NRL Week 24

NRL YTD 189-168-5 +26.30 units

Broncos

Under

Tigers

Benji

Time of Try

Tigers 1-12

NRL YTD 189-168-5 +27.70 units

Had the number wrong must have been little drunk last night couldnt do the math right. Just did a write up for my plays tonight and didnt bloody work which really sucks but going to do it all again for your reading pleasure.

Pick:

Raiders/Chooks over 46.5 2 units @ $1.90

This game will be a track meet people. I know i use them words every time just about when i play and over these days but really neither of these teams play D and can attack from most spots on the field. The Raiders are 12-9 on totals for the season while the Chooks are 13-8 on totals for the season so as you can see both teams stats suggest the over and was my gut feeling when i had a look over this match up. Also believe that this number is only going to go up so thought would buy it now.

Sharks/Bunnies under 40.0 1 unit @ $1.90

This game has under written all over it and should be a really good game to watch for those who like a defensive battle. The Sharks are 6-15 on totals for the season while the bunnies are 10-11 on totals for the season, Both teams really turn up for eachother each week on D and that is really what it is about. Even though the bunnies are getting back their key attacking weapon at the back still like the game to stay in the under and be a good close battle the whole way.

BOL

Man, how did you get 46.5? It is 50.5 at the TAB.....

The problem with the Raiders is, they play 2 styles and you dont know what you are gonna get...

Sometimes they just go one out, one out, one out and other games they throw it around like crazy, off loads etc etc..

It seems when they are playing for something, they play the former...

As for the Roosters, fuckem, that team is simply throwing games, collecting cash for there end of season trip....they did it a couple of seasons ago against the cows, no one caught them..so they will keep on doing it

ROSTOS

Phatty

ROD

Yea i thought 46 seemed low but that is what BET365 had when i posted the play. Have not looked since but cant see it being that high as yet. But if was to get to say 50+ by game time will be a hedge moment i think

It is at 50.5 right now....

I dont think i have ever seen a 4 point difference ever...

Not sure whats going there, maybe becoz the TAB has had a lot of money come for it or the Chooks gave them the call to say we aint playing D tonight.. Still even at 50 would like the over.

Lunchbox

Have one more play to add for the night at the moment but lets be fair we all know wil have some prop bets going.

Picks:

Raiders -8.0 1 unit @ $1.90

This game has raiders blow out written all over it. As much as i love my Chooks just cant find a reason to back them tonight and the raiders have it all to play for tonight with a top 8 spot up for grabs. You would think that would be a good enough reason to get up for the game and deal it to the Chooks down in the Aussie capital. The Raiders are 10-11 Su and ATS on the season while the Chooks are 7-13 Su and 11-10-0 ATS for the season, So the Chooks do have a small advantage ATS but not enough to worry about and think the raiders put on a master class tonight.

BOL

Yea that is exactly what i was thinking, Both teams can be really up and down but at the end of the day the Raiders have it all to play for and the Chooks going to throw it for some extra cash on the end of season trip

And dont bother me either way really coz really looking foward to the AB's game tonight and on the piss all arvo with the boys so dont get much better than that when you already spinnign.

NRL YTD 190-170-5 +25.60 units

Raiders

Over

Under

Feel a little robbed in that Raiders game really. Could have easily gone over the number and the Raiders should have covered or atleast got the push but hey what can you do about that. Bloody good win for the Sharkies in the end as well.

Have a good night

Have been looking over the games this morning and have come up with this. So far this weekend Dogs are 4-0-0 ATS andn totals are 1-3. So the Dogs have really turned up to play and keep in the game but they are only 1-3 Su.

Picks:

Panthers +8.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Well people lets get realistic about this game today. What have the Warriors done in the past four weeks. Its just funny really and now they are giving 8 points. That just seems like a joke and the panthers should have enough in the tank to keep it close. Yes the Warriors should be wanting to stick to thier old coach but on the flip side the Panthers will want to show Clearly that he made the right choice and they are better than the Warriors. Should be a really good game for 2 teams that have nothing to play for other than pride. The Panthers are 6-15 Su and 8-13-0 ATS for the season while the Warriors are 8-13 Su and ATS for the season. So this should suggest the Warriors take the win but Panthers keep it within the line. So take what you want from this but really the panthers are the right play today. We are also expecting some rain in Auckland today but will keep you updated.

Panthers/Warriors over 48.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Yes i know that this is a huge number but really this is the warriors who have been leaking points like its their job. Both teams have a positive record to the over as well which is always a bonus and like this game to be the track meet that we all want to see. The Warriors are 16-5 on totals for the season while the panthers are 11-9-1 on totals. So both of the team stats suggest the over and i really like it in the game today.

Eels +8.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Eels and the titans could not be more oppisite if they  tried. Titans are about getting into the grind and good D while the Eels have no D to speak of and are all about scoring points. With that in mind both these teams have nothing to play for and i think taking 8 points in that kind of match up is worth it really. The Eels have been much improved over the past month and that is really the reason for my play. The Eels are 6-15 Su and 10-11-0 ATS for the season while the Titans are 9-12 Su and 11-9-1 ATS for the season, so the titans do have an advantage ATS but much of that has come as they have been dogs in many of their matches and they where able to keep it close. So in a shit feast take the points and see what happens.

Knights +8.5 1 unit @ $1.90

This match has all the makings to be a cracker. When i saw the lin earlia in the week i though OMG what the hell. The Knights now know they win and they are tied for 8th spot. If that aint enough to get up for a match than im not sure what is. They looked super good on MNF and i think they take that form into the game tonight and have a really good chance for the Su win and may lay some coin thier later on today. The Knights are 10-11 Su and ATS for the season while the Sea Eagles are 13-8 Su and 9-11-1 ATS so the birds have been able to win but not cover the number. That is always a good thing when taking the dog in a match up.

BOL

Phatty

ROD

Thanks boys yea im looking at the Panther TT over as well thinking worth a big play maybe

Yea i did forget about that game but still think the knights will come out tonight