Boom!
thats the icebraker @DiamondJack
EURO 2024 Preview Futures & Picks
UKRAINE V SLOVAKIA
Here we have a classic case of recency bias. Slovakia are on a high over un upset win over Belgium and Ukraine on the back of a shock defeat to Romania. That makes the line go from 1.94/-105 which were the opening odds for this match to 2.14/+114. Does that warrant a 20 cent move? I say no I expect a Ukraine win. I also like the prop of the La liga top scorer with 24 goals Dovbyk to open his account at these Euros. He also has 10 goals for his country in 29 appearances.
23. Ukraine ML @ 2.14/+114 (1u) Bet365
24. Artem Dovbyk to score ANYTIME @ 3.10/+210 (1u) Bet365
LEAN
Ukraine more corners @ 1.80/-125
UKRAINE V SLOVAKIA
Here we have a classic case of recency bias. Slovakia are on a high over un upset win over Belgium and Ukraine on the back of a shock defeat to Romania. That makes the line go from 1.94/-105 which were the opening odds for this match to 2.14/+114. Does that warrant a 20 cent move? I say no I expect a Ukraine win. I also like the prop of the La liga top scorer with 24 goals Dovbyk to open his account at these Euros. He also has 10 goals for his country in 29 appearances.
23. Ukraine ML @ 2.14/+114 (1u) Bet365
24. Artem Dovbyk to score ANYTIME @ 3.10/+210 (1u) Bet365
LEAN
Ukraine more corners @ 1.80/-125
I have been high on Ukraine last year and a half. Have won a good amount of units backing them in national competitions.
Feel like I've seen you post a few things over the last few weeks related to backing Ukraine.
Feel like public is starting to catch on since the Battle of Kyiv, so I laid off them advancing out of their group. But think they'll be a handful for Slovakia.
GL man
I have been high on Ukraine last year and a half. Have won a good amount of units backing them in national competitions.
Feel like I've seen you post a few things over the last few weeks related to backing Ukraine.
Feel like public is starting to catch on since the Battle of Kyiv, so I laid off them advancing out of their group. But think they'll be a handful for Slovakia.
GL man
POLAND V AUSTRIA
The last time Austria beat Poland was in 1994 ever since Poland have won 3 and tied 2. I don't trust either side but I do like goals in this game. 4 of the last 5 games for Poland have gone over 2.5 and Austria has scored in 17 of their last 18 games. History states when 2 teams who lost their opening group game tend to go all out for the win and the total usually goes over 2.5 goals. Lewandowski is back for Poland and the Austrians have a 3rd string keeper.
25. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
26. BTTS YES @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Bet365
LEAN
Lewandowski anytime goal scorer YES @ 2.50/+150
POLAND V AUSTRIA
The last time Austria beat Poland was in 1994 ever since Poland have won 3 and tied 2. I don't trust either side but I do like goals in this game. 4 of the last 5 games for Poland have gone over 2.5 and Austria has scored in 17 of their last 18 games. History states when 2 teams who lost their opening group game tend to go all out for the win and the total usually goes over 2.5 goals. Lewandowski is back for Poland and the Austrians have a 3rd string keeper.
25. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
26. BTTS YES @ 1.78/-128 (1u) Bet365
LEAN
Lewandowski anytime goal scorer YES @ 2.50/+150
NETHERLANDS V FRANCE
Once again in this match we have line movement that is not warranted. The opening line here was 1.80/-125, is the absence of Mbappe worth that much? I say no. Frances B team can take out the Dutch. These sides met last year in the nations league with France winning in Holland 2-1 and winning again 4-0 in France. The last 8 times France played the Netherlands they won 7. Getting plus money here is a gift.
27. France ML @ 2.20/+120 (2u) Unibet
LEAN
France to have more Corners @ 1.83/-120
NETHERLANDS V FRANCE
Once again in this match we have line movement that is not warranted. The opening line here was 1.80/-125, is the absence of Mbappe worth that much? I say no. Frances B team can take out the Dutch. These sides met last year in the nations league with France winning in Holland 2-1 and winning again 4-0 in France. The last 8 times France played the Netherlands they won 7. Getting plus money here is a gift.
27. France ML @ 2.20/+120 (2u) Unibet
LEAN
France to have more Corners @ 1.83/-120
@DiamondJack
I think there’s some perceived Mbappe injury uncertainty, at least as to how effective he’ll be w/ the mask, affecting this line a bit.
@DiamondJack
I think there’s some perceived Mbappe injury uncertainty, at least as to how effective he’ll be w/ the mask, affecting this line a bit.
@DiamondJack
Regarding France, are you not worried that if the match is tied in the second half they might be content playing for the draw knowing they have Poland next?
@DiamondJack
Regarding France, are you not worried that if the match is tied in the second half they might be content playing for the draw knowing they have Poland next?
Boom - draw hits +260 - nice work; I was on it too, nail biter!
