense in the league?  My opinion is apparent in the play - good luck folks.


It's +145 on 5dimes right now, good luck!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by HouRockets:



It's +145 on 5dimes right now, good luck!


Interesting line movement - wish I had waited now but oh well.  Only 4 yards through 10 minutes or so, maybe the line movement is telling us something....
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #55
Assuming the TJ bet will be a loss but will update that later - posting a play for SNF right now.

Green Bay Packers to win by 1-6 +340

Not too much of a writeup for me here, more of a gut play.  I think we can all agree that GB should win this game - they are just the better team here.  However, I think Dallas surprises people here and keeps it relatively close.  This is a perfect example of selling high and buying low.  GB off of an impressive win over the overly hyped NYJ (as seen with how they played against the Lions) while DAL just got embarrassed by JAX.  Too much talent to under perform all season long and I really think this is the perfect spot to back them in a way.  Good luck folks.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #56
Green Bay Packers to win by 1-6 +340
Thomas Jones o80.5 Rushing Yards +115

What a pitiful day.  Thomas Jones averaged less than 2 yards a carry and the Packers are just slaughtering the Cowboys.  Be back tomorrow.

November: 5-4-1 +4.43 units

 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2003
Posts: 28196
Posted: #57
i haven't seen a team embarass themselves like this in a primetime game in a while.  wade may not be the coach by the time the plane lands back in dallas.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2010
Posts: 150
Posted: #58
What do you think of this prop, TD not scored by offense +168? I can see Palmer throwing some errant passes today.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 21404
Posted: #59

Great Start, Keep it up

 

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #60
Stoke City v Birmingham City Draw +238

I feel a little square playing this (if that's possible when backing a draw) but this one just seems a tad obvious yet I have to bite.  The first angle is that I don't expect there to be very many goals here at all which obviously increases the chances of a draw (only 1 total goal scored in 2 total meetings last year).  Stoke has looked pretty bad of late and this season in general, as they sit out of the relegation zone only on goal differential.  They've lost 5 straight matches but have played better at home and I expect a small turnaround here after their loss to Sunderland last week.  Birmingham comes to town in worse form than last year but still a solid side.  If I were to lean toward a side here I would have to go with Birmingham because they are simply the better squad but they have yet to win away from home this year so I will not back them at this price.  I see a lot value for the Draw here because honestly neither team is worthy of winning this match.  The lack of form for both teams means there is a very good chance at a 0-0 final score (contemplating using that as a play for beest's play of the week contest).  Good luck folks.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by HouRockets:

What do you think of this prop, TD not scored by offense +168? I can see Palmer throwing some errant passes today.


Sorry haven't been around all day.  My answer would've been that this was not a good spot for that play because of how low scoring the game is going to be.  If you want to play that prop, pick a game that is going to be more of a shootout where there are more kick-off return opportunities as well as gunslinging (Brett Favre + Percy Harvin last week was a perfect example which is why I played it).  Obviously, it still could hit but it wasn't worthy of a play for me.

Paletta - thanks buddy hope all is well.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 11480
Posted: #62
anything for the sunderland game?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by allamay1608:

anything for the sunderland game?


Nope. Tottenham too unpredictable to ever back them this year honestly and Sunderland are poor away from home.  Will Bent play? Will Gyan play?  Too many variables to want to be on the game for me.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #64
Stoke City v Birmingham City Draw +238

85th minute loss sorta stings but oh well - maybe tomorrow we'll get a late goal in our favor.  Write up coming for my soccer play tomorrow.

November: 5-5-1 +3.43 units
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #65
West Brom +243

Way too much value to pass up for me here folks, I feel like I'm getting the better team at almost 5/2.  West Ham do not deserve to be favorites in this match and honestly their home field advantage is being over valued here by the books.  Other than a win against the sporatic Spurs at home, they haven't done anything spectacular and their recent form has been questionable at best.  West Brom on the other hand have had a brutal away schedule, already having to face Pool, Chelsea, Man U, and Arsenal, not to mention getting screwed by the refs against Blackpool.  Despite that, they managed a big win in Emirates stadium and salvaged a point at Old Trafford.  I think tomorrow, with the possible return of Odemwingie, West Brom have a great shot at getting a second away win against a very subpar team.  Great odds here, good luck folks.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 38084
Posted: #66
nice thoughts arky
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 7711
Posted: #67
Yes, I like Westbrom this year, way different team... Saw you had this as your pow, Good luck, Ark
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #68
bake
beest

Huge line drop overnight, West Brom down to +214 at 5dimes.  I don't know if I should love the value or fear the line movement.  Either way I'll be sticking it out....
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 5022
Posted: #69
BOL arkadymo
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #70
New Jersey Nets +170

Great spot for the Nets ton finally turn around this losing streak in my opinion.  The Cavs are coming home after a great 3 game winning road trip (including a win over the Nets last night).  The game was very close last night and if it weren't for timely and hot shooting by the Cavs the Nets probably would've won.  Tonight I see a similar game but will bank on the Cavs not shooting over 50% from 3 again (only 37% on the year) while the Nets shooting a little better than last night.  Bottom line is that I see this as a relatively even matchup so getting +170 is a steal so it's an automatic play.  Good luck folks.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #71
West Brom +243

Wasn't able to watch it so any feedback would be greatly appreciated.  Final score of 2-2 is all I can tell you.  Would really love the Nets to turn around this terrible losing streak. 

November: 5-6-1 +2.43 units

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #72

New Jersey Nets +170

Nice win at plus money to break the slide - be back tomorrow if I see anything I like.


November: 6-6-1 +4.13 units

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2006
Posts: 1404
Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by arkadymo:

New Jersey Nets +170

Nice win at plus money to break the slide - be back tomorrow if I see anything I like.


November: 6-6-1 +4.13 units

Nice call!

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #74
Matt Bryant o7.5 Points -110

Don't understand this line at all honestly.  This prop would've hit 6 of 8 games for Bryant so far this season as he has only had 2 games where he didn't hit at least 2 field goals (only one game where he didn't attempt at least 2 FGs).  On the flip side, Baltimore has a pretty strong red zone defense and has held their opponents to a lot of field goals so far this season.  I see Bryant definitely getting 2 FGs and 2 XPs which would be enough for the win and 3 FGs wouldn't be a surprise at all for me.  Good luck folks.
 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5107
Posted: #75
Matt Bryant o7.5 Points -110

Got my win now I can enjoy the actual game.  Hope everyone had a good night.

November: 7-6-1 +5.03 units
All Forums | Soccer
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.