KI Klaksvik - Lech Poznan / Void * 2.9 U: Lech Poznan -0.75 1.804 / -
Day: W 1 - L 3 (2.5) / L 7.348 U Overall: W 84 (79.5) - L 84 (76) - P 5 / L 45.27 U
------- * The game was rescheduled to Friday, August 14, at 20:00 CET, because Lech’s arrival was severely delayed. Under "Pinnacle Sports" rules the wager is void, but at almost all other major bookmakers the wager still stands. In accordance with the above, I will re-wager Friday the same Asian Handicap at the new odds available at Pinnacle at that time.
KI Klaksvik - Lech Poznan / Void * 2.9 U: Lech Poznan -0.75 1.804 / -
Day: W 1 - L 3 (2.5) / L 7.348 U Overall: W 84 (79.5) - L 84 (76) - P 5 / L 45.27 U
------- * The game was rescheduled to Friday, August 14, at 20:00 CET, because Lech’s arrival was severely delayed. Under "Pinnacle Sports" rules the wager is void, but at almost all other major bookmakers the wager still stands. In accordance with the above, I will re-wager Friday the same Asian Handicap at the new odds available at Pinnacle at that time.
Day: W 1 (0.5) - L 4 / L 24.685 U Overall: W 97 (91) - L 106 (96.5) - P 5 / L 96.9 U ------------------------------------------------------
Of course this handicapping method and money management is a big failure. It was already kind of clear where I was heading some good 10 days ago, but I wanted to run the system until full bankroll loss, to also see more clearly some other conclusions. I will post about these next.
Day: W 1 (0.5) - L 4 / L 24.685 U Overall: W 97 (91) - L 106 (96.5) - P 5 / L 96.9 U ------------------------------------------------------
Of course this handicapping method and money management is a big failure. It was already kind of clear where I was heading some good 10 days ago, but I wanted to run the system until full bankroll loss, to also see more clearly some other conclusions. I will post about these next.
Analyzing in detail my data from here, some details are intriguing:
All my -0.5 line wagers had a total outcome of: W 21 - L 29
All my +0.75 line wagers had a total outcome of: W 5 - L 12.5.
Removing all the -0.5 and the +0.75 line wagers from everything wagered would have resulted in: Overall: W 65 - L 55 - P 5
A. Playing the opposite on all my initial -0.5 and +0.75 line wagers would have resulted in: Overall: W 106.5 - L 81 - P 5 (we would have just +0.5 and -0.75 wagers besides the -0.25/+0.25 and the rare -1/+1 ones)
In conclusion, the "A" strategy looks like should be well on the positive side in the overall results. The only question is that was it enough the trial time of 42 days? Or I should have been running the numbers continuing from today up to at least 100 days (without any more real wagers made), just to see how the -0.5 and +0.75 line wagers would do over such a long time?
B. A clear conclusion is that the money management was very wrong, it should be one considering a "global Labby". Instead of using individually the 5 Labby lines with their separate Labby money managements (see the 1st post of the thread, where I have explained this), all the results of the 5 wagers of the daily cards should be considered as won/lost amount of a single Labby. In this case on any day all the wagers will have the same risked "unit" value.
Analyzing in detail my data from here, some details are intriguing:
All my -0.5 line wagers had a total outcome of: W 21 - L 29
All my +0.75 line wagers had a total outcome of: W 5 - L 12.5.
Removing all the -0.5 and the +0.75 line wagers from everything wagered would have resulted in: Overall: W 65 - L 55 - P 5
A. Playing the opposite on all my initial -0.5 and +0.75 line wagers would have resulted in: Overall: W 106.5 - L 81 - P 5 (we would have just +0.5 and -0.75 wagers besides the -0.25/+0.25 and the rare -1/+1 ones)
In conclusion, the "A" strategy looks like should be well on the positive side in the overall results. The only question is that was it enough the trial time of 42 days? Or I should have been running the numbers continuing from today up to at least 100 days (without any more real wagers made), just to see how the -0.5 and +0.75 line wagers would do over such a long time?
B. A clear conclusion is that the money management was very wrong, it should be one considering a "global Labby". Instead of using individually the 5 Labby lines with their separate Labby money managements (see the 1st post of the thread, where I have explained this), all the results of the 5 wagers of the daily cards should be considered as won/lost amount of a single Labby. In this case on any day all the wagers will have the same risked "unit" value.
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