CLUB WORLD CUP PLAYS (7/1)

Turning a new leaf into a new month.  We had an exceptional June and end of May, only really losing once along the way.

One of those losses was Juventus' last game as maybe I didn't have the foresight to realize they would give up 5 goals for the first time in over 30 years!  The bad news for them is they have to play Real Madrid but the good news is I think they would have been eliminate by Al Hilal just the same as Man City was.  Even better news for Juve is they most likely will not give up nearly 5 goals tonight.

But...they are the inferior squad and, just as I had predicted last time, Xavi Alonso, the new Real Madrid coach, loves to take it to teams in the first frame and get ahead.  He's made a living do so at Leverkusen and has already started at Madrid where they are unbeaten in the first halves of this tournament.  Though all those goals have come after 30 minutes of play, showing just how sluggish this team has been out the gates the past couple of years.  

I hope to see Mbappe back today but his absence would not be felt by Real Madrid imo.  I also know, having had pancreatitis, how tough it is how painful it is so I feel for him.  Probably will come on in the second half and maybe that's why the FH line is so generous.  But there is ZERO way I do not jump on this with the value baked in.  Getting + odds with a manager who makes a priority out of the FH is a no brainer for me.  Not saying this play is a lock, none are, but with the quality that RM will be putting on the field, I do not think playing a tough Juventus side will make a difference.

REAL MADRID FH (+125)...BIG PLAY!!!:  I realize the big plays have been few and far between here but the total for the first half is 1.5 and juiced to the under so that shows me they are planning on at least a goal in the opening frame and given the analysis above, I feel strongly it will be RM as the victors.

REAL MADRID (-125):  Dani Carvajal and Mbappe are back and will give a much needed boost if it comes to that off the bench and in the second half.  I think the RM defense is strong tonight and I don't see RM losing here or even having to play extra time.

Hard to box a game so be careful as I really do like both plays.  Hoping everyone has a profitable day I also like the later game.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

I like Dani 

this guy is so physical 

he can go up and down the field 

RM misses him a lot 

@LAGameofInches

@LAGameofInches

REAL MADRID

yeah but brutally lost that 1st half they could have easily had a goal the Juve keeper is quite awesome, only reason this wasn't a larger victory for RM.

kept knocking on the door, they should have hit the net honestly.  GL rest the tourney and thanks for the great work. Loving the write ups 

I'm biting, no way do I think that this game is as obvious a snooze fest as most will imagine.  In fact, I think they will get closer to 4 goals than 3.  Maybe I'll be eating my words later but for tonight I will be pulling for this Dortmund team to wake up.  Monterrey is a very strong side especially defensively but if Dortmund can get an early goal, that will change the game flow.  And I think they will do that:

OVER 2.5 (-130) DORTMUND/MONTERREY

tempted to also go over the FH as I think Dortmund, as stated above, will be very motivated to get out of the gates quick.  but with the way this tournament has been going, I'm going to stick with what I have and hope I'm right about what I thought.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to alll....

Let’s get him

Hahaha well of course I should have played the FH 

I'll not be greedy and be happy with two more for the rest of the game but I did state Dortmund would get an early one ;) 

That will do.  Quick W probably should have crushed this game but really, Dortmund is so hard to predict.  Now I can go cook dinner in peace 

thank you bro 

you save my day with the tough yankee lost 

Good call on the Dortmund game. Monterrey outplayed Dortmund for most of the game. Real Madrid will run Dortmund off the pitch on Saturday. 

@LAGameofInches

 Great calls today bro. That Dortmund over was as clean as you like it. Madrid 1H was a good one too man, damn Bellingham had that easy chance straight at the keeper