NRL Week 24

NRL YTD 185-166-5 +23.80 units

Been having a really hard time of it lately but surely im due a bounce back and have some games that reallly like the look of this week.

Friday Night Football Stats:

Favs Su: 26-14

Fav ATS: 19-19-2

Totals: 17-22

Picks:

Broncos/Storm under 40.5 2 units @ $1.90

This game has under written all over it. Both teams play very hard on D and really turn up for eachother in D each week. The Broncos are 8-13 on totals for the season and i think that trend continues on FNF. Also the Storm are 11-10 on totals for the season but that is only 1 game over .500 so no big deal there. Would also note that FNF has been a real unders night for the games. So the stats suggest it and i like the under a lot here as well. Think this number will be driven down by game time tomorrow.

Tigers +6.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Like this play a lot. The Doggies were lucky to get out of jail last week against the Broncos but dont think their luck strikes twice in a row. The Tigers have been much improved in recent times and did get out of jail also last week in a grinding win. Think this game could be similar result and will take the points in this game. The Tigers are 11-10 Su and 9-12-0 ATS and need a win badly to stay in the hunt for the top 8. The Doggies are top of the table and have just been lights out over the past 3 months. Im not saying they lose this week but they will need to battle for a win as they did last week. The Doggies are 16-5 Su and 16-4-1 ATS for the season and as i said just brilliant. On FNF in this point range they teams are 7-7-1 ATS so nothing there just like the Tigers to be good enough top keep the game within a converted try.

Thats all i have on the card for the now but could have more plays tomorrow. Just hoping some more money to come for the Storm and go out to 6 to 8 points and then buy the Broncos at home and a good number.

BOL

Dont mind the under in the broncos game, but i think i will back the broncos here....They will have a big crowd behind them, back to there fav time slot, the NRL need Brisbane in the 8...I dont think Wallace can play worse.....

In terms of the tigs, did you see Sheens comments this arvo? I dont know what he is doing and i dont think the tigs players will have enjoyed what he said,..

The return of Graham and Dogzilla is huge for the doggies, last time wests played a real team(souths) they got trounced, could easily see that on the cards tomorrow night.

I do like that under though.

Highly doubt you'll get a higher line for the broncs, because that line already dropped from 5.5 to 4.5 on 365 so the money is coming in on the doncs

Just saw sheens comments. Love it how he says brisbane exposed their cracks last game. They cracked them up the middle, with not only Graham but also Kas back they can have fun trying to do that

Tigers last win against top 8 side was 10 weeks ago against the storms which we all know was a depleted side without their big 3, I don't know how anyone can back tigers this week especially with players returning for the doggies. I think the scare from the broncs last week will even motivate them more to give the tigs a thumping on primetime rugby. Just my two cents snake, best of luck

Dogs 11 in a row, will make it 12 with a 13+ win. Tigers too razzel dazzle and not enough defence. The eels put 22 points on them in as many minutes. and tigers only came s back due to parras bad defence. Dogs are number 1 due to there massive defence and increasing pressure with attack. simple 13+ dogs take the -7.5

Been a fair bit of money for Bronco's, you won't get better than 4.5.

this. the ml has gone from 1.60 to 1.62 and the line is -4 on centrebet, hopefully -3.5 by kickoff

i like the unders though! it will be good defensive game

Im going to smash the -3.5 it is hits that!! im heading to the dogs game. love my members tickets!!

footy show special is tigers to win $3.50 which is never a good sign

last time their special was storm 2 bucks against the dragons, the week before it seagles 2.20 against the doggies

love the under there Snake

Getting a lot of love for the under aint we. I thought there would be mixed reviews on the Tigers ply but i believe tonight that atleast one of the dogs gets up and both of them cover. Not to sure which way around but would love for it to be my Broncos who get up.

 

Pick:

Broncos +4.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Really like the Broncos to keep it close at home tonight. They are one of the teams that get a lot of good calls go thier way at home such as the Storm, but thats not the reason for the play. They showed last week in that first 20 mins they can still play and when they took the foot off and went for the 2 i knew that would be the end of them. I expect them to keep the foot down for 80 mins tonight. The Broncos are 11-10 Su and ATS for the season and have lost 4 in a row but what better way to get off that train and onto a winning one by beating the storm. The Storm are 14-7 Su and 13-7-1 ATS for the season and did look very shaky last week in the first half against a weak titans team. Also on FNF the dogs in this point range are 12-9-1 ATS so so love their also for my Broncos play.

BOL

I hope you win your +points but your teams don't win, then we both win! 

Yea bet ya Phatty

Going to be a good night either way for me really going to be on the piss all night with a few of the boys and then get my some from the GF. Dont get much better from that

Yea now down to -3.5 now so im guesing that by game time could be as low as 2.5

Adding this to complete the card for the night,

Pick:

Tigers 1-12 margin 0.5 unit @ $3.80

Tiger Time of first try before 18 mins 30 secs 1 unit @ $1.90

Benji to score a try 1 unit @ $2.80

BOL

Can't say I like any of ur plays tonight but good luck snake

Same thing happened with the Knights/Doggies game a couple of weeks ago.

Reverse movement on an underdog usually has a brutal outcome for the aforementioned dog...

GL Snake...

Emkee

Benji Thank you bud