Trial handicapping method and money management method in this thread!
I am expecting roughly a 50% win ratio overall. The million dollar question is how the Labby Lines used will handle the win ratio in case of big losing runs.
I will use every day 5 games ordered after strict criteria of selection in 5 Labby lines. There are possible days with just 4 or even 3 plays when there are too few games to choose from.
As much as possible, I will try to use just important games from meaningful competitions. This way each play can be done also in betting exchanges, having enough liquidity.
The money management inside each Labby is by modified Labby money management rules. In case if 1 or 2 Labbys run bad with long losing run, I have some method of involving in this the better performing Labbys, by distributing the loss.
I will use Pinnacle odds, but I am not logging in in my account (so all odds are slighty delayed). I will lower all odds shown with 0.015. Example: If I see in Pinnacle the odd = 1.90, I will post that play with odds = 1.885.
The start times of games are always in Central European Time (CET). 1 unit = 1% of the whole bankroll.
U = unit W = won / L = lost / P = pushed
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Trial handicapping method and money management method in this thread!
I am expecting roughly a 50% win ratio overall. The million dollar question is how the Labby Lines used will handle the win ratio in case of big losing runs.
I will use every day 5 games ordered after strict criteria of selection in 5 Labby lines. There are possible days with just 4 or even 3 plays when there are too few games to choose from.
As much as possible, I will try to use just important games from meaningful competitions. This way each play can be done also in betting exchanges, having enough liquidity.
The money management inside each Labby is by modified Labby money management rules. In case if 1 or 2 Labbys run bad with long losing run, I have some method of involving in this the better performing Labbys, by distributing the loss.
I will use Pinnacle odds, but I am not logging in in my account (so all odds are slighty delayed). I will lower all odds shown with 0.015. Example: If I see in Pinnacle the odd = 1.90, I will post that play with odds = 1.885.
The start times of games are always in Central European Time (CET). 1 unit = 1% of the whole bankroll.
Ireland 1: Waterford - St Patrick´s @ 21:00 Risk 1 U: St Patrick´s -0.5 1.689
World Cup / Spain - Belgium @ 21:00 Risk 1 U: Spain -0.5 1.63
Brazil 2 / Sport Recife - Botafogo SP @ 01:00 (next day) Risk 1 U: Sport Recife -0.5 1.862
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Forgot to mention that in case if on any game there are different odds on the "win" or the "-0.5 AH" wager, I am taking the better odds, but always will be posted as "-0.5".
Ireland 1: Waterford - St Patrick´s @ 21:00 Risk 1 U: St Patrick´s -0.5 1.689
World Cup / Spain - Belgium @ 21:00 Risk 1 U: Spain -0.5 1.63
Brazil 2 / Sport Recife - Botafogo SP @ 01:00 (next day) Risk 1 U: Sport Recife -0.5 1.862
----------------
Forgot to mention that in case if on any game there are different odds on the "win" or the "-0.5 AH" wager, I am taking the better odds, but always will be posted as "-0.5".
It is also interesting to mention that I am running another method, in which I am choosing 3 games per day. Those 3 games would be always among the 5 games of this thread. There I am wagering always the opposite of the ones I would wager here, in other words there I am blindly going against any logic given by handicapping.
I am not running any Labby lines, but just equal unit (all risk equal) wagers.
Guess what? So far between March 18 and ending with yesterday, I am: W 169 (162.5) - L 157 (142.5) - P 18, with average odds somewhere around 1.88.
Those results suggest in theory that going blindly against what would be normally expected results, in case if one would bet all the available games of any given day, would be a winning strategy in the long run (?!).
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It is also interesting to mention that I am running another method, in which I am choosing 3 games per day. Those 3 games would be always among the 5 games of this thread. There I am wagering always the opposite of the ones I would wager here, in other words there I am blindly going against any logic given by handicapping.
I am not running any Labby lines, but just equal unit (all risk equal) wagers.
Guess what? So far between March 18 and ending with yesterday, I am: W 169 (162.5) - L 157 (142.5) - P 18, with average odds somewhere around 1.88.
Those results suggest in theory that going blindly against what would be normally expected results, in case if one would bet all the available games of any given day, would be a winning strategy in the long run (?!).
Day: W 3 - L 1 (0.5) / W 3.364 U Overall: W 30 (29.5) - L 22 (20) - P 2 / W 14.539 U --------
* This game was not started. It was reprogrammed to start today at 20:30 CET
Quote from Pinnacle Sports rules: "General Rules: 3. If a fixture isn't started 12 hours after its scheduled starting time all bets on that fixture will be voided." (No special rule for soccer for this situation.)
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Yesterday's Results
Corvinul Hun. - Csikszereda / 3:0 1 U: Corvinul Hun. -0.25 1.854 / W 0.854
Mariehamn - Lahti / 0:2 1.3 U: Lahti -0.75 1.785 / W 1.02
Day: W 3 - L 1 (0.5) / W 3.364 U Overall: W 30 (29.5) - L 22 (20) - P 2 / W 14.539 U --------
* This game was not started. It was reprogrammed to start today at 20:30 CET
Quote from Pinnacle Sports rules: "General Rules: 3. If a fixture isn't started 12 hours after its scheduled starting time all bets on that fixture will be voided." (No special rule for soccer for this situation.)
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