Once the K/O rounds begin I'll be on plenty of FT Draws ![]()
Boom - draw hits +260 - nice work; I was on it too, nail biter!
Once the K/O rounds begin I'll be on plenty of FT Draws ![]()
GEORGIA v CZECHIA
A similar situation to that of Austria/Poland both sides need the win having lost their opening match. Both sides have quality attacking players in Soucek for the Czechs and Kvaratskhelia of Napoli for Georgia. Form wise in the last 6 games the Czech matches 23 goals were scored at an average of 3.83. The last 6 games for Georgia 18 goals have been scored averaging 3.00. I also think that Georgia might get something out of this game, 2-2 final.
28. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.08/+108 (2u) Unibet
29. Georgia +0.5 @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Pinnacle
LEAN
BTTS YES @ 1.95/-105
GEORGIA v CZECHIA
A similar situation to that of Austria/Poland both sides need the win having lost their opening match. Both sides have quality attacking players in Soucek for the Czechs and Kvaratskhelia of Napoli for Georgia. Form wise in the last 6 games the Czech matches 23 goals were scored at an average of 3.83. The last 6 games for Georgia 18 goals have been scored averaging 3.00. I also think that Georgia might get something out of this game, 2-2 final.
28. Total Goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.08/+108 (2u) Unibet
29. Georgia +0.5 @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Pinnacle
LEAN
BTTS YES @ 1.95/-105
@DiamondJack
I don’t think the Czech team will play such a wild open game…. They don’t know how… I loved Austria / Poland over and btts as well because I knew Austria is going to bring it and they did…. Czechs are more like Poland than Austria and they will play with a caution on D …. With a build up on offense…. I think their team effort will be to keep a clean score … good luck
@DiamondJack
I don’t think the Czech team will play such a wild open game…. They don’t know how… I loved Austria / Poland over and btts as well because I knew Austria is going to bring it and they did…. Czechs are more like Poland than Austria and they will play with a caution on D …. With a build up on offense…. I think their team effort will be to keep a clean score … good luck
I made an Error and posted the France ML play in advance that I ended up cashing out of when Poland lost. The outcome of that game dictated everything France was going to do versus Holland. Going game by game until the K/O from now on
I made an Error and posted the France ML play in advance that I ended up cashing out of when Poland lost. The outcome of that game dictated everything France was going to do versus Holland. Going game by game until the K/O from now on
@DiamondJack
The field sucks…. They cannot even practice on it…. On Czech sport radio they are fully aware of the very talented Georgia striker …. I still don’t think we will see such a ra ra game…. On paper Czechs should be bigger favorites than 130…. I thought more 160 so there is actually good value or better value…..
@DiamondJack
The field sucks…. They cannot even practice on it…. On Czech sport radio they are fully aware of the very talented Georgia striker …. I still don’t think we will see such a ra ra game…. On paper Czechs should be bigger favorites than 130…. I thought more 160 so there is actually good value or better value…..
I made an Error and posted the France ML play in advance that I ended up cashing out of when Poland lost. The outcome of that game dictated everything France was going to do versus Holland. Going game by game until the K/O from now on
I appreciate your takes/write ups but this is a pretty unforgivable post, especially for a 2 unit play. So now we’re to believe that you didn’t consider the other teams in the group and/or Austria beating Poland being a possibility, even though you capped that game as well? It reeks of ‘saving face’.
I’m sure you would’ve made this same post had France won.
I made an Error and posted the France ML play in advance that I ended up cashing out of when Poland lost. The outcome of that game dictated everything France was going to do versus Holland. Going game by game until the K/O from now on
I appreciate your takes/write ups but this is a pretty unforgivable post, especially for a 2 unit play. So now we’re to believe that you didn’t consider the other teams in the group and/or Austria beating Poland being a possibility, even though you capped that game as well? It reeks of ‘saving face’.
I’m sure you would’ve made this same post had France won.
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack: I made an Error and posted the France ML play in advance that I ended up cashing out of when Poland lost. The outcome of that game dictated everything France was going to do versus Holland. Going game by game until the K/O from now on I appreciate your takes/write ups but this is a pretty unforgivable post, especially for a 2 unit play. So now we’re to believe that you didn’t consider the other teams in the group and/or Austria beating Poland being a possibility, even though you capped that game as well? It reeks of ‘saving face’. I’m sure you would’ve made this same post had France won.
Agree. Cannot back track. Especially for those following and placing where on same plays.
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack: I made an Error and posted the France ML play in advance that I ended up cashing out of when Poland lost. The outcome of that game dictated everything France was going to do versus Holland. Going game by game until the K/O from now on I appreciate your takes/write ups but this is a pretty unforgivable post, especially for a 2 unit play. So now we’re to believe that you didn’t consider the other teams in the group and/or Austria beating Poland being a possibility, even though you capped that game as well? It reeks of ‘saving face’. I’m sure you would’ve made this same post had France won.
Agree. Cannot back track. Especially for those following and placing where on same plays.
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